Alpha Report Issue #87

The Current State of The Market

Hey guys!

I’ll be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every Sunday!

I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better!

Enjoy!

-Brandon

Make It Rain Money GIF

Fear & Greed Index👇

  • Current read is 65 on the fear greed index vs 55 last week.

  • Market Fearful = Potential Opportunity/Deals. (buy calls/sell puts)

  • Market Greedy = Potential Over Valuation. (buy puts/sell calls)

  • So the market is now in the greed category after a massive bounce off of the April lows and slowly melting higher.

  • Remember, I like to be bullish when there is extreme fear & bearish when extreme greed.

  • So right now, I am kinda neutral & that is ok!

  • Opportunity will come. BE PATIENT!

Current Fear/Greed index.

Historical Fear Greed Index In Chart Form.

Current Interest Rates👇

  • 30 year fixed mortgage rate falls to 6.61% Today vs 6.95% last Sunday.

  • 10 year treasury bond yield falls to 4.27% Today, vs 4.37% last Sunday.

  • 2 year treasury bond yield falls to 3.74% Today, vs 3.90% last Sunday.

  • Interest rates fell this week, which is good for the stock market.

  • As interest rates/bond yields fall, stocks become MORE attractive because bonds become LESS attractive.

  • REMEMBER, MONEY ALWAYS WANTS TO FIND THE BEST RISK ADJUSTED RETURN.

  • Overall, the drop in yields/rates helps a little to justify the lofty market valuations right now.

WHAT’S UP EVERYONE!

Let’s keep this simple and break down what actually matters right now for the stock market and to make some money!

  • Market is ripping higher

  • Everyone loves to see the green

  • But it’s critical to keep emotions in check

  • Most people think they are a genius in a bull market

  • But in reality, most boats rise as the tide goes up

  • We bounced HARD off the April lows and now are back to ATHs

  • Is buying at ATHs a bad idea?

  • It depends

  • It depends on your investment time horizon

  • It depends on what companies you are buying

  • It depends on what options strategy you are doing

  • I realize everyone reading this wants to make money

  • But its critical to understand the state of the market before you just “buy cause things are going up”

  • Valuations are a little expensive now and you gotta be careful making short duration bullish plays!

  • Yes, there is still opportunity, but there is less.

  • This was the sharpest rebound in stock market history back to ATHs after a 15% drop.

  • You didn’t “miss the boat” but you need to be more picky with the investments you make.

  • As things get more lofty, I buy puts and sell calls.

  • But the things that are cheap, I buy shares, I sell puts, and I buy calls.

  • The system is very simple… But the key is to have very high confidence in the direction the stock is going to move, then you do stock options to capitalize on the move.

  • Something else that not many ppl are factoring in is this…

  • Jerome Powells term at the fed ends next year

  • Trump claims he will put someone in there that will cut rates a few percentage points

  • When/if that happens, the market will absolutely rip higher

  • Remember, the market is forward looking

  • So as this becomes more of a reality, the market starts to push higher as it gets “priced in”

  • This may gradual “pricing in” already started

  • I’ve said this a millions times, interest rates are gravity

  • They are VERY VERY important

  • As rates falls, stock valuations can rip higher

  • PE ratios will expand (go higher)

  • Cost of borrowing goes down

  • EPS will go up

  • Consumers will buy more cars, houses, put things on credit, ect…

  • This is bullish for the economy and stocks

  • Rate cuts are dependent on inflation continuing to fall, but I am in the camp it will fall in a bumpy way

  • J Powell said he expects June & July inflation readings to be a little hot because of tariff price hikes, but once that is behind us further inflation progress will most likely happen

  • I do not think it’s going to be that bad…

  • But I do think this will create volatility and there will be room to capitalize

  • So right now I am positioned to capitalize on upside but at the same time have 7 figures of buying power on the sidelines ready to capitalize on volatility

  • Either way I will win

  • So in all reality, it doesn't matter what the market does!

ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR: JUNE 30 - JULY 4, 2025 
All times in PST

Monday JUNE 30👇
Market processes Trump remarks on Fed, Big beautiful bill, Canada trade issues, ect...

Tuesday JULY 1👇
6:45a Manufacturing PMI
7a Job Openings

Wednesday JULY 2👇
5:15 ADP employment data

Thursday JULY 3👇
5:30a Initial jobless claims
5:30a Jobs data
7a ISM services data

Friday JULY 4👇
Market Closed

Slow week in the market, but Q2 earnings start in 2 weeks and that is MAJOR!
I will be breaking all of this down in real time in Discord!

THANKS FOR READING!
HAVE A GREAT WEEK!
-BRANDON

DISCLAIMER: I AM NOT A CPA, ATTORNEY, TAX ADVISOR, OR INSURANCE ADVISOR. NOTHING CONTAINED WITHIN THESE EMAILS, VIDEOS, COURSES, OR OTHER CONTENT CONSTITUTES FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX, LEGAL, INSURANCE, OR OTHER ADVICE, NOR SHOULD ANYTHING CONTAINED WITHIN THESE EMAILS, VIDEOS, OR OTHER CONTENT BE RELIED UPON FOR MAKING AN INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISION. YOU SHOULD CONSIDER OBTAINING RELEVANT AND SPECIFIC PROFESSIONAL ADVICE BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISION. IF YOU NEED SUCH ADVICE, PLEASE CONTACT A QUALIFIED CPA, ATTORNEY, TAX PROFESSIONAL,  INSURANCE AGENT, OR FINANCIAL ADVISOR. PAST RESULTS DO NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS. YOU CAN LOSE MONEY INVESTING AND TRADING. LINKED ITEMS MAY CREATE A FINANCIAL BENEFIT FOR INVESTINGWITHBRANDON.