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- Alpha Report Issue #87
Alpha Report Issue #87
The Current State of The Market


Hey guys!
I’ll be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every Sunday!
I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better!
Enjoy!
-Brandon

Fear & Greed Index👇
Current read is 65 on the fear greed index vs 55 last week.
Market Fearful = Potential Opportunity/Deals. (buy calls/sell puts)
Market Greedy = Potential Over Valuation. (buy puts/sell calls)
So the market is now in the greed category after a massive bounce off of the April lows and slowly melting higher.
Remember, I like to be bullish when there is extreme fear & bearish when extreme greed.
So right now, I am kinda neutral & that is ok!
Opportunity will come. BE PATIENT!

Current Fear/Greed index.

Historical Fear Greed Index In Chart Form.
Current Interest Rates👇
30 year fixed mortgage rate falls to 6.61% Today vs 6.95% last Sunday.
10 year treasury bond yield falls to 4.27% Today, vs 4.37% last Sunday.
2 year treasury bond yield falls to 3.74% Today, vs 3.90% last Sunday.
Interest rates fell this week, which is good for the stock market.
As interest rates/bond yields fall, stocks become MORE attractive because bonds become LESS attractive.
REMEMBER, MONEY ALWAYS WANTS TO FIND THE BEST RISK ADJUSTED RETURN.
Overall, the drop in yields/rates helps a little to justify the lofty market valuations right now.

WHAT’S UP EVERYONE!
Let’s keep this simple and break down what actually matters right now for the stock market and to make some money!
Market is ripping higher
Everyone loves to see the green
But it’s critical to keep emotions in check
Most people think they are a genius in a bull market
But in reality, most boats rise as the tide goes up
We bounced HARD off the April lows and now are back to ATHs
Is buying at ATHs a bad idea?
It depends
It depends on your investment time horizon
It depends on what companies you are buying
It depends on what options strategy you are doing
I realize everyone reading this wants to make money
But its critical to understand the state of the market before you just “buy cause things are going up”
Valuations are a little expensive now and you gotta be careful making short duration bullish plays!
Yes, there is still opportunity, but there is less.
This was the sharpest rebound in stock market history back to ATHs after a 15% drop.
You didn’t “miss the boat” but you need to be more picky with the investments you make.
As things get more lofty, I buy puts and sell calls.
But the things that are cheap, I buy shares, I sell puts, and I buy calls.
The system is very simple… But the key is to have very high confidence in the direction the stock is going to move, then you do stock options to capitalize on the move.
Something else that not many ppl are factoring in is this…
Jerome Powells term at the fed ends next year
Trump claims he will put someone in there that will cut rates a few percentage points
When/if that happens, the market will absolutely rip higher
Remember, the market is forward looking
So as this becomes more of a reality, the market starts to push higher as it gets “priced in”
This may gradual “pricing in” already started
I’ve said this a millions times, interest rates are gravity
They are VERY VERY important
As rates falls, stock valuations can rip higher
PE ratios will expand (go higher)
Cost of borrowing goes down
EPS will go up
Consumers will buy more cars, houses, put things on credit, ect…
This is bullish for the economy and stocks
Rate cuts are dependent on inflation continuing to fall, but I am in the camp it will fall in a bumpy way
J Powell said he expects June & July inflation readings to be a little hot because of tariff price hikes, but once that is behind us further inflation progress will most likely happen
I do not think it’s going to be that bad…
But I do think this will create volatility and there will be room to capitalize
So right now I am positioned to capitalize on upside but at the same time have 7 figures of buying power on the sidelines ready to capitalize on volatility
Either way I will win
So in all reality, it doesn't matter what the market does!


ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR: JUNE 30 - JULY 4, 2025
All times in PST
Monday JUNE 30👇
Market processes Trump remarks on Fed, Big beautiful bill, Canada trade issues, ect...
Tuesday JULY 1👇
6:45a Manufacturing PMI
7a Job Openings
Wednesday JULY 2👇
5:15 ADP employment data
Thursday JULY 3👇
5:30a Initial jobless claims
5:30a Jobs data
7a ISM services data
Friday JULY 4👇
Market Closed
Slow week in the market, but Q2 earnings start in 2 weeks and that is MAJOR!
I will be breaking all of this down in real time in Discord!
EVERY INVESTOR SAYS “BUY THE DIP”
Until the dip actually comes...
Then they freeze.
Or panic.
Or wait for the storm to clear...Wanna know what ends up happening?
They buy high and they sell low...
PLEASE DO NOT BE LIKE THAT
— Investing With Brandon (@Invest_Brandon)
10:02 AM • Jun 29, 2025
