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- Alpha Report Issue #86
Alpha Report Issue #86
The Current State of The Market


Hey guys!
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-Brandon

Fear & Greed Index👇
Current read is 55 on the fear greed index vs 60 last week.
Market Fearful = Potential Opportunity/Deals. (buy calls/sell puts)
Market Greedy = Potential Over Valuation. (buy puts/sell calls)
So the market is now in the neutral category after a massive bounce off of the April lows and kinda trading sideways for the last few weeks.
Remember, I like to be bullish when there is extreme fear & bearish when extreme greed.
So right now, I am kinda neutral & that is ok!
Opportunity will come. BE PATIENT!

Current Fear/Greed index.

Historical Fear Greed Index In Chart Form.
Current Interest Rates👇
30 year fixed mortgage rate climbs to 6.95% Today vs 6.86% last Sunday.
10 year treasury bond yield falls to 4.37% Today, vs 4.40% last Sunday.
2 year treasury bond yield falls to 3.90% Today, vs 3.95% last Sunday.
Interest rates fell a little this week, which is good for the stock market.
As interest rates/bond yields fall, stocks become MORE attractive because bonds become LESS attractive.
REMEMBER, MONEY ALWAYS WANTS TO FIND THE BEST RISK ADJUSTED RETURN.
Overall, the drop in yields/rates helps a little to justify the lofty market valuations right now.

WHAT’S UP EVERYONE!
Let’s keep this simple and break down what actually matters right now for the stock market and to make some money!
USA bombed Irans nuclear facilities this weekend.
Investors are going to be nervous about what this could mean for the stock market.
Maybe oil prices pop higher.
Maybe that pushes up the inflation readings.
Maybe that causes the fed to wanna keep interest rates higher for longer.
Maybe Iran retaliates.
There are lots of maybes right now with regards to the Iran situation.
But let’s focus on the things we have high conviction about.
This is probably not going to be WW3.
If we get a spike in oil, it will probably be temporary and I would be considering buying puts on Ticker: UCO. This tracks the price of oil.
But again, I do not think this jump in oil will be long lasting.
The USA is oil independent and if Iran does things to impact the price of oil, they really aren’t hurting the USA that much cause we can just flood the market with oil to keep prices stable ish.
People are taking about how Iran could shut down the canal that about 25% of the worlds oil flows through via tankers.
That hurts other countries way more than the US so we will see.
Also, ask yourself this question.
Does the Iran deal matter for the profits of AMD or Nvidia or Apple or Microsoft or Meta?
Will their revenue go down?
Will their profits go down?
Does this negatively impact the Ai revolution happening right now?
In my opinion… NO.
On top of that, what is the number 1 thing that moves the price of stocks in the long run.
It’s EPS.
Profits.
So if we do not think this situation will not negatively impact EPS, we should see volatility as a buying opportunity. AND I DO!
I have also been preaching on these newsletters, on YouTube, X, Ect… that the market is a little expensive.
So in time of lofty valuations, I like to de risk a little cause I am expecting lower future returns.
So if we get a deep ish dip from this, I am positioned perfectly to capitalize.
But also at the same time I am positioned to capitalize greatly from upside.
So it’s a win win.
This is how to allocate to have a “all seasons portfolio”
De risk in expensive markets.
Add risk in cheaper markets.
But never uninvested because bull markets can rip much longer than what makes logical sense.
So hopefully this quick read helps you guys out a little!
If you like stuff like this, you’ll love my FREE discord cause I cover everything going on in the market + my trades + weekly live zoom calls with you + my entire A to Z course that teaches you the exact system that scaled many people just like you to millions.
If you want in, click the link below before this FREE promo expires in a few days!


ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR: JUNE 13 - JUNE 27, 2025
All times in PST
Monday JUNE 23👇
See how market processes Iran bombings
6:45a Services PMI
6:45a Manufacturing PMI
Tuesday JUNE 24👇
7a Jerome Powell testifies to congress
7a Consumer confidence
Fed Ex Earnings (post market)
Wednesday JUNE 25👇
Micron Earnings (post market)
Thursday JUNE 26👇
5:30a Initial jobless claims
5:30 GDP data (second read)
5:30a Durable goods orders
Nike Earnings (post market)
Friday JUNE 27👇
5:30a PCE data
5:30a Personal income
5:30 Personal spending
7a Consumer sentiment
I will be breaking all of this down in real time in Discord!
A broken clock is right twice a day.
Bears will eventually be right about a "market crash"
But being a bear in America has NEVER paid off in the long run.
- Buy great companies at good prices.
- Use options in a conservative way to magnify ultra high confident set ups.
-— Investing With Brandon (@Invest_Brandon)
2:11 PM • Jun 22, 2025
