Hey guys!

I’ll be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every Sunday!

I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better!

Enjoy!

-Brandon

Fear & Greed Index👇

• Current read is 60 on the fear greed index vs 63 last week.

• Market Fearful = Potential Opportunity/Deals. (buy calls/sell puts)

• Market Greedy = Potential Over Valuation. (buy puts/sell calls)

• So the market is now in the greedy category after a massive bounce off of the April lows.

• Remember, I like to be bullish when there is extreme fear & bearish when extreme greed.

• So right now, I am kinda neutral & that is ok!

• Opportunity will come. BE PATIENT!

Current Interest Rates👇

• 30 year fixed mortgage rate falls to 6.86% Today vs 6.98% last Sunday.

• 10 year treasury bond yield falls to 4.40% Today, vs 4.50% last Sunday.

• 2 year treasury bond yield falls to 3.95% Today, vs 4.03% last Sunday.

• Interest rates fell a little this week, which is good for the stock market.

• As interest rates/bond yields fall, stocks become MORE attractive because bonds become LESS attractive.

• REMEMBER, MONEY ALWAYS WANTS TO FIND THE BEST RISK ADJUSTED RETURN.

• Overall, the drop in yields/rates helps to justify the lofty market valuations right now.

WHAT ACTUALLY MATTERS NOW👇

I am going to keep today’s newsletter VERY simple.

Here’s what I’m watching:

1. Jerome Powell speaks Wednesday
This is the big one. As I have said a million times, interest rate are gravity on the stock market. Inflation is falling and everyone is waiting for the next rate cut (which I think is coming in the next few months) J Powell is hesitant because of Trumps policies and what that means for inflation. He doesn't wanna cut too early then inflation comes back and all the progress we mad eon the inflation front is lost.
→ A hawkish tone(rates higher for longer) = pressure on stocks.
→ A dovish tone(cuts coming) = risk on rally resumes.

I still believe inflation is trending lower but not in a straight line.
We’re in a bumpy disinflationary phase and I call this the Goldilocks zone.

Low enough for the Fed to ease, but not so low that it signals economic weakness.

2. Middle East tensions are escalating again
Israel & Iran are bombing each other and nobody likes to see this… I am in the camp that this will resolve sooner rather than later. This should not be a big needle mover for stocks and any volatility I will see as opportunity. If things to escalate in the near term, oil could spike, which is bad for inflation, and bad for stocks.
→ Oil near $85–$90 = brings back inflation fears.
→ That alone could delay rate cut expectations further.
→ Higher oil = inflation risk back on the table = Fed stays tighter = stocks vulnerable.

I am looking to potentially short the price of oil via buying puts on UCO if we get a big jump.

3. China trade talks went good
We apparently came to a trade deal with China and many details are still yet to be released. Time will tell how this pans out but overall it’s bullish for markets. We import a lot from China and that helps company keep cost of goods sold low which helps companies maintain fat profit margins.

MORE EPS = MORE SHARE APPRECIATION.

4. What I Am Doing Now

I’ve done some de-risking the past couple weeks.
Not because I’m bearish — I’m still long-term bullish — but because valuations are rich and markets are stretched in the short term.
I talk about this in deep detail in Discord on out zoom calls (free to join)

Maybe this is a short-term top.
Maybe it isn’t.
Nobody knows & whoever “predicts” it will be seen as a genius.
But if you are reading this, you are smart enough to understand luck vs skill.
Just cause you “pick a hot slot machine” does not mean you can predict what ones will hit…

What I do know is this:
I’m positioned to win either way.
If we rip higher, I’ve got exposure.
If we pull back, I’ve got 7 figures of buying ready to go to work buying great companies at a discount.
I then will use stock options to magnify my returns on high confidence plays.

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ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR: JUNE 16 - JUNE 20, 2025 
All times in PST

Monday JUNE 16👇
See how market processes Iran/Israel
Lennar earnings (post market)

Tuesday JUNE 17👇
5:30a Retail Sales
5:30a Import Price Index
6:15a Industrial production
7a Home builder confidence index

Wednesday JUNE 18👇
5:30a Initial jobless claims
11a Fed interest rate decision
11:30a Jerome Powell press conference
5p Discord Zoom call

Thursday JUNE 19👇
Market closed for holiday

Friday JUNE 20👇
Nothing major

I will be breaking all of this down in real time in Discord!