Hey guys!

I’ll be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every Sunday!

I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better!

Enjoy!

-Brandon

Fear & Greed Index👇

• Current read is 62 on the fear greed index vs 43 last week.

• Market Fearful = Potential Opportunity/Deals.

• Market Greedy = Potential Over Valuation.

• So the market is now in the greedy category after a massive bounce off of the April lows.

• Remember, I like to be bullish when there is extreme fear & bearish when extreme greed.

• So right now, I am kinda neutral & that is ok!

• Opportunity will come. BE PATIENT!

Current Interest Rates👇

• 30 year fixed mortgage rate climbs to 6.96% Today vs 6.89% last Sunday.

• 10 year treasury bond yield climbs to 4.38% Today, vs 4.30% last Sunday.

• 2 year treasury bond yield climbs to 3.88% Today, vs 3.82% last Sunday.

• Interest rates increased this week, which is kinda bad for the stock market usually….

• As interest rates rise, stocks become less attractive because bonds become more attractive.

• Also, stocks rose which also makes them less attractive cause things are more expensive.

• REMEMBER, MONEY ALWAYS WANTS TO FIND THE BEST RISK ADJUSTED RETURN.

• Bonds are becoming more attractive…

• Overall, this is not good for stocks & the economy, but I do expect rates to fall in the coming quarters as inflation continues to cool which will slowly make bonds less attractive.

The State of The Stock Market Right Now👇

Think about the progress we make in the stock market since the April lows… We had an insane recovery! The Nasdaq is now up over 17% off the lows for the year and the S&P500 is up over 13% off the lows… So everyone here wants to make money… So what do we do? Let’s break it down!

The Tariff Threat👇

• Think about the tariff tone on Trump and his team on liberation day vs today…

• We went from no chance of “pulling back” to now a 90 day pause and potential additional reductions in tariffs.

• We apparently very close to major deals with big countries (UK deal is already done), and we are now in some form of talks with China.

• Yesterday talks apparently went well with China and today (Sunday) at the time of writing this, talks are apparently continuing.

• The fact that we got a “day 2” on the talks signals things are going at least decently.

• I think everyone wants to make a deal and we will see what happens!

• Trump also said we might have some big deals finalized as early as this week too…

• I talked about this potential issue of if we get deals with big countries or reductions in tariffs that the market will MOON.

• Why is this an issue?

• Well, valuations…

• Check out this chart

• So you can see we are at a relatively high valuation level going back to 1985 based on this chart.

• PE ratio is a great single metric to get a gauge on how “expensive” or “cheap” something is… But again, it’s just a single metric so it’s not the end all be all…

• The last time we saw valuations like we have currently was in 1999, and you know what happened to the market after that…

• Notice how the future returns going forward are usually good when the PE is at the lower blue bands and worse when the market is at the higher blue bands.

• The flip side of the argument will be that if we make trade deals earnings will go way up so that will justify the markets valuation.

• That is possible, but I don’t like to count my chickens before they hatch…

Translation:
I am in the camp we will either get trade deals done or just simply de-escalation of tariffs in the coming months. Both will be bullish for the global economies and the stock market should be happy about this. But valuations are a concern and we gotta keep an eye on it!

✅Stamping this section: NEUTRAL for stocks right now.

Earnings Season👇

• Calendar Year 2025 Q1 Earnings are slowing down now.

• To be honest, earnings were much better than feared but the tariff ripple effects still loom in coming quarters.

• I personally love earnings season because it gives clues into the state of the economy and how a wide range of businesses are doing and what they see going forward.

• I probably listened to about 40 earnings calls in the last few weeks and because of that, I’m a much more informed investor and that led me to making some new plays that are great set ups!

• Most were pretty good, but CEOs were guiding cautiously cause of tariff uncertainty which I get it…

• But capital expenditures are not slowing down and CEOs are still confident to invest in their businesses. (good)

• You can see, most companies are beating expectations which is great.

• Earnings have been “better than feared”

• The larger your sample size is for potential investments, the better your setups will be.

• Nvidia is a few weeks out till they report still and this week we only have a few high profile companies like Walmart and Cisco.

• I will be covering EVERYTHING in Discord in real time + all my trades.

Translation: Earnings are big, guidance is big, growth matters, outlooks matter, AI spending matters, lots of stuff matters! The key is to take in as much information as you can and eventually you will have compelling plays that come across your desk. The more you look, the more you’ll find. This is why I do deep dives on dozens of companies every month. Make less trades, but make bigger and better ones.

✅Stamping this section: BULLISH for stocks right now.

Volatility, Emotions, & Capitalization👇

• When I started out investing, I hated volatility.

• I just couldn’t stand to see the red in my portfolio and “lose” money…

• But the more you know, the more comfortable you get in times like this.

• Most people see volatility as risk, which I did starting out…

• But now I see it as opportunity.

• Opportunity to get invested in companies that are below intrinsic value while everyone is panicking out there.

• Opportunity to sell put options while the premiums are still super high because the typical emotional investor wants to buy downside protection in their portfolios.

• So they are buying puts when things are cheaper, I am the one selling them that put option and collecting the cash flow.

• As old man Warren Buffett always says, “be greedy when others are fearful”

• When stocks fall to cheap valuation levels, I am a buyer.

• If the set up is compelling enough, I will use options to magnify the move I am trying to capture.

• If you can’t stand 20%+ swings in your portfolio, you shouldn’t be invested in the market at all…

• Leave your emotions at the door, or you will get smoked…

• Confidence comes from knowledge.

• Never stop learning as an investor.

Translation:
Every market dip feels like the end of the world. As the typical investor panics on the dip to sell, informed investors like the ones in my Discord are capitalizing! Keep Emotions in check!

✅ Stamping this section: BULLISH for the stock market.

Market Valuation Is Not What You Think👇

• Is the market cheap right now?

• Not really…

• Everyone talks about how we did a 20% dip, but nobody talks about the fact that things were expensive at the top and that we recovered about half of the dip.

• I talk about this chart above a lot on YouTube and in Discord… BECAUSE IT”S CRITICAL!

• Stock prices usually follow the EPS growth on a percent basis in the long run.

• When you see the 2023 and 2024 period, you can see the SP500 price went up much faster than EPS did…

• That disconnect means things got expensive.

• Then we got the dip this year and the SP500 corrected back to the EPS line which was needed!

• But now we rebounded 10% ish back above the EPS line which indicates slightly lofty valuation.

• I am not saying it’s a bubble, I am just saying it’s a little expensive and to be careful in the short term!

• The flip side to this argument is that EPS may go way up and that will justify the valuation.

• Time will tell!

• Be prepared to capitalize and win with upside and downside!

Translation: The market got expensive starting in the end of 2023 and got worse as 2024 progressed. This dip we got is 100% justified and was needed. Keep your pants on and don’t freak out. As the market gets more expensive, I like to reduce leverage and risk. As the market gets cheaper, I like to add leverage and add risk.

✅ Stamping this section: NEUTRAL for stocks.

Why This Dip Is Opportunity👇

• I believe the tidal wave is coming for the tech and AI revolution.

• I am not some Tech fan boy.

• I don’t care about talking about the "popular thing”

• I care about making money & I’m sure you do too.

• Self-driving cars

• Fully automated warehouses

• Entire company workflows powered by AI

• Fully autonomous humanoid robots

• This is what I see coming

• Productivity is going to explode at most businesses if they adopt.

• And when company productivity rises? EPS rises.

• And when EPS rises? Stock prices follow.

• There will be big winners and big losers.

• But investors who embrace this shift now are setting themselves up for serious upside.

• Yes, AI will cause some job displacement.

• Yes, that’s bad for some workers.

• But higher margins and stronger profits are rocket fuel for stocks.

• There has never been a better time to be an investor than right now!

• Lot’s of opportunity out there.

Translation: I think we are on the cusp of a once in a lifetime investing opportunity. I am talking one that is like getting in to the internet before it went mainstream. I am not BSing you right now. I see the tidal wave coming, and I am capitalizing. But the window will eventually close…

✅ Stamping this section: BULLISH for stocks.

Don’t Be Like The Herd👇

• When the market goes straight up, everyone is a genius.

• Now that we dipped, everyone is big on risk management, bonds, CDs, gold, ect…

• It’s so funny cause I have seen this time and time again…

• People just don’t learn.

• They buy into the hype, get smoked, then sell for a loss.

• The exact opposite of what should be done.

• Now that things are rebounding a little, they are starting to get FOMO again.

• As things get expensive, I sell.

• As things get cheap, I buy and use options to get a leveraged upside return all while keeping risk low.

• This is exactly how I scaled to millions and the people that did my course & are in discord are too.

• The stock market is the only place on earth where people don’t want to buy when things go on sale… they actually wanna sell.

• Understand intrinsic value.

• Don't chase hype.

• Don’t act on emotion.

• Stay focused and zoom out.

Learn How To Capitalize👇

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ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR: MAY 12 - MAY 16, 2025 
All times in PST

Monday May 12👇
Nada

Tuesday May 13👇
5:30a CPI Data
JD Earnings (pre market)

Wednesday May 14👇
Various fed governors speak
Cisco Earnings (post market)

Thursday May 15👇
530a Initial Jobless Claims
5:30a PPI Data
5:30a Retail Sales Data
5:40a Jerome Powell Speech
6:15a Industrial Production Data
7a Business Inventories
Alibaba Earnings (pre market)
Walmart Earnings (pre market)
Applied Materials Earnings (post market)

Friday May 16👇
5:30a Import price Index
5:30a Housing Starts
7a Consumer Sentiment

I will be breaking all of this down in real time in Discord!

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2025

(updated every newsletter)

To see all my trades + much more, enroll below!

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2030

(of course a lot of these will split, this is non split adjusted)