Alpha Report Issue #78

Current State of The Stock Market...

Hey guys!

I’ll be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every Sunday!

I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better!

Enjoy!

-Brandon

Show Me The Money GIF

Fear & Greed Index👇

  • Current read is 35 on the fear greed index vs 21 last week.

  • I feel that we are actually closer to 40 vs what this says, so slightly fearful.

  • Market Fearful = Potential Opportunity/Deals.

  • Market Greedy = Potential Over Valuation.

  • Yes, I say 40 because the market is NOT as bad as what people think.

  • This chart blows it a little out of proportion in my opinion.

Current Interest Rates👇

  • 30 year fixed mortgage rate falls to 6.71% Today vs 6.86% last Sunday.

  • 10 year treasury bond yield falls to 4.25% Today, vs 4.33% last Sunday.

  • 2 year treasury bond yield falls to 3.75% Today, vs 3.80% last Sunday.

  • Interest rates fell this week which is good for the stock market usually.

  • As interest rates fall, stocks become more attractive because bonds become less attractive.

  • This is known as the equity risk premium which is essentially the spread on expected returns in the stock market vs the 10 year bond yield.

  • REMEMBER, MONEY ALWAYS WANTS TO FIND THE BEST RISK ADJUSTED RETURN.

  • Overall, this is good for stocks & the economy.

The State of The Stock Market Right Now👇

The market’s been wild and it may get ever wilder this week!
I’m breaking down what’s actually happening right now and, more importantly, how to capitalize on it. No BS. No noise. Just how to make money in the chaos. Let’s go.

The Tariff Threat👇

  • We’re staring down the highest tariffs in American history — and they’re not going away yet.

  • Trump hit the brakes on new tariffs for everyone except China with a 90-day pause, but the uncertainty is still lingering. Deals might get made eventually, but as of today, nothing is locked in.

  • They claim India & Japan deals are close, but at the time of writing this, nothing yet!

  • In the meantime, the economy's resilience is being tested hard.

  • Stagflation — slow growth and rising prices — is still a real risk.

  • Tariffs = higher costs for companies = higher prices for consumers.

  • CPI inflation is holding around 2.4%, close to the Fed’s 2% target… but tariffs could easily make that number spike.

  • & The Fed is stuck

  • Cut rates and risk inflation spiking

  • Hold rates higher and risk a recession

  • Jerome Powell basically said he's willing to let inflation run a little hotter for a short time if it protects the labor market.

Translation:
Rate cuts will still come even if inflation runs a little hot.
That’s bullish for markets over the medium-term.

Stamping this section: NEUTRAL for stocks right now.

Earnings Season👇

  • Calendar Year 2025 Q1 Earnings are getting fired up.

  • This week we have some heavy hitters like Sofi, Visa, Starbucks, Microsoft, Meta, RobinHood, Qualcomm, Amazon, & Apple.

  • Yes, this is BIG!

  • I need to see decent EPS numbers for the reported quarter, but the elephant in the room is how they guide for next quarter and the rest of 2025.

  • I want to see data center cap ex spending.

  • I want to see how AI is boosting productivity.

  • I want to see where they see the companies going and the blueprint for the future.

  • Earnings reports/calls are critical to understand this stuff.

  • I will be doing detailed breakdowns and what it means in course members only discord as they report!

  • I would love to see YOU there.

Translation: Earnings are big, guidance is big, growth matters, outlooks matter, AI spending matters, lots of stuff matters! Investors will be looking for clues on the state of the companies and the economy. I am sure the CEOs will be getting drilled on tariff questions how the true impact it has for the business.

Stamping this section: NEUTRAL for stocks right now.

History Says To Buy👇

  • When has the S&P 500 ever failed to hit new all-time highs after a crash

  • Answer: NEVER.

  • We’ve survived world wars, Great Depressions, financial meltdowns, and pandemics.

  • Every time, the experts screamed “this is the end!”

  • Every time, they were wrong.

  • Right now, fear is high. The VIX is elevated.

  • Sentiment is trash.

  • Bearishness is baked in.

  • That’s historically when real investors clean up.

  • As Warren Buffett said: “Be fearful when others are greedy. Be greedy when others are fearful.”

  • The herd is panicking. Smart money is preparing.

Translation:
Every market dip feels like the end of the world. As the typical investor panics on the dip to sell, informed investors like the ones that did the InvestingWithBrandon Stocks & Options Course are capitalizing! Keep Emotions in check!

✅ Stamping this section: BULLISH for the stock market.

Market Valuation Is Not What You Think👇

  • You’re going to hear a lot of “stocks are cheap now!” headlines.

  • Reality check: They’re not cheap. They’re fair.

  • Some individual companies fell below intrinsic value, but some didn’t.

  • Major indexes like the Nasdaq & the S&P500 are close to intrinsic value.

  • So basically like paying MSRP for a car.

  • Not getting ripped off, but not getting a deal.

  • The S&P 500’s PE ratio is back near historical averages after this correction.

  • In 2024, stocks were overpriced relative to earnings.

  • The correction brought valuations back to reality — right around intrinsic value.

Key moving pieces:

  • If inflation cools → rates drop → stocks go up.

  • If earnings keep growing → stocks go up.

  • If either breaks the wrong way, we could dip further.

Possible risk:
The trade war drags out and damages global growth & companies pull back growth plans.

Translation: The market got expensive starting in the end of 2023 and got worse as 2024 progressed. This dip we got is 100% justified and was needed. Keep your pants on and don’t freak out. I know there is so many people online giving compelling reasons why the USA is doomed, but when you tell them to short the S&P500 on a 5 year basis, none will do it. THEY KNOW BETTER THAN TO BET AGAINST AMERICA.

✅ Stamping this section: NEUTRAL for stocks.

Why This Dip Is Opportunity👇

  • The AI wave is about to go mainstream… but for real this time.

  • Self-driving fleets

  • Fully automated warehouses

  • Entire company workflows powered by AI

  • Productivity is going to explode.

  • And when company productivity rises? EPS rises.

  • And when EPS rises? Stock prices follow.

  • There will be big winners and big losers.

  • But investors who embrace this shift now are setting themselves up for serious upside.

  • Yes, AI will cause some job displacement.

  • Yes, that’s bad for workers.

  • But higher margins and stronger profits are rocket fuel for stocks.

Translation: I think we are on the cusp of a once in a lifetime investing opportunity. I am talking one that is like getting in to the internet before it went mainstream. I am not BSing you right now. I see the tidal wave coming, and I am capitalizing. Guess who else is, the people just like you that did my Stocks & Options Course and are in the private course members only discord. We are strategizing and laying there ground work to win in this environment. The time is NOW.

✅ Stamping this section: BULLISH for stocks.

How To Manage Risk & Still Capitalize👇

  • When the market goes straight up, everyone is a genius.

  • Now that we dipped, everyone is big on risk management, bonds, CDs, gold, ect…

  • It’s so funny cause I have seen this time and time again…

  • People just don’t learn.

  • They buy into the hype, get smoked, then sell for a loss.

  • The exact opposite of what should be done.

  • As things get expensive, I sell.

  • As things get cheap, I buy and use options to get a leveraged upside return all while keeping risk low.

  • This is exactly when real wealth is built.

  • The stock market is the only place people don’t want to buy when things go on sale.

  • Understand intrinsic value.

  • Don't chase hype.

  • Don’t act on emotion.

  • Stay focused and zoom out.

Learn How To Capitalize👇

  • If you’ve been sitting on the sidelines, this is your shot.

  • If you bought the top and sold for a loss, this is your chance to never do that again.

  • If you are brand new and dont know where to get started, this is the perfect time to start.

  • Feel stuck at your 9-5 job and need a plan to escape in a few years, this is the time to lay the ground work.

  • Real wealth is built during chaotic markets like this — not when everything feels "safe."

  • ✅ The Stocks & Options Course that I spent YEARS developing teaches you exactly how to invest with stocks and options the right way — using real fundamentals, real risk management, and real strategies that scale.

  • 10 hours of training.

  • $97 one-time payment.

  • Lifetime access.

  • 🔥 The $97 sale ends VERY SOON — then it’s going WAY up.

  • If you’re serious about building wealth...

  • Learn it now before the next bull wave starts.

    Get the course. Join the Discord. Change your life.

ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR: APRIL 28 - MAY 2, 2025 
All times in PST

Monday April 28👇

Effects of new tariff developments

Tuesday April 29👇

Sofi Earnings (pre market)
7a Consumer Confidence
7a Job Openings
Starbucks Earnings (post market)
Visa Earnings (post market)

Wednesday April 30👇

5:15a ADP Jobs Data
5:30a GDP
7a PCE Index
Microsoft Earnings (post market)
Meta Earnings (post market)
Robinhood Earnings (post market)
Qualcomm Earnings (post market)

Thursday May 1👇

530a Initial Jobless Claims
Amazon Earnings (post market)
Apple Earnings (post market)

Friday May 2👇

5:30a Jobs Data

I will be breaking all of this down in real time in Course members only discord!

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2025

(updated daily)

To see all my trades + much more, become a course member & join course members only Discord

  • QQQ - $510

  • VOO- $550

  • IWM- $205

  • SOXX- $190

  • TSLA - $310

  • NVDA- $150

  • AAPL - $240

  • PLTR- $75

  • AMZN- $220

  • GOOG - $180

  • MSFT - $425

  • JPM - $260

  • SOFI - $10

  • TSM  - $200

  • AMD - $105

  • META - $650

  • MU - $95

  • BITCOIN - $90,000

  • SOLANA - $200

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2030

  • QQQ- $830 (assuming 8% annual ROI)

  • VOO- $830 (assuming 7% annual ROI)

  • SOXX- $360 (assuming 8% annual ROI)

  • TSLA- $1,200 (assuming 18% annual ROI)

  • NVDA- $645 (assuming 25% annual ROI)

  • AAPL - $375 (assuming 7% annual ROI)

  • AMZN- $550 (assuming 15% annual ROI)

  • MSFT - $1,000 (assuming 15% annual ROI)

  • NVDA - $1,250 (assuming 45% annual ROI)

    (of course a lot of these will split, this is non split adjusted)

DISCLAIMER: I AM NOT A CPA, ATTORNEY, TAX ADVISOR, OR INSURANCE ADVISOR. NOTHING CONTAINED WITHIN THESE EMAILS, VIDEOS, COURSES, OR OTHER CONTENT CONSTITUTES FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX, LEGAL, INSURANCE, OR OTHER ADVICE, NOR SHOULD ANYTHING CONTAINED WITHIN THESE EMAILS, VIDEOS, OR OTHER CONTENT BE RELIED UPON FOR MAKING AN INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISION. YOU SHOULD CONSIDER OBTAINING RELEVANT AND SPECIFIC PROFESSIONAL ADVICE BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISION. IF YOU NEED SUCH ADVICE, PLEASE CONTACT A QUALIFIED CPA, ATTORNEY, TAX PROFESSIONAL,  INSURANCE AGENT, OR FINANCIAL ADVISOR. PAST RESULTS DO NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS. YOU CAN LOSE MONEY INVESTING AND TRADING. LINKED ITEMS MAY CREATE A FINANCIAL BENEFIT FOR INVESTINGWITHBRANDON.