Hey guys!

I will be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every Sunday!

I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better!

Enjoy!

-Brandon

Fear & Greed Index👇

• Current read is 22 on the fear greed index vs 23 last week.

• I feel that we are closer to 50 vs what this says, so in balance.

• Market Fearful = Potential Opportunity/Deals.

• Market Greedy = Potential Over Valuation.

Current Interest Rates👇

• 30 year fixed mortgage rate increases to 6.71% Today vs 6.59% last Sunday.

• 10 year treasury bond yield flat at 4.25% Today, vs 4.25% last Sunday.

• 2 year treasury bond yield decreases to 3.91% Today, vs 3.95% last Sunday.

• Interest rates overall flat ish this past week, which is neither good nor bad for stocks.

• The market is anticipating the tariff news on April 2nd and is waiting to process it and adjust interest rates.

The State of The Stock Market Right Now👇

The market has been super volatile and is falling like a rock. Many investors are freaking out and wondering if this is the bottom, or we are just getting started. Tariffs, recession, slowing labor market, and inflation spiking are the top concerns for investors. I will give you the info, then my thoughts below!

Tariffs👇

📦Tariffs are front and center again after Trump’s latest update. The market hates uncertainty and tariffs bring a lot of it. Every automaker is getting hit, even U.S. made cars that use foreign parts. A Tesla built in California might still have 30% of its components from Mexico and those parts are now facing tariffs. I’d be surprised if these actually stick long term. Automakers will pressure Trump hard, and I think we’ll eventually see reciprocal deals, especially with countries like Mexico. But in the short term? Volatility. Get ready for it. April 2nd is the “big day” and we’ll see just how widespread and aggressive these tariffs really are.

It’s a mixed bag. Short term, this is bad for business and adds friction. But longer term, you could argue it helps bring jobs back to the U.S., which could support more consumer spending and keep our economy moving. Messy now, maybe a win later.

Overall I rate this category as BAD for the stock market.

Economy👇

📉GDP came in at 2.4% for Q4, slightly above the 2.3% estimate. Consumer spending was strong up 4% which shows people are still opening their wallets despite all the noise. Corporate profits are up too, which helps push stock prices higher. But there’s a catch: businesses are slowing down capex, especially on equipment. That’s a red flag for forward looking growth. Also, inventories dropped, which dragged down the overall GDP number. Translation: solid now, but some caution showing up. Tariffs and global uncertainty could start weighing more in the coming months. Everyone freaks out the big recession potentially. Recessions are technically classified as 2 negative quarters of GDP back to back. Since Q4 was positive, the first time we will officially know if we were/are in a recession is July ish. Cause we need Q1 & Q2 to be negative and we won’t find out till after Q2 ends… Overall, it’s going to be ok. Keep your pants on.

Overall I rate this category as NEUTRAL for the stock market.

Inflation👇

🔥PCE (the Fed’s favorite inflation measure) came in mostly as expected this week, but Core PCE ticked up a bit more than forecasted. 0.4% MoM vs the 0.3% estimate. Annual Core is now 2.8%. That’s still above target, and it means the Fed isn’t jumping to cut rates tomorrow. CPI is also falling, but it’s bumpy. Inflation is sticky ish right now in the 2% range. Not skyrocketing, but also not collapsing. Think of it like trying to lose the last 10 pounds, it's the hardest part. If inflation continues to cool off, I expect 50bps of cuts this year. That will be good for stocks cause bond yields will fall and stocks will be the only game worth playing in town. If it spikes… All bets are off. Inflation matters so much cause it dictates what the fed does with interest rates. Rates are gravity on the stock market & lower rates usually means stocks can push higher. I think inflation will continue to trend lower in a bumpy way over the coming quarters.

Overall I rate this category as GOOD for the stock market.

Federal Reserve👇

🏦Jerome Powell speaks this Friday and it’s worth tuning in — even just for tone. The Fed is walking a tightrope here. They want to cut rates but need inflation to cooperate. If they cut too fast, inflation may come back. If they cut too slow, the economy may go down the tubes. Strong jobs and inflation reports could delay cuts cause that indicates the economy can handle the higher rates. Weak reports could encourage the fed to cut faster to support the economy. One thing to remember: if the economy cracks, the Fed has tools (cut rates, QE) to soften the blow. Rates are currently at 4.25%, which gives the fed lots of room to cut in the event of slowing economy. But until then, they’re data-dependent. No pivot until the numbers let them. I think it’s key for the fed to be “ahead” of the trend and front run a slowing economy and cut quickly if we see signs of weakness. Data is often laggy and by the time you see a slowing trend, it may be too late. Long story short, fed as ammo to support, and that’s good.

Overall I rate this category as GOOD for the stock market.

US & Ukraine Relations👇

🇺🇸This one hasn’t been in the headlines as much, but it’s still a factor. Everyone was panicking about the potential WW3, but I feel that is unlikely at this point. Aid talks have stalled, and it’s becoming more political than strategic. If Ukraine falters, it could embolden other conflicts globally (Taiwan, Middle East), which the market will price in. Right now, there’s no direct economic impact, but geopolitics can flip fast. Keep an eye on this if tensions rise or if energy markets start reacting.

Overall I rate this category as NEUTRAL for the stock market.

Market Volatility👇

⚠️The past few weeks have been a rollercoaster, but the week coming up is going to be even more crazy. Check out the economic calendar below to see what we have on deck! So the intra year draw downs are very common for what we are experiencing now. 10% happens every 1.6 years. (very common) Nobody likes dips, but the key is to capitalize.

S&P 500 intra-year drawdowns of...

• -1% happens every year

• -5% happens every 1.1 years on average

• -10% happens every 1.6 years on average

• -15% happens every 2.5 years on average

• -20% happens every 4 years on average

• -30% happens every 10 years on average

Overall I rate this category as NEUTRAL for the stock market.

Market Valuation👇

📈Forward P/E on the S&P 500 is around 20 — a tad above historical average. But remember: rates are gravity. If we get rate cuts and yields drop into the 3s, that P/E is totally reasonable. No, the market isn’t on fire sale, but it’s not outrageously overpriced either. Think of it as trading near intrinsic value — maybe a bit above. Could we see a 15% dip from here? Sure. But we were also 15% above fair value not long ago. We’re in the zone of close to true value in my opinion. Not a time to bet the house, but definitely a time to hunt for quality companies that have been left behind… Nvidia is one of my favorites right now for longer duration plays.

Overall I rate this category as NEUTRAL for the stock market.

My Overall Take👇

• Stocks are falling and valuations are coming to a reasonable level.

• I feel the last few years the market ran up way too much and got disconnected from the fundamentals…

• Irrelevant of the tariff BS, the market needed to correct lower. Tariffs were just the catalyst for that.

• Lots of people in X and YouTube are panicking and blowing up their accounts.

• Please do not be like the herd… Keep your emotions in check, only make high margin of safety trades, be an investor… not a speculator.

• I am slowly adding some risk to my portfolio as we dip, but I am by no means betting the house.

• We can easily dip another 15 to 20% IMO.

• Be prepared to capitalize on upside and downside!

• I know you are probably sick of hearing about my course, but I promise you this… Right now is hands down one of the best times to get started investing and learn a strategy that actually works.

• The biggest regret you’ll have is not educating yourself on how to invest with stocks and options the right way to capitalize.

• Do my course & come into my Exclusive Private Discord for Course members only.

• It will change your life!

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Economic Calendar For: March 31 - April 4, 2025 

All times in PST

Monday March 31👇

6:45a Chicago Business Barometer

Tuesday April 1👇

7a Job Openings

7a Construction Spending

7a ISM manufacturing

Wednesday April 2👇

Tariff Day

5:15a ADP Employment Data

7a Factory Orders

Thursday April 3👇

Exxon Earnings (post market)

530a Initial Jobless Claims

7a ISM services

Friday April 4👇

5:30a Jobs Data

8:25a Jerome Powell Speaks

I will be breaking all of this down in real time in Course members only discord!

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2025

(updated daily)

I moved all trades and potential plays to ACADEMY members ONLY Discord!

Take your game to the next level. Join My Investing Academy. Come into my mastermind Discord!

• QQQ - $535

• VOO- $560

• IWM- $220

• SOXX- $215

• TSLA - $310

• NVDA- $160

• AAPL - $250

• PLTR- $85

• AMZN- $240

• GOOG - $200

• MSFT - $445

• JPM - $280

• SOFI - $12

• TSM  - $225

• AMD - $120

• META - $720

• MU - $120

• BITCOIN - $90,000

• SOLANA - $235

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2030

• QQQ- $830 (assuming 8% annual ROI)

• VOO- $830 (assuming 7% annual ROI)

• SOXX- $360 (assuming 8% annual ROI)

• TSLA- $1,200 (assuming 18% annual ROI)

• NVDA- $645 (assuming 25% annual ROI)

• AAPL - $375 (assuming 7% annual ROI)

• AMZN- $550 (assuming 15% annual ROI)

• MSFT - $1,000 (assuming 15% annual ROI)

• NVDA - $1,250 (assuming 45% annual ROI)

  (of course a lot of these will split, this is non split adjusted)

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