Hey guys!

I will be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every Sunday!

I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better!

Enjoy!

-Brandon

Fear & Greed Index👇

• Current read is 23 on the fear greed index vs 21 last week.

• I feel that we are closer to 50 vs what this says, so in balance.

• Market Fearful = Potential Opportunity/Deals.

• Market Greedy = Potential Over Valuation.

Current Interest Rates👇

• 30 year fixed mortgage rate decreases to 6.59% Today vs 6.71% last Sunday.

• 10 year treasury bond yield decreases to 4.25% Today, vs 4.32% last Sunday.

• 2 year treasury bond yield decreases to 3.95% Today, vs 4.02% last Sunday.

• Interest rates overall fell this past week, which is usually good for the stock market! I know the market was flat ish, but bonds are becoming less compelling vs stocks cause bond yields are falling. Good!

The State of The Stock Market Right Now👇

• The stock market has been bouncing around, but ended up green for this past week.

• Many investors are worried about all the turbulence and if this is a buy the dip opportunity, or maybe a sell before things get worst opportunity!

• In my opinion, the dip in the market is 100% justified.

• I have been saying for months now that the market is expensive and a dip is 100% needed and it’s no surprise that Warren Buffett has so much money in cash and he has not repurchased any Berkshire Hathaway shares in 2024.

• He only repurchases his shares when they are trading below intrinsic value which implies that they are not.

• So, let’s look at the data of various parts of the economy, then I will give you my thoughts.

Tariffs👇

• The hot topic on the street is tariffs and how this will actually affect us, both in a good way and bad way.

• Yes, there actually could be a good side to this, I’ll explain in a minute.

• So, most of those costs will get passed on to consumers which can cause inflation, but honestly I think Trump is willing to “work a deal” with anyone.

• So if companies invest capital in America, they can avoid tariffs and potentially get favorable tax treatment.

• I don’t think tariffs are going to be as big of a deal as people think.

• Good chance April 2 gives clarity to the market and we actually rally. (no guarantees, but the market will know how to price things in officially)

• Now of course, countries can retaliate, but it seems unlikely cause the tariffs are reciprocal. Meaning we match what they do on us.

• I think Trump is “bending” a little more every week and there is a good chance the tariffs end up not being as bad as we think.

• Also, the idea that we potentially can get to an environment where there is reciprocal tariff reductions is not being priced in at all!

• Basically what this means is if we match tariffs on another country if they agreed to lower the percent tariff, we agreed to lower the percent tariff. This would be ultra bullish

• Yes tariffs can make things more expensive, causing inflation to spike and rates higher for longer.

• Jerome Powell at the fed just talked about this as the latest FOMC meeting.

• I do think there is deflationary factors too such as energy prices coming down, AI agents backfilling employees that get fired or retire, deregulation which makes cost of business cheaper, plus overall economy being in balance.

• There isn’t a massive demand skew of goods which drives prices higher.

Economy👇

• As for the economy, I think things are in balance.

• If things go down the drain, the fed can cut rates and print money.

• We have lots of distance away from 0% right now, so it’s a massive needle mover if we cut from 4.25 to 0 if things go downhill.

• Of course that might cause inflation, but inflation in a crappy economy is rare.

• But if we get inflation in a crappy economy, that is called stagflation which is very bad.

• Cause you wanna cut rates to support the economy to bounce back, but if you cut you are making inflation worse.

• I don’t see that happening though, but of course possible.

• So now, sentiment is low and people are panicking.

• Times like this are often opportunities.

• Check out the chart below!

• I am not saying right now is the bottom by any means.

• What I am saying is that things are cheaper now vs what they were a few months ago.

• The stock market is the only place in the world where people are hiding out when things are getting cheaper, & ready to give up their money when things are pumping…

• Please do not be like that!

• The stock market is an emotional roller coaster.

• When it’s going up, people are optimistic, when it’s going down, people are pessimistic…

• But that does NOT reflect the true strength/weakness of the economy.

• Good investors realize this!

Federal Reserve👇

• So overall, I think inflation will be in the 2 to 2.6 range to finish the year.

• The feds target is 2%, so very close.

• Inflation matters cause the fed bases rates on inflation.

• Higher inflation = rates higher for longer, which slows growth on the economy.

• So we wanna see inflation fall while the economy stays strong.

• BUT, inflation falling and the economy holding up is not typical.

• Usually we cut cause things already are crappy.

• J pow is trying not to be behind the 8 ball here.

• If I was him, I would cut next meeting and get us down to 3.5% and hold there, we are at 4.25 now.

• So overall, rates are gravity on the stock market like I have been saying forever.

• Rates Up = Stock PEs usually fall

• Rates Down = Stock PEs usually climb

• There is more to this, but in simple terms, that is how it works.

US & Ukraine Relations👇

• This seems to be cooling down a little and time will tell!

• I don’t think this is a big needle mover for the stock market and WW3 should be unpriced for now lol.

Market Volatility👇

• Volatility is opportunity!

• Do not be like the masses and panic sell when things are on sale…

• Yes we can go lower, but if you liked things 2 months ago 10%+ higher, you should like them even more at a cheaper price!

Market Valuation👇

• S&P 500's forward (P/E) ratio stands at 20.5, significantly above the historical average of approximately 16. 

• This elevated ratio suggests that the market is currently overvalued compared to historical norms.

• See the chart below showing this.

• You can see the PE is coming down, and this is good!

• The 2 main factors for this are: 1. The market is falling, 2. Earnings are increasing.

• So this is “double good” for the market because the market is becoming cheaper from both a stock price standpoint and & earnings standpoint.

• Lots of AI growth is being priced in, and time will tell if we reap the rewards from that!

• This chart above shows the SP500 stock chart (light blue) with the earnings (black)

• In very simple terms, stocks & earnings move together, so at some point, the earnings line & stock chart lines WILL overlap.

• That means stocks continue to fall, or earnings just catch up.

• 1 thing is for sure, there is opportunity out there!

My Overall Take👇

• I think the market is in a decent place.

• Can we fall more? Absolutely.

• I think we are about 5% above IV now. So the market can easily tip either way.

• Remember, the market in the long run follows the earnings growth.

• So the base (VOO/QQQ) will trend up as time goes on.

• This is why the longer you stay in the market the more likely you are to make money because you’re giving the companies within the ETF more time to actually increase earnings.

• The market is irrational in the short term.

• Use that to your advantage!

• Time in the market > timing the market.

• I have about $1m in margin buying power ready to go if we dip lower.

• I stay invested and keep cash pile low.

• Build the base of your portfolio.

• Use options on high confidence plays to magnify returns.

• Yes, there is A LOT of opportunity out there right now.

• The question is, are you going to capitalize.

• Or are you going to sit on your hands…

• Do my course & come into my Exclusive Private Discord for Course members only.

• It will change your life!

MASSIVE 60% off coupon RIGHT NOW to learn how to invest in stocks & options once and for all. Click the button below to get in!

Economic Calendar For: March 24-28, 2025 

All times in PST

Monday March 24👇

5:45a PMI data

Tuesday March 25👇

7a Consumer Confidence

7a New Home Sales

Wednesday March 26👇

5:30a Durable Goods Orders

Thursday March 27👇

530a Initial Jobless Claims

530a GDP Data (second read)

7a Pending Home Sales

LuluLemon Earnings (post market)

Friday March 28👇

530a Personal Spending

530a PCE Data

7a Consumer Sentiment

I will be breaking all of this down in real time in Academy members only discord!

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2025

(updated daily)

I moved all trades and potential plays to ACADEMY members ONLY Discord!

Take your game to the next level. Join My Investing Academy. Come into my mastermind Discord!

• QQQ - $535

• VOO- $560

• IWM- $220

• SOXX- $215

• TSLA - $310

• NVDA- $160

• AAPL - $250

• PLTR- $85

• AMZN- $240

• GOOG - $200

• MSFT - $445

• JPM - $280

• SOFI - $12

• TSM  - $225

• AMD - $120

• META - $720

• MU - $120

• BITCOIN - $90,000

• SOLANA - $235

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2030

• QQQ- $830 (assuming 8% annual ROI)

• VOO- $830 (assuming 7% annual ROI)

• SOXX- $360 (assuming 8% annual ROI)

• TSLA- $1,200 (assuming 18% annual ROI)

• NVDA- $645 (assuming 25% annual ROI)

• AAPL - $375 (assuming 7% annual ROI)

• AMZN- $550 (assuming 15% annual ROI)

• MSFT - $1,000 (assuming 15% annual ROI)

• NVDA - $1,250 (assuming 45% annual ROI)

  (of course a lot of these will split, this is non split adjusted)

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