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- Alpha Report Issue #66
Alpha Report Issue #66
This Can CRASH The Market...
I am extending the 60% off coupon for my stocks & options course through Valentine’s Day! I love all of you guys and wanna help as many people as possible!

Hey guys!
I will be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every day the market is open!
I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better!
Enjoy!
-Brandon


Today’s Heat Map👇

Wednesday February 12, 2025 RECAP👇
Inflation data came in a little hot today!
Inflation controls interest rates, & that is BIG for stocks.
More on all of this below.
Fear & Greed Index For Today👇
44 Today & 47 Yesterday.
I feel that we are closer to 60 vs what this says.
Market was essentially flat today, so not much action here.
Market Fearful = Potential Opportunity/Deals
Market Greedy = Potential Over Valuation.

Today’s Economic Updates👇
30 year fixed mortgage rate climbs to 7.09% Today vs 6.97% Yesterday.
10 year treasury bond yield climbs to 4.62% Today, vs 4.53% Yesterday.
2 year treasury bond yield climbs to 4.35% Today, vs 4.29% Yesterday.
CPI INFLATION DATA DROPPED TODAY👇
CPI inflation just popped +0.5% in one month, the largest increase since August 2023. Expectations were 0.3% MoM.
YoY CPI expected at 2.9% but came in at 3%.
Bumpy! But we will be ok! Volatility is ok.
The key is to capitalize on the volatility!
"If you're rich, why don't you buy more stuff?"
Because it's better to be rich than to try to convince others that you're rich.
— Investing With Brandon (@Invest_Brandon)
7:00 PM • Feb 12, 2025

This Can Crash Stocks👇
Money always wants to find the best risk adjusted return. The 2 big dog investments are stocks & bonds. Let’s break down why this matters so much to the stock market & why trouble can be on the horizon!
Stocks vs Bonds👇
Stocks: Considered to be the “risky” investment and averages about 10-12% annually.
Bonds: Considered to be the “risk free” investment and averages about 4.7% right now for the 10 year bond.
Why Does This Matter?👇
I have said this a million times, interest rates are like gravity on the stock market.
So why am I talking about this today?
Cause inflation came in a little hot, and the federal reserve will most likely keep interest rates higher for longer to slow down the economy and bring inflation down.
This can be bad for stocks because bonds become more attractive as the “risk free” investment with a higher yield.
Think about it, if stocks are expected to do 10% a year and lets say for the sake of the example that bonds were at 10% too, what one would you pick?
Most would choose the bond cause it is guaranteed.
Stocks are not.
Right now, the bond yield is about 4.7%
So as bond yields climb, more investors are going to justify putting their money in a bond vs the “risky” stock market.
This all comes back to inflation…
If inflation is high, the fed will signal they are going to keep rates higher for longer and that pushes up bond yields… (bad for stocks)
My Thoughts👇
Let’s look at the chart below that projects what interest rates will be at in a given time.

This is called the CME fed watch tool.
So on the chart above, I selected the December 10, 2025 fed meeting to see what rates are expected to be at.
Right now we are in the range of 4.25% - 4.5%.
The bar on the right side shows that there is a 28% chance we are at that same range in December of this year!
So 28% chance of NO cuts…
The bar next to it shows there is a 40% chance we get 1 cut of 25bps (0.25%)
The stock market now has to price this in, so expect volatility.
So How Would Markets Crash👇
Well, if inflation continues to trend higher, the fed might even RAISE interest rates!
Let me show 2 charts to show stock market valuations and interest rates.

This chart shows the PE ratio of the S&P 500 on a trailing 12 month basis.

This chart shows the Fed interest rate.
Ok let’s make this ultra simple.
Look at the PE ratio chart in 1980.
See how the PE is super low.
Now look at the interest rates in 1980.
See how rates are high!
So high rates = low stock market valuations (low PEs)
Notice how rates have been getting cut since 1980 and PEs have slowly trended higher?
Lower rates = Higher stock market valuations (higher PEs)
So What Do We Do👇
There is lots of opportunity out there in the market, but there also is a lot of companies that are VERY expensive with respect to fundamentals.
I made a few big plays this month so far and generated about $56,000 in options premium.
Yes $56k in a month for the plays I just opened up.
I get this credit to my account IMMEDIATELY!
There is opportunity out there, but you gotta be careful.
The key is learning how to value a company, how to spot opportunities, when to get in, when to get out, how to manage risk, and how to win consistently.
If you want my full system and how you can immediately start doing this, check out my course below!
Plus! Whenever high profile companies report earnings, I break them all down like this in real time in course members ONLY discord!
Become a course member and come in!
Current Thoughts In My Head👇
Day to day stock price changes don’t matter.
Be an investor, zoom out, and be patient.
Day to day movements don’t matter
The market feels a bit stretched—probably about 5-10% above intrinsic value.
Trump seems committed to keeping the economy strong and driving inflation down, which could provide stability if it actually pans out.
BUT, he also loves tariffs & the market does not…
Earnings have been solid so far, which is exactly what’s needed to justify current stock valuations.
I’m not calling this a bubble, but things are a little expensive.
As always, be prepared for any scenario.

Economic Calendar For: Feb 10-14, 2025
All times in PST
Monday, Feb 10👇
McDonalds Earnings (pre market)
Tuesday, Feb 11👇
7a Jerome Powell testifies to congress.
SMCI Earnings (post market)
Wednesday, Feb 12👇
530a CPI Data (inflation data)
7a Jerome Powell testifies to congress.
Robinhood Earnings (post market)
Cisco Earnings (post market)
Thursday, Feb 13👇
530a Initial Jobless Claims
530a PPI Data (Producer Price Index)
Coinbase Earnings (post market)
Palo Alto Networks Earnings (post market)
Friday, Feb 14👇
530a Retail Sales
I will be breaking all of this down in real time in course members only discord!


👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2025
(updated daily)
I moved all trades and potential plays to course members ONLY Discord!
Take your game to the next level. Do my course. Come into my mastermind Discord!
QQQ - $560
VOO- $575
IWM- $240
SOXX- $240
TSLA - $390
NVDA- $175
AAPL - $250
PLTR- $85
AMZN- $255
GOOG - $200
MSFT - $445
JPM - $295
SOFI - $12
TSM - $225
AMD - $135
META - $750
BITCOIN - $95,000
SOLANA - $240
👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2030
QQQ- $830 (assuming 8% annual ROI)
VOO- $830 (assuming 7% annual ROI)
SOXX- $360 (assuming 8% annual ROI)
TSLA- $1,200 (assuming 18% annual ROI)
NVDA- $645 (assuming 25% annual ROI)
AAPL - $375 (assuming 7% annual ROI)
AMZN- $550 (assuming 15% annual ROI)
MSFT - $1,000 (assuming 15% annual ROI)
NVDA - $1,250 (assuming 45% annual ROI)
(of course a lot of these will split, this is non split adjusted)

👇Current Value of My Trading Account👇
(updated daily)
👇Yearly Account Account Value
December 2018 - $0
December 2019 - $45,251
December 2020 - $150,191
December 2021 - $267,524
December 2022- $290,315
December 2023 - $506,223
December 2024 - $927,796
IN PROGRESS 2025 - $937,361
👇Portfolio Thoughts
Amazing growth from 2018 to Current all off of a total contribution of $90,000.
That is over a 10x in 7 years!
I did this in a very low risk and conservative way.
I feel the market is a little stretched & volatility is healthy and normal!
If bond yields continue to climb, I expect pain in the markets to continue.
I will continue to find great investments / options plays that will pan out to explode the portfolio in the long run.
Month to month and even year to year volatility is irrelevant.
I see volatility as opportunity!
My goal is $5,000,000 in this account by 2030.
I see this as very achievable and if the market dips further, I will capitalize heavily, just like I did in 2022!
Stay the course and keep your emotions in check!