Hey guys!

I will be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every day the market is open!

I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better!

Enjoy!

-Brandon

Today’s Heat Map👇

Tuesday February 11, 2025 RECAP👇

• Market overall flat today as tariff talk gets digested!

• All eyes on CPI inflation data tomorrow!

• Let’s break down Teslas CRAZY run and talk about the future.

• More on all of this below.

Fear & Greed Index For Today👇

• 47 Today & 46 Friday

• I feel that we are closer to 60 vs what this says.

• Market was essentially flat today, so not much action here.

• Market Fearful = Potential Opportunity/Deals

• Market Greedy = Potential Over Valuation.

  

Today’s Economic Updates👇

• 30 year fixed mortgage rate climbs to 6.97% Today vs 6.96% Yesterday.

• 10 year treasury bond yield climbs to 4.53% Today, vs 4.49% Yesterday.

• 2 year treasury bond yield flat at 4.29% Today, vs 4.29% Yesterday.

CPI INFLATION DATA DROPS TOMORROW👇

• MoM expected at 0.3%

• Core MoM expected at 0.3%

• YoY CPI expected at 2.9%

• Core CPI expected at 3.1%

I will be breaking all this down in course members ONLY discord in real time!

Lets Talk About Tesla👇

Tesla has been on a wild ride the last few years! Lots of hype is being priced in to the stock around RoboTaxi & the Optimus humanoid robot. Is this hype or legit? Let’s break it down!

Flow of My Breakdown👇

• Part 1: The Standard Numbers.

• Part 2: Notes.

• Part 3: Price Targets & Valuation.

Part 1👇

• Currently trading at $328/share

• Q4 24 EPS: $0.73

• Q3 24 EPS: $0.72

• Q2 24 EPS: $0.52

• Q1 24 EPS: $0.45

• Total TTM EPS: $2.42

• 328/2.42= 135 PE trailing.

• EPS same quarter last year was $0.71 vs 0.73 now. That’s 3% EPS gain YoY.

• Revenue same quarter last year was $25.1b vs $25.7b now. That's 2% revenue gain YoY.

• The stock is up 74% in the last year.

Part 2👇

• Optimus in pilot production

• Cyber cab 2026 volume production

• 2025 vehicle growth returning is expected

• Expect energy deployments growth to be up 50% annually

• Cost of goods sold under 35k per vehicle. (they are becoming more efficient)

• Still on track for new more affordable models in 1H 2025

• Cleaning old model Y inventory and ramping new model Y prob had negative effects on Q4 numbers

• Robo taxi services later this year.

• This will be in select locations on HW4 most likely Elon expects epic 2026

• Ridiculous 2027 & 2028 per Elon

• Elon is ultra bullish FSD and robotaxi Largest asset value increase in history Elon said.

• Optimus is much harder to train than FSD. (more demand for compute. good for NVDA prob)

• Thousands of optimus bots will be made this year

• It doesn't take many years to scale optimus to millions per year of production

• Optimus will be able to play piano and thread a needle

• Optimus will be majority of Tesla valuation in future

• Expects to launch unsupervised FSD in various areas of the country this year beyond Texas

• Other auto makers are interested in licensing tesla

• FSD Optimus available for purchase to companies end of 2026

• When volume of Optimus production is 1m/yr the cost will be $20k to produce.

Part 3👇

• The issue is valuation now…

• 135 TTM PE is up there and yea they can grow into the valuation.

• The question is how much can they extract from robo taxi?

• Optimus is years away from being mainstream, so we gotta focus on robo now.

• Yes I think Optimus will be hugeeeee.

• So for robotaxi, just run the numbers…

• If they convert half the HW4 fleet to $300/mo to pay for unsupervised FSD/robotaxi, let’s say that comes out to 3m ish the end of 2026.

• 3m cars x $300 = $900m/mo x 12 = 10.8b

• Shares outstanding = 3b

• So let’s call it $3.5 EPS boost

• Assign a 75PE = $262 share price boost.

• Yes very great, but that’s 3m cars paying $300/mo

• Is it worth more than $300/mo to "unlock" your car and send it to the robotaxi network? Yes of course.

• Will the cars be worth more money cause they are now a cash producing asset and not a liability? Yes.

• How much more? hard to say. But some amount more...

• FSD also just launched in mexico.

• More markets are coming.

• I personally have a Hardware 3 Tesla and I use FSD ALL THE TIME!

• Here is how you know I trust it… When We drove home from the hospital with our newborn, We were on FSD... I feel is it better an a human now. ON HW3!

• HW4 is better.

• So $262 share price boost for 3m cars at $300/mo I don't think it will be so black and white tho.

• Cars may be more expensive cause of more use.

• Margins fatter.

• FSD may be more than $300/mo

• They will prob take some percent of revenue from ride hailing too...

• BUT this is all excluding Optimus which is the WHALE.

• Optimus is a few years out tho in my opinion...

• Tesla is really the story of the crazy future to come, but it's not here YET.

• So valuing on TTM earnings is kinda the wrong way IMO...

• I said it many times before, it is a hard one to value...

• How to value RoboTaxi/FSD... How to value optimus.

• I feel confident tesla will be much more profitable in 3 years from now. But the issue is the current valuation prices some of this in.

• But how much?

• I think ZERO optimus is priced in.

• I think under 50% of robo taxi is priced in.

• So is there a lot of upside? BIG TIME.

• But it’s going to take time!

So the MILLION DOLLAR QUESTION!!!!!!! Do we make a play?

• I currently have over 700 shares of Tesla and I plan to add on pull backs.

• Is the stock still a little expensive now? Yes

• But its close to intrinsic value (within $50 in my opinion)

• Sold some puts on Tesla today and collected $26,192 in premium to my account.

• Yes, I get that 26,192 credited to my account IMMEDIATELY!

• Wanna know the kicker?

• I got paid over $26k to buy the shares for $190 per share in the future.

• Yes, sounds too good to be true huh…

• That is the magic of learning how to do options the RIGHT WAY.

• Who on earth wouldn’t wanna buy Tesla for $190 per share and get paid over $26k to do it!

• The key is learning how to value a company, how to spot opportunities, when to get in, when to get out, how to manage risk, and how to win consistently.

• If you want my full system and how you can immediately start doing this, check out my course below!

• Plus! Whenever high profile companies report earnings, I break them all down like this in real time in course members ONLY discord!

• Become a course member and come in!

Current Thoughts In My Head👇

• Day to day stock price changes don’t matter.

• Be an investor, zoom out, and be patient.

• Day to day movements don’t matter

• The market feels a bit stretched—probably about 5-10% above intrinsic value.

• Trump seems committed to keeping the economy strong and driving inflation down, which could provide stability if it actually pans out.

• BUT, he also loves tariffs & the market does not…

• Earnings have been solid so far, which is exactly what’s needed to justify current stock valuations.

• I’m not calling this a bubble, but things are a little expensive.

• As always, be prepared for any scenario.

Economic Calendar For: Feb 10-14, 2025

All times in PST

Monday, Feb 10👇

McDonalds Earnings (pre market)

Tuesday, Feb 11👇

7a Jerome Powell testifies to congress.

SMCI Earnings (post market)

Wednesday, Feb 12👇

530a CPI Data (inflation data)

7a Jerome Powell testifies to congress.

Robinhood Earnings (post market)

Cisco Earnings (post market)

Thursday, Feb 13👇

530a Initial Jobless Claims

530a PPI Data (Producer Price Index)

Coinbase Earnings (post market)

Palo Alto Networks Earnings (post market)

Friday, Feb 14👇

530a Retail Sales

I will be breaking all of this down in real time in course members only discord!

(This is ONLY my free section of discord, you will not be able to see the course members section)

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2025

(updated daily)

I moved all trades and potential plays to course members ONLY Discord!

Take your game to the next level. Do my course. Come into my mastermind Discord!

• QQQ - $565

• VOO- $575

• IWM- $240

• SOXX- $240

• TSLA - $390 (sorry, on yesterdays report I added an extra zero…)

• NVDA- $170

• AAPL - $250

• PLTR- $90

• AMZN- $255

• GOOG - $200

• MSFT - $450

• JPM - $275

• SOFI - $12

• TSM  - $225

• AMD - $135

• META - $750

• BITCOIN - $95,000

• SOLANA - $240

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2030

• QQQ- $830 (assuming 8% annual ROI)

• VOO- $830 (assuming 7% annual ROI)

• SOXX- $360 (assuming 8% annual ROI)

• TSLA- $1,200 (assuming 18% annual ROI)

• NVDA- $645 (assuming 25% annual ROI)

• AAPL - $375 (assuming 7% annual ROI)

• AMZN- $550 (assuming 15% annual ROI)

• MSFT - $1,000 (assuming 15% annual ROI)

  (of course a lot of these will split, this is non split adjusted)

👇Current Value of My Trading Account👇

(updated daily)

👇Yearly Account Account Value

• December 2018 - $0

• December 2019 - $45,251

• December 2020 - $150,191

• December 2021 - $267,524

• December 2022- $290,315

• December 2023 - $506,223

• December 2024 - $927,796

• IN PROGRESS 2025 - $940,156

👇Portfolio Thoughts

• Amazing growth from 2018 to Current all off of a total contribution of $90,000.

• That is over a 10x in 7 years!

• I did this in a very low risk and conservative way.

• I feel the market is a little stretched & volatility is healthy and normal!

• If bond yields continue to climb, I expect pain in the markets to continue.

• I will continue to find great investments / options plays that will pan out to explode the portfolio in the long run.

• Month to month and even year to year volatility is irrelevant.

• I see volatility as opportunity!

• My goal is $5,000,000 in this account by 2030.

• I see this as very achievable and if the market dips further, I will capitalize heavily, just like I did in 2022!

• Stay the course and keep your emotions in check!

👇Check Out My Links👇