Alpha Report Issue #59

Tariff Volatility Strikes.

Welcome to The Alpha Report đź‘‹

Hey guys!

I will be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every day the market is open! I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better! Enjoy!

-Brandon

Today’s Heat Map👇

Monday February 3, 2025 RECAP👇

  • Futures opened up deep red last night on the back of Canada putting 25% tariffs on America.

  • Trump apparently talked with Canada’s prime minister Justin Trudeau today, and now tariffs are on hold.

  • Zoom out in volatile times.

  • More on this below.

Fear & Greed Index For Today👇

  • 44 Today & 46 Yesterday

  • Market dipped today and that pushed the needle to the left.

  • I feel that we are closer to 55 vs what this says, so roughly in balance.

  • Volatility from Trump and tariff talks hit the market today.

Today’s Economic Updates👇

  • 30 year fixed mortgage rate climbs to 6.97% today vs 6.96% Friday.

  • 10 year treasury bond yield flat at 4.54% today, vs 4.54% Friday.

  • 2 year treasury bond yield climbs to 4.26% today, vs 4.20% Yesterday.

Tariffs Hit The Markets👇

Trump’s tariffs are sending shockwaves through the market, with negotiations still on going. So everything I say in this newsletter applies to the time I am writing it.

Key Takeaways👇

  • Today Trump announced a one-month pause on the newly imposed tariffs on Mexico.

  • This decision came after Mexico agreed to reinforce its northern border with 10,000 National Guard members to curb the flow of illegal drugs, particularly fentanyl.

  • However, the tariffs on imports from Canada and China remain in effect.

  • As of now, 25% tariff applies to all imports from Canada, with Canadian energy resources subject to a 10% tariff.

  • Imports from China are subject to a 10% tariff.

  • Remember, this is ongoing and evolving!

  • So the "trade war" now can flip on a dime.

  • This is pure news-driven trading.

  • If you plan to do short term trades (which is usually gambling), stay glued to the news.

  • One call between Trump and Mexico/Canada could flip sentiment fast and things can moon back...

5 day chart of the S&P500. You can see the dip Feb 3 from the tariffs.

So What Am I Personally Doing With My $2m Portfolio👇

  • So there is a lot of people that DM me every day saying “should I buy the dip” “is now the time to bet everything” I say no.

  • I have been saying for a few months now that the market is a little lofty, and it is key to be careful now.

  • I do think the tariff situation will work out, but expect volatility.

  • I have over a million dollars in buying power ready to go in the event the market dips lower.

  • If it doesn’t, I am positioned to capitalize on upside.

  • Either way I will win.

  • I don’t stress looking at tickers all day and “hoping” for things to go my way.

  • Hope is not a strategy.

  • Actually understanding what you are buying and at what valuation level is what will make you millions in the long run.

Let’s Talk About Mr. Market Super Quick👇

  • I talk about this in my course, but wanna hit on Mr. Market here:

  • Mr. Market is basically the stock market personified as an emotional, irrational business partner who shows up every day offering to buy or sell your stocks at random prices.

  • Some days he’s euphoric and throws out ridiculous offers, other days he’s in full panic mode, practically giving stocks away.

  • The key? Ignore his emotions and take advantage of his mistakes.

  • When he’s scared, buy.

  • When he’s greedy, sell.

  • It is that simple.

  • This analogy came out of a book I read a while ago called the Intelligent Investor.

  • It was wrote by Warren Buffet’s college professor.

  • But the example stands. The market is fear & greed.

  • There will be times when Mr. Market shoots out some crazy prices both expensive & cheap.

  • But guess what, we only have to strike when it’s in our favor.

  • I will then use options to magnify both bullish and bearish expected moves of certain companies/ETFs.

Economic Calendar👇

Economic Calendar For: Feb 3-7, 2025

All times in PST

Monday, Feb 3👇

Palantir Earnings (post market)

Tuesday, Feb 4👇

Paypal Earnings (pre market)

7a Job Openings

7a Factory Orders

Google Earnings (post market)

AMD Earnings (post market)

Chipotle Earnings (post market)

Wednesday, Feb 5👇

Uber Earnings (pre market)

Disney Earnings (pre market)

5:15a ADP Employment Data

Qualcomm Earnings (post market)

Arm Earnings (post market)

Microstrategy Earnings (post market)

Ford Earnings (post market)

Thursday, Feb 6👇

530a Initial Jobless Claims

530a US Productivity Report

Amazon Earnings (post market)

Friday, Feb 7👇

530a Employment Reports

I will be breaking all of this down in real time in course members only discord!

Current Thoughts In My Head👇

  • Day to day stock price changes don’t matter.

  • Be an investor, zoom out, and be patient.

  • Day to day movements don’t matter

  • The market feels a bit stretched—probably about 5-10% above intrinsic value.

  • Trump seems committed to keeping the economy strong and driving inflation down, which could provide stability if it actually pans out.

  • Earnings have been solid so far, which is exactly what’s needed to justify current stock valuations.

  • I’m not calling this a bubble, but let’s be real—things are a little frothy.

  • As always, be prepared for any scenario.

👇Check Out My Links👇

(This is ONLY my free section of discord, you will not be able to see the course members section)

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2025

(updated daily)

I moved all trades and potential plays to course members ONLY Discord!

Take your game to the next level. Do my course. Come into my mastermind Discord!

  • QQQ - $565

  • VOO - $575

  • IWM - $240

  • SOXX - $240

  • TSLA - $400

  • NVDA - $180

  • AAPL - $250

  • PLTR - $75

  • AMZN - $245

  • GOOG - $205

  • MSFT - $460

  • JPM - $260

  • SOFI - $12

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2030

  • QQQ - $830 (assuming 8% annual ROI)

  • VOO - $830 (assuming 7% annual ROI)

  • SOXX - $360 (assuming 8% annual ROI)

  • TSLA - $1,200 (assuming 18% annual ROI)

  • NVDA - $645 (assuming 25% annual ROI)

  • AAPL - $375 (assuming 7% annual ROI)

  • AMZN - $550 (assuming 15% annual ROI)

  • MSFT - $1,000 (assuming 15% annual ROI)

    (of course a lot of these will split, this is non split adjusted)

👇Current Value of My Trading Account👇

(updated daily)

👇Yearly Account Account Value

  • December 2018 - $0

  • December 2019 - $45,251

  • December 2020 - $150,191

  • December 2021 - $267,524

  • December 2022- $290,315

  • December 2023 - $506,223

  • December 2024 - $927,796

  • IN PROGRESS 2025 - $936,861

👇Portfolio Thoughts

  • Amazing growth from 2018 to Current all off of a total contribution of $90,000.

  • That is over a 10x in 7 years!

  • I did this in a very low risk and conservative way.

  • I feel the market is a little stretched & volatility is healthy and normal!

  • If bond yields continue to climb, I expect pain in the markets to continue.

  • I will continue to find great investments / options plays that will pan out to explode the portfolio in the long run.

  • Month to month and even year to year volatility is irrelevant.

  • I see volatility as opportunity!

  • My goal is $5,000,000 in this account by 2030.

  • I see this as very achievable and if the market dips further, I will capitalize heavily, just like I did in 2022!

  • Stay the course and keep your emotions in check!

👇How My Trades Have Performed Since 2023👇

Blue = Me, Black = Nasdaq, Orange = SP500

DISCLAIMER: I AM NOT A CPA, ATTORNEY, TAX ADVISOR, OR INSURANCE ADVISOR. NOTHING CONTAINED WITHIN THESE EMAILS, VIDEOS, COURSES, OR OTHER CONTENT CONSTITUTES FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX, LEGAL, INSURANCE, OR OTHER ADVICE, NOR SHOULD ANYTHING CONTAINED WITHIN THESE EMAILS, VIDEOS, OR OTHER CONTENT BE RELIED UPON FOR MAKING AN INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISION. YOU SHOULD CONSIDER OBTAINING RELEVANT AND SPECIFIC PROFESSIONAL ADVICE BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISION. IF YOU NEED SUCH ADVICE, PLEASE CONTACT A QUALIFIED CPA, ATTORNEY, TAX PROFESSIONAL,  INSURANCE AGENT, OR FINANCIAL ADVISOR. PAST RESULTS DO NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS. YOU CAN LOSE MONEY INVESTING AND TRADING. LINKED ITEMS MAY CREATE A FINANCIAL BENEFIT FOR INVESTINGWITHBRANDON.