Alpha Report Issue #57

Tariffs & Volatility!

Welcome to The Alpha Report ðŸ‘‹

Hey guys!

I will be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every day the market is open! I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better! Enjoy!

-Brandon

I Just Made a BRAND NEW Instagram Account!

I will be making some super helpful investing/options content over there in addition to my X, YouTube & Newsletter!

Today’s Heat Map👇

Thursday January 30, 2025 RECAP👇

  • Market climbed higher today as the market digests big tech earnings.

  • Overall earnings have been pretty good, but things are just a little expensive so gotta be careful!

  • Trump Tariffs may put some heat on the economy.

  • More on this below.

Fear & Greed Index For Today👇

  • 48 Today & 46 Yesterday

  • Market climbed higher today, which pushed the needle to the right.

  • I feel that we are closer to 60 vs what this says, so a tad greedy.

  • Always keep your emotions in check on pumps & dumps!

  • Short term market movements are usually irrelevant.

  • Volatility is opportunity.

  • Be greedy when others are fearful.

  • Be fearful when others are greedy.

Today’s Economic Updates👇

  • 30 year fixed mortgage rate falls to 6.86% today vs 6.95% Yesterday.

  • 10 year treasury bond yield falls to 4.52% today, vs 4.54% Yesterday.

  • 2 year treasury bond yield falls to 4.21% today, vs 4.22% Yesterday.

  • U.S. Q4 GDP 2.3% vs 2.5% expected/

  • U.S. initial jobless claims actual 207k vs 225k expected.

  • Overall nothing massively bullish or bearish

Trumps Tariffs👇

Trump Threatens 25% Tariffs on Mexico & Canada Imports effective February 1, 2025, unless both countries take action against fentanyl trafficking and illegal immigration.

Key Takeaways👇

  • Trade Impact: The tariffs will target a broad range of goods, including oil and automotive parts.

  • Market Reaction: Gold prices hit record highs as investors brace for economic disruption.

  • Political Response: Mexico’s government downplays the threat, expecting a diplomatic resolution.

  • Economic Implications: U.S. auto and energy sectors could face increased costs, while Trump’s nominee for Commerce Secretary suggests the tariffs could be temporary or avoidable.

  • This potential policy shift could have major implications for trade and inflation, making it a key issue to watch!

So What Does This Mean?👇

  • If these tariffs actually happen, it’s a big deal for trade, inflation, and the markets.

  • A 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada means higher costs for oil, cars, and other imports, which could trickle down to consumers.

  • For investors, this could shake up sectors like energy and automotive.

  • Some companies will absorb the costs, while others pass them onto consumers.

  • Gold just hit a record high, which tells you investors are already nervous.

  • On the political side, Mexico isn’t taking the threat seriously, and Trump’s team is saying the tariffs are negotiable—so this could just be a leverage play.

  • Either way, it’s something to watch because markets hate uncertainty.

What Happened Last Time?👇

  • During Trump’s first term, he imposed tariffs on China, triggering a trade war.

  • The stock market was volatile, with major sell-offs in 2018 when tensions escalated.

  • Sectors like tech and industrials got hit the hardest.

  • However, once trade negotiations improved, the market rebounded hard, with the S&P 500 gaining over 28% in 2019.

  • This shows that while tariffs can cause short-term panic, markets adapt—especially if the Fed steps in.

  • If these Mexico/Canada tariffs go through, expect initial volatility but also opportunities, depending on how businesses and policymakers react.

Economic Calendar👇

Economic Calendar For: Jan 27–31, 2025

All times in PST

Thursday, Jan 30👇

UPS earnings (pre market)

Mastercard earnings (pre market)

530a GDP Data

530a Initial Jobless Claims

Apple earnings (post market)

Visa earnings (post market)

Intel earnings (post market)

Friday, Jan 31👇

Chevron earnings (pre market)

Exxon earnings (pre market)

530a PCE Data

530a Employment Cost Index

I will be breaking all of this down in real time in course members only discord!

Current Thoughts In My Head👇

  • Day to day stock price changes don’t matter.

  • Be an investor zoom out and be patient.

  • Day to day movements don’t matter

  • The market feels a bit stretched—probably about 5-10% above intrinsic value.

  • Trump seems committed to keeping the economy strong and driving inflation down, which could provide stability if it actually pans out.

  • Earnings have been solid so far, which is exactly what’s needed to justify current stock valuations.

  • I’m not calling this a bubble, but let’s be real—things are a little frothy.

  • As always, be prepared for any scenario.

  • I’m an investor, not a speculator.

Words To Live By👇

  • Do not make plays to make plays.

  • ONLY make high margin of safety plays.

  • Do not buy something just cause the share price is going up

  • Continue to DCA into quality stocks/ETFs at good prices.

  • When you find undervalued companies, use options to magnify gains

  • Check out my links below for my course, free guides, & intrinsic value calculator!

👇Check Out My Links👇

(This is ONLY my free section of discord, you will not be able to see the course members section)

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2025

(updated daily)

I moved all trades and potential plays to course members ONLY Discord!

Take your game to the next level. Do my course. Come into my mastermind Discord!

  • QQQ - $565

  • VOO - $575

  • IWM - $240

  • SOXX - $240

  • TSLA - $400

  • NVDA - $190

  • AAPL - $250

  • PLTR - $60

  • AMZN - $245

  • GOOG - $205

  • MSFT - $460

  • JPM - $260

  • SOFI - $12

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2030

  • QQQ - $830 (assuming 8% annual ROI)

  • VOO - $830 (assuming 7% annual ROI)

  • SOXX - $360 (assuming 8% annual ROI)

  • TSLA - $1,200 (assuming 18% annual ROI)

  • NVDA - $645 (assuming 25% annual ROI)

  • AAPL - $375 (assuming 7% annual ROI)

  • AMZN - $550 (assuming 15% annual ROI)

  • MSFT - $1,000 (assuming 15% annual ROI)

    (of course a lot of these will split, this is non split adjusted)

👇Current Value of My Trading Account👇

(updated daily)

👇Yearly Account Account Value

  • December 2018 - $0

  • December 2019 - $45,251

  • December 2020 - $150,191

  • December 2021 - $267,524

  • December 2022- $290,315

  • December 2023 - $506,223

  • December 2024 - $927,796

  • IN PROGRESS 2025 - $953,995

👇Portfolio Thoughts

  • Amazing growth from 2018 to Current all off of a total contribution of $90,000.

  • That is over a 10x in 7 years!

  • I did this in a very low risk and conservative way.

  • I feel the market is a little stretched & volatility is healthy and normal!

  • If bond yields continue to climb, I expect pain in the markets to continue.

  • I will continue to find great investments / options plays that will pan out to explode the portfolio in the long run.

  • Month to month and even year to year volatility is irrelevant.

  • I see volatility as opportunity!

  • My goal is $5,000,000 in this account by 2030.

  • I see this as very achievable and if the market dips further, I will capitalize heavily, just like I did in 2022!

  • Stay the course and keep your emotions in check!

👇How My Trades Have Performed Since 2023👇

Blue = Me, Black = Nasdaq, Orange = SP500

DISCLAIMER: I AM NOT A CPA, ATTORNEY, TAX ADVISOR, OR INSURANCE ADVISOR. NOTHING CONTAINED WITHIN THESE EMAILS, VIDEOS, COURSES, OR OTHER CONTENT CONSTITUTES FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX, LEGAL, INSURANCE, OR OTHER ADVICE, NOR SHOULD ANYTHING CONTAINED WITHIN THESE EMAILS, VIDEOS, OR OTHER CONTENT BE RELIED UPON FOR MAKING AN INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISION. YOU SHOULD CONSIDER OBTAINING RELEVANT AND SPECIFIC PROFESSIONAL ADVICE BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISION. IF YOU NEED SUCH ADVICE, PLEASE CONTACT A QUALIFIED CPA, ATTORNEY, TAX PROFESSIONAL,  INSURANCE AGENT, OR FINANCIAL ADVISOR. PAST RESULTS DO NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS. YOU CAN LOSE MONEY INVESTING AND TRADING. LINKED ITEMS MAY CREATE A FINANCIAL BENEFIT FOR INVESTINGWITHBRANDON.