Alpha Report Issue #55

Market Digests Deep Seek, Tomorrow Is BIG!

Welcome to The Alpha Report ðŸ‘‹

Hey guys!

I will be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every day the market is open! I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better! Enjoy!

-Brandon

Today’s Heat Map👇

Tuesday January 28, 2025 RECAP👇

  • Marked rebounded today as the AI sector digests Deep Seek.

  • The AI sector is rapidly evolving and time will tell if the dip in the chips sector was justified.

  • I am positioned to capitalize on upside, but also have a lot of buying power available in the event the market takes a hit post Fed & Earnings.

  • All eyes are on BIG tech earnings starting Tomorrow!

  • More on this below.

Fear & Greed Index For Today👇

  • 49 Yesterday & 45 Today.

  • Market recovered today as Deep Seek gets digested.

  • I like to buy when there is fear, but we need time to see how companies report in the coming days.

  • I am sure CEOs will get drilled about it.

  • I feel that we are closer to 55 vs what this says, so kinda neutral.

  • Always keep your emotions in check on pumps & dumps!

  • Short term market movements are usually irrelevant.

  • Volatility is opportunity.

  • Be greedy when others are fearful.

  • Be fearful when others are greedy.

Today’s Economic Updates👇

  • 30 year fixed mortgage rate climbs to 6.97% today vs 6.96% Yesterday.

  • 10 year treasury bond yield flat at 4.55% today, vs 4.55% Yesterday.

  • 2 year treasury bond yield falls to 4.19% today, vs 4.21% Yesterday.

  • Durable goods orders fall 2.2% in December.

  • This report shows that overall, businesses ordered fewer durable goods in December, mostly because of less transportation items.

Expect Volatility!👇

  • Remember!

  • The market only fell a few percent yesterday.

  • So don’t think you're getting some massive dip now.

  • I feel the market is about 10% ish over valued.

  • Yesterday does not change much.

  • Today things bounced back as the market tries to digest Deep Seek.

  • The jury will not be out on NVIDIA for at least 6 months in my opinion.

  • I wanna see a few quarters of earnings to get a good amount of time built into this new info and demand.

  • Like I said yesterday, I don’t think NVIDIA is going to be destroyed, there is just a chance they have a slower growth rate going forward.

  • When you have high growth expectations built into a stock and they don’t deliver, it will reprice.

  • Guess what, you don’t always have to form an opinion on everything.

  • Warren Buffett has said that many times.

  • Only invest in companies that you understand & only when you are getting in with a high margin of safety!

  • Maybe yesterday was the repricing the market needed. Time will tell.

  • I still stand on we are a little expensive.

  • Earnings & Guidance NEEDS to be good for tech.

  • If they aren’t, expect a dip.

  • J pow can’t be too much of a hawk tomorrow also.

  • He stands stern that the job is not done until we get inflation down to 2%.

  • We are not there yet.

This chart shows there is a 97% chance we get NO interest rate cut tomorrow.

  • I am positioned to capitalize on upside and downside!

  • Be careful with leverage now!

Economic Calendar👇

Economic Calendar For: Jan 27–31, 2025

All times in PST

Monday, Jan 27👇

SOFI earnings (pre market)

Tuesday, Jan 28👇

530a Durable Goods Orders

GM earnings (pre market)

Starbucks earnings (post market)

Wednesday, Jan 29👇

ASML earnings (pre market)

11a Fed Interest Rate Decision

11:30a Jerome Powell Press Conference

Tesla earnings (post market)

Microsoft earnings (post market)

Meta earnings (post market)

Thursday, Jan 30👇

UPS earnings (pre market)

Mastercard earnings (pre market)

530a GDP Data

530a Initial Jobless Claims

Apple earnings (post market)

Visa earnings (post market)

Intel earnings (post market)

Friday, Jan 31👇

Chevron earnings (pre market)

Exxon earnings (pre market)

530a PCE Data

530a Employment Cost Index

I will be breaking all of this down in real time in course members only discord!

Current Thoughts In My Head👇

  • Day to day stock price changes don’t matter

  • Material changes matter.

  • Just wanna be VERY clear - Nvidia falling 15% yesterday and up 9% today does not mean the intrinsic value of the company is changing that much.

  • Nobody knows right now how this is going to pan out and the vast majority of the volume today is from retail traders.

  • Just because the stock is going up, nothing changed from yesterday.

  • It’s just fear and greed.

  • Be an investor zoom out and be patient.

  • Day to day movements don’t matter

  • The market feels a bit stretched—probably about 5-10% above intrinsic value.

  • Trump seems committed to keeping the economy strong and driving inflation down, which could provide stability if it actually pans out.

  • Earnings have been solid so far, which is exactly what’s needed to justify current stock valuations.

  • I’m not calling this a bubble, but let’s be real—things are a little frothy.

  • As always, be prepared for any scenario.

  • I’m an investor, not a speculator.

Words To Live By👇

  • Do not make plays to make plays.

  • ONLY make high margin of safety plays.

  • Do not buy something just cause the share price is going up

  • Continue to DCA into quality stocks/ETFs at good prices.

  • When you find undervalued companies, use options to magnify gains

  • Check out my links below for my course, free guides, & intrinsic value calculator!

👇Check Out My Links👇

(This is ONLY my free section of discord, you will not be able to see the course members section)

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2025

(updated daily)

  • QQQ - $565

  • VOO - $575

  • IWM - $240

  • SOXX - $240

  • TSLA - $400

  • NVDA - $190

  • AAPL - $250

  • PLTR - $60

  • AMZN - $245

  • GOOG - $205

  • MSFT - $460

  • JPM - $260

  • SOFI - $12

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2030

  • QQQ - $830 (assuming 8% annual ROI)

  • VOO - $830 (assuming 7% annual ROI)

  • SOXX - $360 (assuming 8% annual ROI)

  • TSLA - $1,200 (assuming 18% annual ROI)

  • NVDA - $645 (assuming 25% annual ROI)

  • AAPL - $375 (assuming 7% annual ROI)

  • AMZN - $550 (assuming 15% annual ROI)

  • MSFT - $1,000 (assuming 15% annual ROI)

    (of course a lot of these will split, this is non split adjusted)

👇Current Value of My Trading Account👇

(updated daily)

👇Yearly Account Account Value

  • December 2018 - $0

  • December 2019 - $45,251

  • December 2020 - $150,191

  • December 2021 - $267,524

  • December 2022- $290,315

  • December 2023 - $506,223

  • December 2024 - $927,796

  • IN PROGRESS 2025 - $950,092

👇Portfolio Thoughts

  • Amazing growth from 2018 to Current all off of a total contribution of $90,000.

  • That is over a 10x in 7 years!

  • I did this in a very low risk and conservative way.

  • I feel the market got a little stretched and this pull back is healthy.

  • If bond yields continue to climb, I expect pain in the markets to continue.

  • I will continue to find great investments / options plays that will pan out to explode the portfolio in the long run.

  • Month to month and even year to year volatility is irrelevant.

  • I see volatility as opportunity!

  • My goal is $5,000,000 in this account by 2030.

  • I see this as very achievable and if the market dips further, I will capitalize heavily, just like I did in 2022!

  • Stay the course and keep your emotions in check!

👇How My Trades Have Performed Since 2023👇

Blue = Me, Black = Nasdaq, Orange = SP500

DISCLAIMER: I AM NOT A CPA, ATTORNEY, TAX ADVISOR, OR INSURANCE ADVISOR. NOTHING CONTAINED WITHIN THESE EMAILS, VIDEOS, COURSES, OR OTHER CONTENT CONSTITUTES FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX, LEGAL, INSURANCE, OR OTHER ADVICE, NOR SHOULD ANYTHING CONTAINED WITHIN THESE EMAILS, VIDEOS, OR OTHER CONTENT BE RELIED UPON FOR MAKING AN INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISION. YOU SHOULD CONSIDER OBTAINING RELEVANT AND SPECIFIC PROFESSIONAL ADVICE BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISION. IF YOU NEED SUCH ADVICE, PLEASE CONTACT A QUALIFIED CPA, ATTORNEY, TAX PROFESSIONAL,  INSURANCE AGENT, OR FINANCIAL ADVISOR. PAST RESULTS DO NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS. YOU CAN LOSE MONEY INVESTING AND TRADING. LINKED ITEMS MAY CREATE A FINANCIAL BENEFIT FOR INVESTINGWITHBRANDON.