Welcome to The Alpha Report 👋

Hey guys!

I will be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every day the market is open! I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better! Enjoy!

-Brandon

Today’s Heat Map👇

Friday January 24, 2025 RECAP👇

• Market edged down a little bit today.

• This is just day to day volatility.

• All eyes are on BIG tech earnings next week.

• More on this below.

Fear & Greed Index For Today👇

• 46 Yesterday & 49 Today.

• Market dipped a little today and kept us in the neutral category according to this index.

• I feel that we are closer to 60 vs what this says, so slightly greedy…

• Always keep your emotions in check on pumps & dumps!

• Short term market movements are usually irrelevant.

• Volatility is opportunity.

• Be greedy when others are fearful.

• Be fearful when others are greedy.

  

Today’s Economic Updates👇

• 30 year fixed mortgage rate climbs to 7.09% today vs 7.08% Yesterday.

• 10 year treasury bond yield falls to 4.61% today, vs 4.64% Yesterday.

• 2 year treasury bond yield falls to 4.26% today, vs 4.29% Yesterday.

Next Week Is BIG👇

• Next week we get highly anticipated earnings from companies like Sofi, Tesla, Microsoft, Meta, & Apple.

• Most of these companies make up a good chunk of the S&P500 index.

• The top 10 companies in the SP500 index are almost all tech and compose over 35% of the index!

• This matters! We need to see strength in the numbers and guidance to keep the bull market alive.

• Interesting/concerning fact: In 2024, the "Magnificent Seven" Google, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla were responsible for more than half of the S&P 500's 25% gain.

• So this can make or break the market!

• At a time that I feel the market is a little expensive & bond yields are a little high for comfort, this can set the tone for the market!

• Let’s talk super quick about the big dogs next week.

SOFI👇

• Sofi has been a high flying financial tech company but it has a lofty valuation.

• It needs to beat and give solid guidance for investors to feel confident in pushing up the price higher.

• Sofi trades for about 145 forward PE ratio.

• Chase bank trades for about 14 forward PE ratio.

• I understand Sofi is growing faster, but it is trading at 10x the valuation of Chase… (lofty)

TESLA👇

• Tesla, well there is a lot going on there…

• Elon & trump bromance, FSD, Optimus, New model Y, ect…

• Tesla is potentially going to be one of the most transformational companies in the next 10 years, and that sure is priced into its valuation…

• Tesla forward PE is around 150…

• Tesla needs to show us that FSD unsupervised is close and Optimus is on track to have real world use cases to justify this valuation.

MICROSOFT👇

• All eyes will be on Microsoft and the cloud growth.

• It is a fat margin business and investors are going to wanna see strong guidance.

• This guide will also help us get a picture of what other companies like Nvidia and AMD can do cause they are related in the AI field.

• Microsoft trades for a 35 forward PE.

• Not super high, but the growth needs to be there and guidance…

META👇

• Meta, well they are doing some interesting things and the stock has been pumping like CRAZY the last few years.

• The bulk of their revenue is from ads on their platforms, but Zuck is working on this new AI glasses tech that is pretty interesting…

• Will this be the iPhone to the blackberry? Will this eventually be the future and dwarf apple? Maybe!

• Meta trades for a 28 forward PE ratio.

APPLE👇

• Last of the majors is Apple.

• I am not a big fan of apple, even though I have a bunch of their products.

• They are the best and most easy to use, but there is no innovation.

• You can only sit as top dog for so long until someone else comes out with something that kicks you off the top spot.

• Kill or be killed for apple.

• Of course I do not think this is going to happen in the next few years, but the revenue growth of the company has been basically flat for the last few years..

• EPS goes up, but that is cause they buy back a bunch of stock.

• Apple trades for a 30 forward PE.

KEY THINGS TO LOOK FOR👇

• EPS growth, Revenue growth, & Guidance are HUGE.

• That is where I start when it comes to making a play on a company.

• Valuations, moat, pricing power, durable competitive advantage, & balance sheet health are some of the other things I look at too.

• I have a detailed system with a flow of how I do this.

• I incorporate a few simple charts into this to plot where the stock is at relative to earnings to have a good picture to know if it is undervalued and can move higher.

• I will be breaking all of this down in real time in course members only discord!

• But you gotta be a course member to get in!

• The course is about 7 hours of detailed video content walking you through my EXACT process that scaled me to millions in 5 years, plus options blueprint that generates me over 30k/mo in cash flow in a low risk way.

Economic Calendar👇

Economic Calendar For: Jan 27–31, 2025

All times in PST

Monday, Jan 27👇

SOFI earnings (pre market)

Tuesday, Jan 28👇

530a Durable Goods Orders

GM earnings (pre market)

Starbucks earnings (post market)

Wednesday, Jan 29👇

ASML earnings (pre market)

11a Fed Interest Rate Decision

11:30a Jerome Powell Press Conference

Tesla earnings (post market)

Microsoft earnings (post market)

Meta earnings (post market)

Thursday, Jan 30👇

UPS earnings (pre market)

Mastercard earnings (pre market)

530a GDP Data

530a Initial Jobless Claims

Apple earnings (post market)

Visa earnings (post market)

Intel earnings (post market)

Friday, Jan 31👇

Chevron earnings (pre market)

Exxon earnings (pre market)

530a PCE Data

530a Employment Cost Index

I will be breaking all of this down in real time in course members only discord!

Current Thoughts In My Head👇

• The market feels a bit stretched—probably about 5-10% above intrinsic value.

• Trump seems committed to keeping the economy strong and driving inflation down, which could provide stability if it actually pans out.

• Earnings have been solid so far, which is exactly what’s needed to justify current stock valuations.

• I’m not calling this a bubble, but let’s be real—things are a little frothy.

• As always, be prepared for any scenario.

• I’m an investor, not a speculator.

Words To Live By👇

• Do not make plays to make plays.

• ONLY make high margin of safety plays.

• Do not buy something just cause the share price is going up

• Continue to DCA into quality stocks/ETFs at good prices.

• When you find undervalued companies, use options to magnify gains

• Check out my links below for my course, free guides, & intrinsic value calculator!

👇Check Out My Links👇

(This is ONLY my free section of discord, you will not be able to see the course members section)

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2025

(updated daily)

• QQQ - $565

• VOO - $575

• IWM - $240

• SOXX - $240

• TSLA - $400

• NVDA - $190

• AAPL - $250

• PLTR - $60

• AMZN - $245

• GOOG - $205

• MSFT - $460

• JPM - $260

• TSM - $230

• SOFI - $12

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2030

• QQQ - $830 (assuming 8% annual ROI)

• VOO - $830 (assuming 7% annual ROI)

• SOXX - $360 (assuming 8% annual ROI)

• TSLA - $1,200 (assuming 18% annual ROI)

• NVDA - $645 (assuming 25% annual ROI)

• AAPL - $375 (assuming 7% annual ROI)

• AMZN - $550 (assuming 15% annual ROI)

• MSFT - $1,000 (assuming 15% annual ROI)

• TSM - $660 (assuming 20% annual ROI)

  (of course a lot of these will split, this is non split adjusted)

👇Current Value of My Trading Account👇

(updated daily)

👇Yearly Account Account Value

• December 2018 - $0

• December 2019 - $45,251

• December 2020 - $150,191

• December 2021 - $267,524

• December 2022- $290,315

• December 2023 - $506,223

• December 2024 - $927,796

• IN PROGRESS 2025 - $1,000,276

👇Portfolio Thoughts

• Amazing growth from 2018 to Current all off of a total contribution of $90,000.

• That is over a 10x in 7 years!

• I did this in a very low risk and conservative way.

• I feel the market got a little stretched and this pull back is healthy.

• If bond yields continue to climb, I expect pain in the markets to continue.

• I will continue to find great investments / options plays that will pan out to explode the portfolio in the long run.

• Month to month and even year to year volatility is irrelevant.

• I see volatility as opportunity!

• My goal is $5,000,000 in this account by 2030.

• I see this as very achievable and if the market dips further, I will capitalize heavily, just like I did in 2022!

• Stay the course and keep your emotions in check!

👇How My Trades Have Performed Since 2023👇

👇Check Out My Links👇