Welcome to The Alpha Report 👋

Hey guys!

I will be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every day the market is open! I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better! Enjoy!

-Brandon

Today’s Heat Map👇

Wednesday January 22, 2025 RECAP👇

• Market went GREEN today as the market continues to digest the new admin.

• Investor’s are optimistic because of strong corporate earnings and significant investments in technology infrastructure.

• But we may be due for a pull back…

• More on this below.

Fear & Greed Index For Today👇

• 41 Yesterday & 43 Today.

• Market pushed higher today as the market continues to feel bullish on Trumps policies.

• I feel that we are closer to 60 vs what this says, so kinda in balance.

• Always keep your emotions in check on pumps & dumps!

• Short term market movements are usually irrelevant.

• Volatility is opportunity.

• Be greedy when others are fearful.

• Be fearful when others are greedy.

Today’s Economic Updates👇

• 30 year fixed mortgage rate unchanged at 6.98% today vs 6.98% Yesterday.

• 10 year treasury bond yield climbs to 4.61% today, vs 4.57% Yesterday.

• 2 year treasury bond yield climbs to 4.30% today, vs 4.27% Yesterday.

Let’s Talk About The Market👇

Am I Bullish Or Bearish?👇 

• Lets start with what Jamie Dimon, CEO of Chase Bank said today👇 

• Jamie commented on the current state of the stock market, describing it as “kind of inflated” with asset prices in the top 10-15% of historical valuations.

• I do agree with this, but earnings have been strong and bond yields are trending down which lets stock breathe a little.

• Rates did pop up a tad today, but nothing too crazy in my opinion.

• Jamie also commented Trump’s proposed tariffs, urging critics to “get over it” and suggesting that tariffs could be effective economic tools.

• I do agree with this but Trump needs to be calculated, and I think he will be better this time around vs his first presidency.

• 17% chance of no cut for December 10 fed meeting.

• Then you flip and look to the other side of the chart and add, or just subtract the right to get other % chances of certain rate levels.

• So it’s essentially 83% chance we get 25 BPS cut at a minimum.

• 48% chance we get at least 50bps cut at a minimum.

• I think this will slowly trend towards more cuts which should be good for stocks.

• The market the last few weeks has been slowly pricing in more cuts and that’s why bond yields have been falling since January 13th as shown on the chart below.

Bullish Argument👇 

• Strong earnings growth.

• Strong revenue growth .

• Deregulation from Trump.

• Focus on lowering inflation from Trump.

• Inflation expectations have ticked higher, but I think they will slowly tick lower and bond yields will fall, which is good for stocks.

Bearish Argument👇 

• Interest rates are higher than what is comfortable on bonds.

• Stock market valuations are high.

• Investors see bonds as attractive cause stock valuations are a little high so they feel stocks will dip and bond yields (risk free return) are higher now.

• Trump tariff threats. (trade war fears)

• Inflation sticky around 2.7%

• Corporate refinancing at much higher rates vs what it was originally borrowed at.

What I Think👇 

• Earnings & interest rates are the 2 most important things in the stock market.

• I think we are 10% ish over valued.

• High expectations are priced in to the market now.

• There are still deals out there but they are fewer and far between.

• Understand that most of the major companies are all indexed.

• Meaning if the index (SP500 or Nasdaq) fall, most stocks in that index will get dragged down too.

• You gotta be positioned to capitalize on upside and downside.

• High PE stocks will get hit the hardest in a downturn.

• I still generate over $30k/mo with options but it is a little tougher now vs a few months ago!

• I ONLY make ultra high margin of safety plays.

• Learn to do this or you very well can be wiped out on the next dip.

Things I Am Looking At This Week👇

Economic Calendar For: Jan 20–24, 2025 All times in PST

👇Monday, Jan 20:

• Market Closed. (MLK day)

• Trump Takes Office

👇Tuesday, Jan 21:

• 3M Earnings (pre market)

• Schwab Earnings (pre market)

• Netflix Earnings (post market)

• Capital One Earnings (post market)

👇Wednesday, Jan 22: 

• Johnson & Johnson Earnings (pre market)

👇Thursday, Jan 23:

• 5:30a Initial Jobless Claims

• Union Pacific Earnings (pre market)

• American Airlines Earnings (pre market)

👇Friday, Jan 24: 

• 10a Consumer Sentiment Index

• Verizon Earnings (pre market)

• HCA Earnings (pre market)

I Break ALL of this down in course members ONLY discord in real time!

Current Thoughts In My Head👇

• Market is a little lofty. (5-10% ish)

• Trump' seems focused to keep the economy strong and bring inflation down.

• Earnings have been coming in strong so far which is what we need to support the elevated valuations of the stock market.

• Not saying we are in a bubble, but things are just a little lofty.

• Be prepared for all situations.

• I am an investor, not a speculator.

• If you wanna learn EXACTLY from me, do my course and join premium Discord.

• It will change your life & open your eyes to see self made millionaires like myself evaluate companies.

Words To Live By👇

• Do not make plays to make plays.

• ONLY make high margin of safety plays.

• Do not buy something just cause the share price is going up

• Continue to DCA into quality stocks/ETFs at good prices.

• When you find undervalued companies, use options to magnify gains

• Check out my links below for my course, free guides, & intrinsic value calculator!

👇Check Out My Links👇

(This is ONLY my free section of discord, you will not be able to see the course members section)

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2025

(updated daily)

• QQQ - $565

• VOO - $575

• IWM - $240

• SOXX - $240

• TSLA - $400

• NVDA - $190

• AAPL - $250

• PLTR - $60

• AMZN - $245

• GOOG - $205

• MSFT - $460

• JPM - $260

• TSM - $230

• SOFI - $12

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2030

• QQQ - $830 (assuming 8% annual ROI)

• VOO - $830 (assuming 7% annual ROI)

• SOXX - $360 (assuming 8% annual ROI)

• TSLA - $1,200 (assuming 18% annual ROI)

• NVDA - $645 (assuming 25% annual ROI)

• AAPL - $375 (assuming 7% annual ROI)

• AMZN - $550 (assuming 15% annual ROI)

• MSFT - $1,000 (assuming 15% annual ROI)

• TSM - $660 (assuming 20% annual ROI)

  (of course a lot of these will split, this is non split adjusted)

👇Current Value of My Trading Account👇

(updated daily)

👇Yearly Account Account Value

• December 2018 - $0

• December 2019 - $45,251

• December 2020 - $150,191

• December 2021 - $267,524

• December 2022- $290,315

• December 2023 - $506,223

• December 2024 - $927,796

• IN PROGRESS 2025 - $1,009,589

👇Portfolio Thoughts

• Amazing growth from 2018 to Current all off of a total contribution of $90,000.

• That is over a 10x in 7 years!

• I did this in a very low risk and conservative way.

• I feel the market got a little stretched and this pull back is healthy.

• If bond yields continue to climb, I expect pain in the markets to continue.

• I will continue to find great investments / options plays that will pan out to explode the portfolio in the long run.

• Month to month and even year to year volatility is irrelevant.

• I see volatility as opportunity!

• My goal is $5,000,000 in this account by 2030.

• I see this as very achievable and if the market dips further, I will capitalize heavily, just like I did in 2022!

• Stay the course and keep your emotions in check!

👇How My Trades Have Performed Since 2023👇

👇Check Out My Links👇