Welcome to The Alpha Report 👋

Hey guys!

I will be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every day the market is open! I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better! Enjoy!

-Brandon

Today’s Heat Map👇

Monday January 21, 2025👇

• Market went GREEN today on the first day of the Trump presidency.

• He signed a bunch of executive orders.

• Earnings are also coming in solid so far!

• More on this below.

Fear & Greed Index For Today👇

• 38 Friday & 41 Today.

• Market pushed higher today on Trump’s first full day in office

• I feel that we are closer to 55 vs what this says, so kinda in balance.

• Always keep your emotions in check on pumps & dumps!

• Short term market movements are usually irrelevant.

• Volatility is opportunity.

• Be greedy when others are fearful.

• Be fearful when others are greedy.

  

Today’s Economic Updates👇

• 30 year fixed mortgage rate unchanged at 6.98% today vs 6.98% Friday.

• 10 year treasury bond yield falls to 4.57% today, vs 4.61% Friday.

• 2 year treasury bond yield falls to 4.27% today, vs 4.28% Friday

Lots To Talk About Today👇

Highlights From Trumps Moves So Far👇 

• I have been spending hours listening to everything Trump has said and seeing what he actually has done so far.

• He is big on putting America first as he calls it.

• His main leverage tactic is tariffs, which will essentially force other countries and companies to make more favorable deals with/in America.

• I do think this can help, but we do NOT want to get in a trade war.

• Companies can’t just come back to America and build a production plant in a few weeks to avoid tariffs. It takes years.

• So what will prob happen is he will exempt companies if they commit capital spending in America.

• He also mentioned lots about inflation and told his entire cabinet that this is a major priority.

• I think his pro drilling policies will help reduce energy costs, which in turn will help to lower inflation.

• Check out this chart below of the 10 year bond yield in the last few days👇 

• This is good for stocks cause there is less competition between stocks and bonds. (stocks now appear more attractive)

• Lower inflation expectations = lower expected interest rates.

• Lower expected interest rates = stocks more attractive usually.

• Check out this chart here too, it essentially shows stocks (red line) and bonds (green/blue line) and shows the expected returns for each one👇 

• The closer the SP500 “risky” expected return gets to the Bond “risk free” return, more investors may flock to bonds to get a better risk adjusted return.

• Now that inflation expectations are cooling down, bond yields are falling, and when we look at this chart in a few months, we would expect to see a wider gap between the red line and green/blue.

• Time will tell how this actually pans out!

• Trump did a bunch of other things, some I agree with and some I don’t. I am not going to share my political views but overall I am in the middle.

• My goal is to provide you info that matters and help digest it to translate to making money int he markets. That is it.

• Today as I was writing this, Trump announced a 500 billion dollar AI investment. (I was listening to his conference live).

• I like to get info from the primary source, not through news websites that often have an agenda & give you bias info.

• This AI investment is great for many companies.

• I think Nvidia will be a winner, along with others that help implement AI systems like Broadcom.

• Wanted to touch on Tariffs a little bit more for what trump said so far.

• Overall nothing HORRIBLE, but he said 25% tariffs on certain items on Canada and Mexico.

• He was asked about China and he said maybe 10% cause off the drugs that come in.

• He said February 1, 2025 would be the expected date to start this.

• Tariffs overall hurt the economy in the short term and can be inflationary.

• When he took office last term, we had a mini trade war with China and the market was unhappy about it.

• Expect volatility, especially when valuations are a little expensive.

• The key is to be positioned to capitalize on upside and downside.

• Do NOT be over leveraged right now.

Things I Am Looking At This Week👇

Economic Calendar For: Jan 20–24, 2025 All times in PST

👇Monday, Jan 20:

• Market Closed. (MLK day)

• Trump Takes Office

👇Tuesday, Jan 21:

• 3M Earnings (pre market)

• Schwab Earnings (pre market)

• Netflix Earnings (post market)

• Capital One Earnings (post market)

👇Wednesday, Jan 22: 

• Johnson & Johnson Earnings (pre market)

👇Thursday, Jan 23:

• 5:30a Initial Jobless Claims

• Union Pacific Earnings (pre market)

• American Airlines Earnings (pre market)

👇Friday, Jan 24: 

• 10a Consumer Sentiment Index

• Verizon Earnings (pre market)

• HCA Earnings (pre market)

I Break ALL of this down in course members ONLY discord in real time!

Current Thoughts In My Head👇

• Market is a little lofty. (5-10% ish)

• Trump' seems focused to keep the economy strong and bring inflation down.

• Earnings have been coming in strong so far which is what we need to support the elevated valuations of the stock market.

• Not saying we are in a bubble, but things are just a little lofty.

• Be prepared for all situations.

• I am an investor, not a speculator.

• If you wanna learn EXACTLY from me, do my course and join premium Discord.

• It will change your life & open your eyes to see self made millionaires like myself evaluate companies.

Words To Live By👇

• Do not make plays to make plays.

• ONLY make high margin of safety plays.

• Do not buy something just cause the share price is going up

• Continue to DCA into quality stocks/ETFs at good prices.

• When you find undervalued companies, use options to magnify gains

• Check out my links below for my course, free guides, & intrinsic value calculator!

👇Check Out My Links👇

(This is ONLY my free section of discord, you will not be able to see the course members section)

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2025

(updated daily)

• QQQ - $565

• VOO - $575

• IWM - $240

• SOXX - $240

• TSLA - $400

• NVDA - $190

• AAPL - $250

• PLTR - $60

• AMZN - $245

• GOOG - $205

• MSFT - $460

• JPM - $260

• TSM - $230

• SOFI - $12

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2030

• QQQ - $830 (assuming 8% annual ROI)

• VOO - $830 (assuming 7% annual ROI)

• SOXX - $360 (assuming 8% annual ROI)

• TSLA - $1,200 (assuming 18% annual ROI)

• NVDA - $645 (assuming 25% annual ROI)

• AAPL - $375 (assuming 7% annual ROI)

• AMZN - $550 (assuming 15% annual ROI)

• MSFT - $1,000 (assuming 15% annual ROI)

• TSM - $660 (assuming 20% annual ROI)

  (of course a lot of these will split, this is non split adjusted)

👇My Favorite New Trades 👇

I either plan to enter, or have already entered these trades.

(updated daily)

These are in order from least risky to most risky!

• VOO - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

• QQQ - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

• SOXX - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

• JPM - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

• TSLA - DCA Shares - 5 year min hold duration

• NVDA - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

• AMZN - DCA Shares - 5 year min hold duration

• NVDA - Sell Puts - 1 year duration -Strike of $120

• SOXX - Sell Puts - 2 Year Duration - Strike $185

• GOOG - Sell Puts - 1 year duration - Strike $165

• TSM - Sell Put - 1 year duration - Strike: $175

• NVDA - Buy Calls - 1 year duration -Strike of $135

• TSLA - Sell Calls - 1 week duration - Strike $470

• PLTR- Sell Calls - 2 week duration - Strike Price $95

• MSTR - Sell calls - 1 week duration - Strike $95 OTM
  

  (Join premium discord to see my exact trades in real time, ONLY for course members)

👇Current Value of My Trading Account👇

(updated daily)

👇Yearly Account Account Value

• December 2018 - $0

• December 2019 - $45,251

• December 2020 - $150,191

• December 2021 - $267,524

• December 2022- $290,315

• December 2023 - $506,223

• December 2024 - $927,796

• IN PROGRESS 2025 - $998,510

👇Portfolio Thoughts

• Amazing growth from 2018 to Current all off of a total contribution of $90,000.

• That is over a 10x in 7 years!

• I did this in a very low risk and conservative way.

• I feel the market got a little stretched and this pull back is healthy.

• If bond yields continue to climb, I expect pain in the markets to continue.

• I will continue to find great investments / options plays that will pan out to explode the portfolio in the long run.

• Month to month and even year to year volatility is irrelevant.

• I see volatility as opportunity!

• My goal is $5,000,000 in this account by 2030.

• I see this as very achievable and if the market dips further, I will capitalize heavily, just like I did in 2022!

• Stay the course and keep your emotions in check!

👇How My Trades Have Performed Since 2023👇

👇Check Out My Links👇