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- Alpha Report Issue #48
Alpha Report Issue #48
Is The Economy In Trouble? Maybe...
Welcome to The Alpha Report đź‘‹
Hey guys!
I will be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every day the market is open! I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better! Enjoy!
-Brandon
Today’s Heat Map👇

Thursday January 16, 2025👇
Market opened up GREEN and bounced around to end solidly in the red.
More banks reported earnings today, plus we got more economic news that gives us a gauge of the strength of the economy.
More on this below.
Fear & Greed Index For Today👇
29 Yesterday & 28 Today.
Stocks fell today due to weaker than expected economic data.
I feel that we are closer to 50 vs what this says, so kinda in balance.
Always keep your emotions in check on pumps & dumps!
Short term market movements are usually irrelevant.
Volatility is opportunity.
Be greedy when others are fearful.
Be fearful when others are greedy.

Imagine if I woulda did what society says to do and forever work a 9-5…
Instead, I learned to invest in Stocks & Options and hit a $2m net worth 5 years after starting doing all of this in a conservative way.
Not only that, but I generate about $30k/mo with the options plays
— Investing With Brandon (@Invest_Brandon)
1:00 PM • Jan 16, 2025
Today’s Economic Updates👇
30 year fixed mortgage rate falls to 7.09% today vs 7.11% Yesterday.
10 year treasury bond yield falls to 4.61% today, vs 4.65% Yesterday.
2 year treasury bond yield falls to 4.24% today, vs 4.27% Yesterday.
December retail sales increased by 0.4%, vs 0.6% expected.
Initial jobless claims came in at 217K, slightly above the forecast of 210K.
(more on this below)
Our Current Economy👇
So today we got data about retail sales & how many people were looking for jobs.
December retail sales increased by 0.4%, vs 0.6% expected.
Initial jobless claims came in at 217K, slightly above the forecast of 210K.
Consumer spending was a tad weaker than anticipated (retail sales), and more people filed for unemployment than expected.
While this isn’t great news for the economy, it could be seen as positive for the market since softer spending and a slight uptick in jobless claims may help ease inflation.
This could potentially bringing us closer to more interest rate cuts being priced in.
This Is The Issue👇
Yes we want rates to be low, but we don’t want them to be low in a recessionary environment.
Remember what I say, we would much rather have rates a little high in a strong economy, vs low rates in a recession.
I don’t think we are very close to a recession, but we must be careful to not keep policy too tight and hurt the economy too much.
Check out the chart below for interest rate expectations.

This is for the December 10, 2025 meeting. 14% chance of NO cuts. 33% chance of 0.25% cut. This is slowly pricing in more cuts as the inflation data comes out soft (PPI & CPI) and the economic data comes in a little soft too.
I think my Goldilocks situation is playing out so far where I expect the economy to slowly weaken a little bit.
At the same time, I think we will “weaken” to a “normal” level”
As this happens, more interest rate cuts will get priced in, which is good for stocks as long as the economy stays strong.
Earnings Season Continues👇
Bank of America, Taiwan Semiconductor, United Health, & Morgan Stanley reported earnings today.
I listened to all the earnings calls and read the reports.
This takes hours to do, but if you wanna be an informed investor, this is what it takes!
Overall it was pretty good!
I break ALL of this down in course members ONLY discord so you don’t have to!
Consider doing my course and coming into Discord to get my live updates, trades, and access to me all day long in real time!
This is ONLY for course members.
Words To Live By👇
Do not make plays to make plays.
ONLY make high margin of safety plays.
Do not buy something just cause the share price is going up
Continue to DCA into quality stocks/ETFs at good prices.
When you find undervalued companies, use options to magnify gains
Check out my links below for my course, free guides, & intrinsic value calculator!

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2025
(updated daily)
QQQ - $565
VOO - $575
IWM - $240
SOXX - $240
TSLA - $400
NVDA - $190
AAPL - $250
PLTR - $60
AMZN - $245
GOOG - $205
MSFT - $460
JPM - $260
TSM - $230
SOFI - $12
👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2030
QQQ - $830 (assuming 8% annual ROI)
VOO - $830 (assuming 7% annual ROI)
SOXX - $360 (assuming 8% annual ROI)
TSLA - $1,200 (assuming 18% annual ROI)
NVDA - $645 (assuming 25% annual ROI)
AAPL - $375 (assuming 7% annual ROI)
AMZN - $550 (assuming 15% annual ROI)
MSFT - $1,000 (assuming 15% annual ROI)
TSM - $660 (assuming 20% annual ROI)
(of course a lot of these will split, this is non split adjusted)
👇My Favorite New Trades 👇
I either plan to enter, or have already entered these trades.
(updated daily)
These are in order from least risky to most risky!
VOO - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration
QQQ - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration
SOXX - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration
JPM - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration
TSLA - DCA Shares - 5 year min hold duration
NVDA - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration
AMZN - DCA Shares - 5 year min hold duration
NVDA - Sell Puts - 1 year duration -Strike of $115
SOXX - Sell Puts - 2 Year Duration - Strike $180
GOOG - Sell Puts - 1 year duration - Strike $160
TSM - Sell Put - 1 year duration - Strike: $165
NVDA - Buy Calls - 1 year duration -Strike of $135
TSLA - Sell Calls - 1 week duration - Strike $470
PLTR- Sell Calls - 2 week duration - Strike Price $85
MSTR - Sell calls - 1 week duration - Strike $95 OTM
(Join premium discord to see my exact trades in real time, ONLY for course members)
👇Current Value of My Trading Account👇
(updated daily)
👇Yearly Account Account Value
December 2018 - $0
December 2019 - $45,251
December 2020 - $150,191
December 2021 - $267,524
December 2022- $290,315
December 2023 - $506,223
December 2024 - $927,796
IN PROGRESS 2025 - $962,397
👇Portfolio Thoughts
Amazing growth from 2018 to Current all off of a total contribution of $90,000.
That is over a 10x in 7 years!
I did this in a very low risk and conservative way.
I feel the market got a little stretched and this pull back is healthy.
If bond yields continue to climb, I expect pain in the markets to continue.
I will continue to find great investments / options plays that will pan out to explode the portfolio in the long run.
Month to month and even year to year volatility is irrelevant.
I see volatility as opportunity!
My goal is $5,000,000 in this account by 2030.
I see this as very achievable and if the market dips further, I will capitalize heavily, just like I did in 2022!
Stay the course and keep your emotions in check!
👇How My Trades Have Performed Since 2023👇

Blue = Me, Black = Nasdaq, Orange = SP500