Welcome to The Alpha Report 👋

Hey guys!

I will be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every day the market is open! I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better! Enjoy!

-Brandon

Today’s Heat Map👇

Wednesday January 15, 2025👇

• Market opened up GREEN after CPI data came in lower than expected.

• Banks also reported strong results, so it was a good kick off to Q4 2024 earnings

• More on this below.

Fear & Greed Index For Today👇

• 27 Yesterday & 29 Today.

• Stocks pumped today and that pushed us to the right (towards greed category).

• I feel that we are closer to 52 vs what this says, so kinda in balance.

• Always keep your emotions in check on pumps & dumps!

• Short term market movements are usually irrelevant.

• Volatility is opportunity.

• Be greedy when others are fearful.

• Be fearful when others are greedy.

  

Today’s Economic Updates👇

• 30 year fixed mortgage rate falls to 7.11% today vs 7.22% Yesterday.

• 10 year treasury bond yield falls to 4.65% today, vs 4.79% Yesterday.

• 2 year treasury bond yield falls to 4.27% today, vs 4.36% Yesterday.

• CPI Data Dropped Today👇

• CPI YoY: 2.9% vs 2.9% expected

• Core CPI YoY: 3.2% vs 3.3% expected

• More on this below!

Inflation Data Was DECENT👇

• Yesterday we got PPI inflation data, today we got CPI inflation data.

• If you wanna see how PPI went, look at yesterday's Alpha Report Issue.

• So CPI came in today just a tad below expectations.

• CPI YoY: 2.9% vs 2.9% expected

• Core CPI YoY: 3.2% vs 3.3% expected

• The market was all worked up about runaway inflation, which pushed up the 10 year bond leading into this report, and stocks were volatile.

• Now that the reports show inflation is slowly trending down, the market did a relief rally today, which is exactly what I said would happen…

• Check out the chart below for the CPI progress.

• While December CPI inflation was 2.9%, inflation is much higher in many basic necessities:

• 1. Car Insurance Inflation: 11.3%

• 2. Transportation Inflation: 7.3%

• 3. Car Repair Inflation: 6.2%

• 4. Utility Gas Inflation: 4.9%

• 5. Homeowner Inflation: 4.8%

Guess What…👇 

• Rates are gravity on the stock market!

• So many people talk crap on me repeating that a million times, but I don’t care cause it’s true.

• Look at the chart below of the 10 year treasure bond yield.

• You can see the sharp drop in yield right after CPI data dropped this morning.

• Basically, the CPI data is pointing to inflation continuing to slowly cool, which means the fed has more freedom to cut rates.

• If the data would have came in hot, yields would have shot up, and stocks would have fell.

• So you can see, yields fell and stocks went up.

• There is a little less gravity on stocks.

• Just for the record, what the Fed is trying to do is VERY hard.

• Raise rates to slow inflation, but not enough to throw us into a recession.

• It’s a fine line to walk.

• Most of the time, they stay too high for too long and we go into recession.

• So far so good, but the job is not done.

Earnings Season Kicked Off Today👇

• Chase, Goldman Sachs, Black Rock, Citi, & Wells Fargo reported today.

• I listened to all the earnings calls and read the reports.

• This takes hours to do, but if you wanna be an informed investor, this is what it takes!

• Overall it was pretty good!

• Some banks reported stronger vs others.

• I break ALL of this down in course members ONLY discord so you don’t have to!

• Consider doing my course and coming into Discord to get my live updates, trades, and access to me all day long in real time!

Things I Am Watching This Week👇

• THURSDAY JAN 16:

• 530a Initial Jobless Claims

• 530a Retail Sales

• 530a Import Prices Index

• Taiwan Semiconductors Earnings (pre market)

• Bank of America Earnings (pre market)

• Morgan Stanley Earnings (pre market)

• United Health Earnings (pre market)

  (not much on Friday)

Words To Live By👇

• Do not make plays to make plays.

• ONLY make high margin of safety plays.

• Do not buy something just cause the share price is going up

• Continue to DCA into quality stocks/ETFs at good prices.

• When you find undervalued companies, use options to magnify gains

• Check out my links below for my course, free guides, & intrinsic value calculator!

👇Check Out My Links👇

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2025

(updated daily)

• QQQ - $565

• VOO - $575

• IWM - $240

• SOXX - $240

• TSLA - $400

• NVDA - $190

• AAPL - $250

• PLTR - $60

• AMZN - $245

• GOOG - $205

• MSFT - $460

• JPM - $260

• TSM - $230

• SOFI - $12

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2030

• QQQ - $830 (assuming 8% annual ROI)

• VOO - $830 (assuming 7% annual ROI)

• SOXX - $360 (assuming 8% annual ROI)

• TSLA - $1,200 (assuming 18% annual ROI)

• NVDA - $645 (assuming 25% annual ROI)

• AAPL - $375 (assuming 7% annual ROI)

• AMZN - $550 (assuming 15% annual ROI)

• MSFT - $1,000 (assuming 15% annual ROI)

• TSM - $660 (assuming 20% annual ROI)

  (of course a lot of these will split, this is non split adjusted)

👇My Favorite New Trades 👇

I either plan to enter, or have already entered these trades.

(updated daily)

These are in order from least risky to most risky!

• VOO - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

• QQQ - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

• SOXX - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

• JPM - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

• TSLA - DCA Shares - 5 year min hold duration

• NVDA - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

• AMZN - DCA Shares - 5 year min hold duration

• NVDA - Sell Puts - 1 year duration -Strike of $115

• SOXX - Sell Puts - 2 Year Duration - Strike $180

• GOOG - Sell Puts - 1 year duration - Strike $160

• TSM - Sell Put - 1 year duration - Strike: $165

• NVDA - Buy Calls - 1 year duration -Strike of $135

• TSLA - Sell Calls - 1 week duration - Strike $470

• PLTR- Sell Calls - 2 week duration - Strike Price $85

• MSTR - Sell calls - 1 week duration - Strike $95 OTM
  

  (Join premium discord to see my exact trades in real time, ONLY for course members)

👇Current Value of My Trading Account👇

(updated daily)

👇Yearly Account Account Value

• December 2018 - $0

• December 2019 - $45,251

• December 2020 - $150,191

• December 2021 - $267,524

• December 2022- $290,315

• December 2023 - $506,223

• December 2024 - $927,796

• IN PROGRESS 2025 - $977,964

👇Portfolio Thoughts

• Amazing growth from 2018 to Current all off of a total contribution of $90,000.

• That is over a 10x in 7 years!

• I did this in a very low risk and conservative way.

• I feel the market got a little stretched and this pull back is healthy.

• If bond yields continue to climb, I expect pain in the markets to continue.

• I will continue to find great investments / options plays that will pan out to explode the portfolio in the long run.

• Month to month and even year to year volatility is irrelevant.

• I see volatility as opportunity!

• My goal is $5,000,000 in this account by 2030.

• I see this as very achievable and if the market dips further, I will capitalize heavily, just like I did in 2022!

• Stay the course and keep your emotions in check!

👇How My Trades Have Performed Since 2023👇

👇Check Out My Links👇