Welcome to The Alpha Report 👋

Hey guys!

I will be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every day the market is open! I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better! Enjoy!

-Brandon

Today’s Heat Map👇

Monday January 13, 2025👇

• Market opened up DEEP red today and clawed back most of the losses.

• Nvidia had a report drop this morning saying the Blackwell chip is having issues and this is leading to order cancellations.

• All eyes are on the VERY important inflation data this week!

• Plus earnings start too.

• More on this below.

Fear & Greed Index For Today👇

• 27 Friday & 27 Today.

• Stocks dipped pre market today, but clawed most back and ending flat ish.

• I feel that we are closer to 50 vs what this says, so kinda in balance.

• Always keep your emotions in check on pumps & dumps!

• Short term market movements are usually irrelevant.

• Volatility is opportunity.

• Be greedy when others are fearful.

• Be fearful when others are greedy.

  

Today’s Economic Updates👇

• 30 year fixed mortgage rate climbs to 7.25% today vs 7.22% Friday.

• 10 year treasury bond yield climbs to 4.78% today, vs 4.76% Friday.

• 2 year treasury bond yield falls to 4.37% today, vs 4.38% Friday.

• CPI & PPI data comes out this week! More on that below.

Make or Break…👇

• We have some MASSIVE data that comes out this week that will decide the fate of the stock market in the short term.

• Remember, I have been saying there are high expectations priced into the stock market right now.

• If the expectations are met, expect to move higher.

• If expectations are not met, we will dip.

• It is that simple.

• When I say “expectations”, I don’t necessarily mean matching “expectations” with regards to earnings and inflation.

• I mean, the market wants to blow out the data in a bullish way. (solid earnings & low inflation)

• Check out my YouTube video from today for more context into my thoughts on the current state of the market.

Things I Have My Eyes On This Week👇

• TUESDAY JAN 14:

• 530a PPI Data

• 11a Fed Beige Book

   

• WEDNESDAY JAN 15:

• 530a CPI Data

• Chase Earnings (pre market)

• Goldman Sachs Earnings (pre market)

• Blackrock Earnings (pre market)

• Citi Earnings (pre market)

• Wells Fargo Earnings (pre market)

   

• THURSDAY JAN 16:

• 530a Initial Jobless Claims

• 530a Retail Sales

• 530a Import Prices Index

• Taiwan Semiconductors Earnings (pre market)

• Bank of America Earnings (pre market)

• Morgan Stanley Earnings (pre market)

• United Health Earnings (pre market)

Why This Stuff Matters👇

• PPI shows how much prices are changing for producers, which can affect what consumers pay later. If producer costs go up, companies might charge more, leading to inflation.

• Higher inflation = Interest rates higher for longer.

• CPI shows how much prices are changing for things consumers buy, like food and housing. It’s a key measure of inflation and shows how far money can go.

• If PPI/CPI comes in hot, expect the market to dip most likely.

• Hot data will signal to the fed that inflation is coming back and they will keep rates higher for longer until the brink of a recession, then they will cut to save the economy

• Often times, by the time they cut to “save the economy” it is already too late.

• It is a delicate thing and I will be covering all day long in Discord in real time.

• Of course earnings are HUGE too. They are the number one that that matters to what a stock is going to do in the long run.

• Short term is bumpy for stock prices, but as I show in my course, stocks follow earnings in the long run.

• High EPS growth expectations are priced in to the market now and that is shown in the high PE ratios.

• I do feel we are in a major AI and Tech revolution & the growth will continue to be strong, but expect bumps…

So What Am I Doing👇

• I am being VERY careful.

• I am positioned to capitalize on upside & downside in the market.

• Once we get through the CPI/PPI data & earnings, I will have more clarity on the condition of the market.

• I listen to hours of earnings calls every quarter to get a gauge of what the CEOs are seeing out there.

• I like to keep my sample size as large as possible to see all aspects of the market, not just tech.

• I am not big on making short term bets before earnings.

• That is gambling and most people will get smoked when you do that for the long run.

• I will be breaking EVERYTHING down in course members ONLY discord in real time!

Final Comments On Today👇

• Do not make plays to make plays.

• ONLY make high margin of safety plays.

• Do not buy something just cause the share price is going up

• Continue to DCA into quality stocks/ETFs at good prices.

• When you find undervalued companies, use options to magnify gains

• Check out my links below for my course, free guides, & intrinsic value calculator!

👇Check Out My Links👇

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2025

(updated daily)

• QQQ - $565

• VOO - $575

• IWM - $240

• SOXX - $240

• TSLA - $400

• NVDA - $190

• AAPL - $250

• PLTR - $60

• AMZN - $245

• GOOG - $205

• MSFT - $460

• JPM - $260

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2030

• QQQ - $830 (assuming 8% annual ROI)

• VOO - $830 (assuming 7% annual ROI)

• SOXX - $360 (assuming 8% annual ROI)

• TSLA - $1,200 (assuming 18% annual ROI)

• NVDA - $645 (assuming 25% annual ROI)

• AAPL - $375 (assuming 7% annual ROI)

• AMZN - $550 (assuming 15% annual ROI)

• MSFT - $1,000 (assuming 15% annual ROI)

  (of course a lot of these will split, this is non split adjusted)

👇My Favorite New Trades 👇

I either plan to enter, or have already entered these trades.

(updated daily)

These are in order from least risky to most risky!

• VOO - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

• QQQ - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

• SOXX - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

• TSLA - DCA Shares - 5 year min hold duration

• NVDA - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

• AMZN - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

• NVDA - Sell Puts - 1 year duration -Strike of $110

• SOXX - Sell Puts - 2 Year Duration - Strike $180

• GOOG - Sell Puts - 1 year duration - Strike $160

• NVDA - Buy Calls - 1 year duration -Strike of $135

• TSLA - Sell Calls - 1 week duration - Strike $450

• PLTR- Sell Calls - 2 week duration - Strike Price $85

• MSTR - Sell calls - 1 week duration - Strike $95 OTM
  

  (Join premium discord to see my exact trades in real time, ONLY FOR COURSE MEMBERS)

👇Current Value of My Trading Account👇

(updated daily)

👇Yearly Account Account Value

• December 2018 - $0

• December 2019 - $45,251

• December 2020 - $150,191

• December 2021 - $267,524

• December 2022- $290,315

• December 2023 - $506,223

• December 2024 - $927,796

• IN PROGRESS 2025 - $935,621

👇Portfolio Thoughts

• Amazing growth from 2018 to Current all off of a total contribution of $90,000.

• That is over a 10x in 7 years!

• I did this in a very low risk and conservative way.

• I feel the market got a little stretched and this pull back is healthy.

• If bond yields continue to climb, I expect pain in the markets to continue.

• I will continue to find great investments / options plays that will pan out to explode the portfolio in the long run.

• Month to month and even year to year volatility is irrelevant.

• I see volatility as opportunity!

• My goal is $5,000,000 in this account by 2030.

• I see this as very achievable and if the market dips further, I will capitalize heavily, just like I did in 2022!

• Stay the course and keep your emotions in check!

👇How My Trades Have Performed Since 2023👇

👇Check Out My Links👇