Alpha Report Issue #44

Well... IT HAPPENED.

Welcome to The Alpha Report đź‘‹

Hey guys!

I will be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every day the market is open! I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better! Enjoy!

-Brandon

Today’s Heat Map👇

Market dumped today after the jobs report which indicated we have a strong economy. The problem is most investors feel the fed will now keep interest rates higher for longer which puts pressure on stocks. More on this below.

Fear & Greed Index For Today👇

  • 32 Wednesday & 27 Today.

  • Stocks dipped today and there is fear out there. GOOD!

  • I feel that we are closer to 50 vs what this says, so kinda in balance.

  • Always keep your emotions in check on pumps & dumps!

  • Short term market movements are usually irrelevant.

  • Volatility is opportunity.

  • Be greedy when others are fearful.

  • Be fearful when others are greedy.

Today’s Economic Updates👇

  • 30 year fixed mortgage rate falls to 7.22% today vs 7.23% Wednesday.

  • 10 year treasury bond yield climbs to 4.76% today, vs 4.69% Wednesday.

  • 2 year treasury bond yield climbs to 4.38% today, vs 4.29% Wednesday.

We Got Jobs Data Today👇

  • The unemployment rate fell to 4.1% vs 4.2% expected.

  • The economy added 256,000 jobs vs 165,000 expected.

  • This means the economy is stronger vs what people think.

  • I break this down in the next section!

Well… IT HAPPENED👇

  • Today we got jobs data that totally blew it out of the park.

  • The economy added 256,000 jobs vs 165,000 expected and the unemployment rate ticked lower.

  • So this is good right… Well it depends.

  • Look at the 3 charts below of the Nasdaq👇

This is a 1 year chart of the Nasdaq (Ticker: QQQ) 1 year return is 24% which is AMAZING!

This is a 5 year chart of the Nasdaq (Ticker: QQQ) Notice starting in 2022 when it dipped 35%. This was when the fed raised interest rates which increased bond yields!

This is a 5 day chart of QQQ. Above the “Jan 10” words is the pre market dip we got today.

So Why Did The Market TANK👇

  • The market did NOT like the jobs data because it indicates the economy is strong.

  • Strong economy with potentially an uptick in inflation = interest rates need to be higher for longer.

  • Interest rates higher for longer = stock market valuations tend to DECREASE which means the market DIPS LOWER.

  • Look at the second chart and see what happened starting in 2022.

  • Also, I am in the camp the market is a little lofty right now from a valuation standpoint.

  • So at a time the market is a little lofty, and rates are expected to be higher, that can be trouble for the markets.

  • That is why we saw the dip today!

  • BUT, there may be a silver lining, and market expectations might be wrong.

Why This Might Be Good👇

  • Does a strong economy = high inflation?

  • Look at this chart below of annual inflation👇

Look at this chart from 2008 to 2020 (a 12 year period of time that we had inflation around 2% ish)

  • We had a MASSIVE stock market run from 2008 to 2020 all with a strong economy and low inflation!

  • So just cause the data today indicates we have a strong economy, that does not correlate to inflation.

  • I feel the inflation concerns are being blown out of proportion and as time goes on, inflation will continue to trend lower.

  • Yes, it will be bumpy, but I would be VERY surprised if we are not at the 2% inflation target in the next 6-12 months.

  • Keep in mind, we are at 2.7% now… It’s not like we are at 6%.

My Thoughts👇

  • I think bond yields will dip in the coming months, or sooner…

  • If they do, stocks will prob get a relief rally.

  • Remember, bonds and stocks compete with each other.

  • Stocks are assumed to be the 10% “risky return” & bonds now are considered to be the 4.7% “risk free return”

  • Bond yields just pumped, and that makes them more attractive since they are the “risk free rate”.

  • The spread of ROI is now tighter between risk free & risk.

  • Also, market valuations are a little high now. 5-10% over valued…

  • Double negative for the market currently… (valuations & high bond yields)

  • But this may be a buy the dip opportunity!

How You Can Capitalize👇

  • I expect inflation to trend lower over the coming months and I think this will cool down bond yields.

  • When that happens, stocks should bounce back.

  • So the move now and what I plan to do in my $2m+ portfolio is to continue to find companies trading below intrinsic value with a durable competitive advantage.

  • I will use options to magnify returns and generate over $30k/month.

  • I teach you EXACTLY how to do this in my course.

  • Click the link below to get it 60% off.

  • HUNDREDS of my students COMPLETELY changed their lives & are scaling their portfolios and options income RAPIDLY!

  • Prices are going to go WAY up soon!

Final Comments On Today👇

  • Do not make plays to make plays.

  • ONLY make high margin of safety plays.

  • Do not buy something just cause the share price is going up

  • Continue to DCA into quality stocks/ETFs at good prices.

  • When you find undervalued companies, use options to magnify gains

  • Check out my links below for my course, free guides, & intrinsic value calculator!

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2025

(updated daily)

  • QQQ - $565

  • VOO - $575

  • IWM - $240

  • SOXX - $240

  • TSLA - $400

  • NVDA - $190

  • AAPL - $250

  • PLTR - $60

  • AMZN - $245

  • GOOG - $205

  • MSFT - $460

  • JPM - $260

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2030

  • QQQ - $750

  • VOO - $800

  • SOXX - $400

  • TSLA - $1,200

  • NVDA - $650

  • AAPL - $375

  • AMZN - $450

  • MSFT - $850

    (of course a lot of these will split, but this is non split adjusted)

👇My Favorite New Trades 👇

I either plan to enter, or have already entered these trades.

(updated daily)

These are in order from least risky to most risky!

  • VOO - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

  • QQQ - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

  • SOXX - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

  • TSLA - DCA Shares - 5 year min hold duration

  • NVDA - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

  • AMZN - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

  • NVDA - Sell Puts - 1 year duration -Strike of $115

  • SOXX - Sell Puts - 2 Year Duration - Strike $180

  • GOOG - Sell Puts - 1 year duration - Strike $160

  • TSLA - Sell Calls - 1 week duration - Strike $445

  • PLTR- Sell Calls - 2 week duration - Strike Price $85

  • MSTR - Sell calls - 1 week duration - Strike $95 OTM

    (Join premium discord to see my exact trades in real time, ONLY FOR COURSE MEMBERS)

👇Current Value of My Trading Account👇

(updated daily)

👇Yearly Account Account Value

  • December 2018 - $0

  • December 2019 - $45,251

  • December 2020 - $150,191

  • December 2021 - $267,524

  • December 2022- $290,315

  • December 2023 - $506,223

  • December 2024 - $927,796

  • IN PROGRESS 2025 - $932,368

👇Portfolio Thoughts

  • Amazing growth from 2018 to Current all off of a total contribution of $90,000.

  • That is over a 10x in 7 years!

  • I did this in a very low risk and conservative way.

  • I feel the market got a little stretched and this pull back is healthy.

  • If bond yields continue to climb, I expect pain in the markets to continue.

  • I will continue to find great investments / options plays that will pan out to explode the portfolio in the long run.

  • Month to month and even year to year volatility is irrelevant.

  • I see volatility as opportunity!

  • My goal is $5,000,000 in this account by 2030.

  • I see this as very achievable and if the market dips further, I will capitalize heavily, just like I did in 2022!

  • Stay the course and keep your emotions in check!

👇How My Trades Have Performed Since 2023👇

Blue = Me, Black = Nasdaq, Orange = SP500

DISCLAIMER: I AM NOT A CPA, ATTORNEY, TAX ADVISOR, OR INSURANCE ADVISOR. NOTHING CONTAINED WITHIN THESE EMAILS, VIDEOS, COURSES, OR OTHER CONTENT CONSTITUTES FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX, LEGAL, INSURANCE, OR OTHER ADVICE, NOR SHOULD ANYTHING CONTAINED WITHIN THESE EMAILS, VIDEOS, OR OTHER CONTENT BE RELIED UPON FOR MAKING AN INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISION. YOU SHOULD CONSIDER OBTAINING RELEVANT AND SPECIFIC PROFESSIONAL ADVICE BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISION. IF YOU NEED SUCH ADVICE, PLEASE CONTACT A QUALIFIED CPA, ATTORNEY, TAX PROFESSIONAL,  INSURANCE AGENT, OR FINANCIAL ADVISOR. PAST RESULTS DO NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS. YOU CAN LOSE MONEY INVESTING AND TRADING. LINKED ITEMS MAY CREATE A FINANCIAL BENEFIT FOR INVESTINGWITHBRANDON.