Welcome to The Alpha Report 👋

Hey guys!

I will be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every day the market is open! I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better! Enjoy!

-Brandon

Today’s Heat Map👇

Fear & Greed Index For Today👇

• 37 yesterday & 36 Today.

• Stocks dipped today and pushed us a little deeper into the fear category.

• I feel that we are closer to 55 vs what this says.

• Always keep your emotions in check on pumps & dumps.

• Short term market movements are usually irrelevant.

• Volatility is opportunity.

• Be greedy when others are fearful.

• Be fearful when others are greedy.

  

Today’s Economic Updates👇

• 30 year fixed mortgage rate climbs to 7.22% today vs 7.21% yesterday.

• 10 year treasury bond yield climbs to 4.68% today, vs 4.61% yesterday.

• 2 year treasury bond yield climbs to 4.28% today, vs 4.26% yesterday.

• U.S. job openings slightly increased to 9.61 million in November, while hiring and quitting rates declined, signaling a cooling labor market.

• This suggests employers are cautious about hiring, and workers are less likely to switch jobs, reflecting broader economic uncertainty and easing inflation pressures.

Sell or Hold👇

Let’s Break Down What Happened Today👇

• The market remains cautious as investors digest strong economic data and its implications for the Fed’s rate policy.

• All eyes are now on Friday’s jobs report and the Fed’s December meeting minutes for more clarity on the direction of the economy and interest rates.

• The minutes are just essentially notes from when then fed members talk about. This gives more clarity and context about the decisions they make.

• You guys know I say it ALL THE TIME, rates are gravity on the stock market.

• If the fed implies rates will be higher for longer, that will drag down stocks.

• Bonds and stocks compete with each other.

• In a perfect world, we would have: low interest rates which means low bond yields, low inflation (2%), solid growth in GDP, solid EPS growth, & reasonable stock market valuations.

So Where Are We At Now👇

• I think the market is a little lofty and if we pull back 10%, I view that as a healthy correction.

• We came a long way the last 5 years and it is ok to give a little back.

• This is why it is KEY to not be over leveraged at times like this.

• Be prepared to capitalize on upside and downside.

• The market can be irrational longer than what makes sense.

• This applies to being over valued and under valued.

• Stocks should follow earnings growth in the long run, and we are a little bit extended now.

This Is The SP500 Earnings Growth By year👇

• Jun 30, 2024 8.24% (most recent data so far)

• Dec 31, 2023 11.39%

• Dec 31, 2022 -12.70%

• Dec 31, 2021 110.21%

• Dec 31, 2020 -32.51%

• So all of that added together in a simple interest way = 84.6%

• Notice how the SP500 went up 81% in the last 5 years.

• It is no coincidence.

• Stocks will follow the earnings growth BUT IN THE LONG RUN!

• Short term is based on FEAR and GREED.

So Should You Sell?👇

• That depends on your hold duration.

• If you have money in the stock market and you plan to need it in the next 5 years, I would sell.

• If you do NOT need it in the next 5 years, I would hold.

• Nothing is guaranteed, but the longer you hold for, the safer things are.

• You are giving these companies time to boost revenue and earnings.

• Give a solid company a few years and the earnings should be higher.

• This should also correlate to a higher stock price assuming the company was trading near intrinsic value when you made the investment. (meaning you did not buy when it was over valued)

Final Comments On Today👇

• Do not make plays to make plays.

• ONLY make high margin of safety plays.

• Do not buy something just cause the share price is going up

• Continue to DCA into quality stocks/ETFs at good prices.

• When you find undervalued companies, use options to magnify gains

• Check out my links below for my course, free guides, & intrinsic value calculator!

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2025

(updated daily)

• QQQ - $565

• VOO - $575

• IWM - $240

• SOXX - $240

• TSLA - $400

• NVDA - $190

• AAPL - $250

• PLTR - $60

• AMZN - $245

• GOOG - $205

• MSFT - $460

• JPM - $260

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2030

• QQQ - $750

• VOO - $800

• SOXX - $400

• TSLA - $1,200

• NVDA - $650

• AAPL - $375

• AMZN - $450

• MSFT - $850

  (of course a lot of these will split, but this is non split adjusted)

👇My Favorite New Trades 👇

I either plan to enter, or have already entered these trades.

These are in order from least risky to most risky!

• VOO - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

• QQQ - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

• SOXX - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

• TSLA - DCA Shares - 5 year min hold duration

• NVDA - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

• AMZN - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

• NVDA - Sell Puts - 1 year duration -Strike of $120

• SOXX - Sell Puts - 2 Year Duration - Strike $180

• GOOG - Sell Puts - 1 year duration - Strike $160

• TSLA - Sell Calls - 1 week duration - Strike $450

• PLTR- Sell Calls - 2 week duration - Strike Price $90

• MSTR - Sell calls - 1 week duration - Strike $95 OTM
  

  (Join premium discord to see my exact trades in real time, link below)

👇Current Value of My Trading Account👇

(updated daily)

👇Yearly Account Account Value

• December 2018 - $0

• December 2019 - $45,251

• December 2020 - $150,191

• December 2021 - $267,524

• December 2022- $290,315

• December 2023 - $506,223

• December 2024 - $927,796

• IN PROGRESS 2025 - $940,199

👇Portfolio Thoughts

• Amazing growth from 2018 to Current all off of a total contribution of $90,000.

• That is over a 10x in 7 years!

• I did this in a very low risk and conservative way.

• The key is to educate yourself how the market ACTUALLY works and use it to your advantage!

• Do my course, It will change your life! (link below for 60% off)

• I did touch a million in this account a few weeks ago but we pulled back a little.

• I feel the market got a little stretched and this pull back is healthy.

• I will continue to find great investments/ options plays that will pan out to explode the portfolio in the long run.

• Month to month and even year to year volatility is irrelevant. I see volatility as opportunity!

• My goal is $5,000,000 in this account by 2030.

• I see this as very achievable and if the market dips further, I will capitalize heavily, just like I did in 2022!

• Stay the course and keep your emotions in check!

👇How My Trades Have Performed Since 2023👇

👇Check Out My Links👇