Alpha Report Issue #41

Is The Bottom In? MAYBE BUT...

Welcome to The Alpha Report ðŸ‘‹

Hey guys!

I will be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every day the market is open! I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better! Enjoy!

-Brandon

Today’s Heat Map👇

Market bounced again today, crawling back the dip we had a few weeks ago. Stocks like NVDA, GOOG, & META led us higher. (The AI plays)

Fear & Greed Index For Today👇

  • 32 Friday & 37 Today.

  • Stocks bounced back again today around AI optimism.

  • I feel that we are closer to 60 vs what this says.

  • Always keep your emotions in check on pumps & dumps.

  • Short term market movements are usually irrelevant.

  • Volatility is opportunity.

  • Be greedy when others are fearful.

  • Be fearful when others are greedy.

Today’s Economic Updates👇

  • 30 year fixed mortgage rate falls to 7.21% today vs 7.24% Friday.

  • 10 year treasury bond yield climbs to 4.61% today, vs 4.60% Friday.

  • 2 year treasury bond yield falls to 4.26% today, vs 4.28% Friday.

  • In November, U.S. factory orders fell by 0.4%, mainly due to a drop in demand for commercial aircraft, which declined by 7%. Prob cause nobody wants Boeing planes lol.

  • Manufacturing, which makes up 10% of the U.S. economy, has been hit by higher interest rates aimed at reducing inflation.

  • However, economic growth is expected to continue, with the Atlanta Fed forecasting 2.4% GDP growth for the fourth quarter.

  • NOT saying I am a big bad bear, but the fed is doing what it wants with higher rates. Slow the economy and lower inflation. I think inflation will continue to fall and rates will slowly drift lower.

Is The Bottom In? MAYBE…

This Is What Happened Today👇

  • The stock market pumped today, primarily driven by the tech & semiconductor companies.

  • Companies like Nvidia are leading the surge, with Nvidia's stock rising over 4% ahead of CEO Jensen Huang's keynote at the CES trade show. (He talks tonight at 630p in Vegas) This optimism is boosted by Foxconn's report of record fourth-quarter revenues, indicating strong demand for AI servers. (good for SMCI, NVDA)

  • Reports suggest that Trump's administration may adopt a more targeted approach to tariffs, focusing on critical imports rather than broad-based measures. I think tariffs overall in the long run could help America, but in the short term I think it will cause pain. Trump wants jobs to come back to America, but they will not happen overnight. This has positively impacted market sentiment cause people view tariffs as inflationary and will hurt the economy in the short term. Although Trump has denied these reports, the possibility of a softer trade policy has been well-received by investors. So we will see how this actually pans out.

  • Despite a cautionary statement from Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook about elevated market valuations and potential vulnerabilities, investors appear to remain optimistic, continuing to drive market indices higher. (euphoria)

  • To summarize this all up, the current market upswing is largely attributed to robust performance in the technology sector, particularly among AI and semiconductor companies, combined with investor optimism regarding potential trade policy adjustments. Remember, Trump denied the tariff softness so we will see what happens…

Understand this chart here. I feel we are somewhere around the Thrill category. Nobody knows how long it will last. The key is to ONLY make high margin of safety plays, especially with options.

So What Does That Mean?👇

  • Well, I have said it time and time again… I think we are a little lofty on valuations.

  • So is the bottom in? This is not going to be the answer you wanna hear, but I say no.

  • Can we fall? Yes, of course.

  • Will it be justified? Yes, of course.

  • I am positioned to capitalize on upside and downside and I think you could be too.

  • Do not over leverage plays right now expecting upside. That is setting you up for failure. Yes I still have MILLIONS of dollars long the market right now, but I am not super leveraged.

  • Yea companies like NVDA benefit from the strong Foxconn revenues, but the comes a point in time where things become too disconnected from the fundamentals.

  • I do think NVDA is still a buy, check towards the bottom of this newsletter to see the specific plays I like right now.

  • Also, Jensen (NVDA CEO) is speaking at 630p tonight in Vegas. This will be important to watch cause he may give some insight on what the future for tech and AI holds, in particular NVDA.

I will be tuning in tonight at 630p to see what Jensen NVDA CEO has to say.

  • If you want to use my FREE intrinsic value calculator, the link is at the bottom of this newsletter.

  • Go see for yourself when you plug in companies and see how most are over valued.

  • A few like Google and Nvidia will pop up as near intrinsic value, but most will be expensive.

  • So right now I am still finding option plays and generating about $30k/mo, but I am being careful.

  • I like to be greedy when others are fearful.

  • Right now people are greedy, so that is why I am a little fearful.

  • I am not saying I am calling for a huge crash, but I am just a little cautious right now, especially with options.

Final Comments On Today👇

  • Do not make plays to make plays.

  • ONLY make high margin of safety plays.

  • Do not buy something just cause the share price is going up

  • Continue to DCA into quality stocks/ETFs at good prices.

  • When you find undervalued companies, use options to magnify gains

  • Check out my links below for my course, free guides, & intrinsic value calculator!

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2025

(updated daily)

  • QQQ - $565

  • VOO - $575

  • IWM - $240

  • SOXX - $240

  • TSLA - $400

  • NVDA - $190

  • AAPL - $250

  • PLTR - $60

  • AMZN - $245

  • GOOG - $205

  • MSFT - $460

  • JPM - $260

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2030

  • QQQ - $750

  • VOO - $800

  • SOXX - $400

  • TSLA - $1,200

  • NVDA - $650

  • AAPL - $375

  • AMZN - $450

  • MSFT - $850

    (of course a lot of these will split, but this is non split adjusted)

👇My Favorite New Trades 👇

I either plan to enter, or have already entered these trades.

These are in order from least risky to most risky!

  • VOO - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

  • QQQ - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

  • SOXX - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

  • TSLA - DCA Shares - 5 year min hold duration

  • NVDA - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

  • AMZN - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

  • NVDA - Sell Puts - 1 year duration -Strike of $120

  • SOXX - Sell Puts - 2 Year Duration - Strike $180

  • GOOG - Sell Puts - 1 year duration - Strike $160

  • TSLA - Sell Calls - 1 week duration - Strike $460

  • PLTR- Sell Calls - 2 week duration - Strike Price $100

  • MSTR - Sell calls - 1 week duration - Strike $95 OTM

    (Join premium discord to see my exact trades in real time, link below)

👇Current Value of My Trading Account👇

(updated daily)

👇Yearly Account Account Value

  • December 2018 - $0

  • December 2019 - $45,251

  • December 2020 - $150,191

  • December 2021 - $267,524

  • December 2022- $290,315

  • December 2023 - $506,223

  • December 2024 - $927,796

  • IN PROGRESS 2025 - $968,539

👇Portfolio Thoughts

  • Amazing growth from 2018 to Current all off of a total contribution of $90,000.

  • That is over a 10x in 7 years!

  • I did this in a very low risk and conservative way.

  • The key is to educate yourself how the market ACTUALLY works and use it to your advantage!

  • Do my course, It will change your life! (link below for 60% off)

  • I did touch a million in this account a few weeks ago but we pulled back a little.

  • I feel the market got a little stretched and this pull back is healthy, rebounded a little today though.

  • I will continue to find great investments/ options plays that will pan out to explode the portfolio in the long run.

  • Month to month and even year to year volatility is irrelevant. I see volatility as opportunity!

  • My goal is $5,000,000 in this account by 2030.

  • I see this as very achievable and if the market dips further, I will capitalize heavily, just like I did in 2022!

  • Stay the course and keep your emotions in check!

I started this account with $0 in 2018 & Currently $968,539. Total contributions of $90,000. This is the power of doing stocks and options the right way, but I do expect more volatility. I am being very cautious with options right now. I consider this account to be worth around $750k for the true intrinsic value, not $900k+. This means I wouldn’t be surprised if we take a dip!

👇How My Trades Have Performed Since 2023👇

Me = Blue, Black = Nasdaq, Orange = SP500

DISCLAIMER: I AM NOT A CPA, ATTORNEY, TAX ADVISOR, OR INSURANCE ADVISOR. NOTHING CONTAINED WITHIN THESE EMAILS, VIDEOS, COURSES, OR OTHER CONTENT CONSTITUTES FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX, LEGAL, INSURANCE, OR OTHER ADVICE, NOR SHOULD ANYTHING CONTAINED WITHIN THESE EMAILS, VIDEOS, OR OTHER CONTENT BE RELIED UPON FOR MAKING AN INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISION. YOU SHOULD CONSIDER OBTAINING RELEVANT AND SPECIFIC PROFESSIONAL ADVICE BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISION. IF YOU NEED SUCH ADVICE, PLEASE CONTACT A QUALIFIED CPA, ATTORNEY, TAX PROFESSIONAL,  INSURANCE AGENT, OR FINANCIAL ADVISOR. PAST RESULTS DO NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS. YOU CAN LOSE MONEY INVESTING AND TRADING. LINKED ITEMS MAY CREATE A FINANCIAL BENEFIT FOR INVESTINGWITHBRANDON.