Alpha Report Issue #37

Market Continues To Pull Back. I'm Doing This.

Welcome to The Alpha Report đź‘‹

Hey guys!

I will be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every day the market is open! I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better! Enjoy!

-Brandon

Today’s Heat Map👇

Market was red overall today again. That’s totally fine. Things need to take a breather. Remember my thesis, I’m in the camp that we are about 10% over valued. If you can’t stomach the volatility, stocks are not for you. People that understand how the market works understand volatility is opportunity.

Today’s Biggest Winners/Losers👇

Nasdaq Biggest Winnersâś…

FANG

  161.40

3.06

(1.93%)

CTAS

  184.51

1.13

(0.62%)

BKR

  41.00

0.20

(0.49%)

Nasdaq Biggest Losers❌

MSTR

  294.90

-35.10

(-10.64%)

MU

  85.16

-3.47

(-3.92%)

TSLA

  415.16

-16.50

(-3.82%)

Fear & Greed Index For Today👇

  • 34 on Monday & 28 Today.

  • Stocks took a dip today and this was much needed, pushing us deeper into fear category. THIS IS HEALTHY! MARKET CAN’T GO UP EVERY DAY!

  • I feel that we are closer to 55 vs what this says.

  • Be greedy when others are fearful.

  • Be fearful when others are greedy.

Today’s Economic Updates👇

  • 30 year fixed mortgage rate drops to 7.20% today vs 7.21% Monday.

  • 10 year treasury bond yield falls to 4.53% today, vs 4.63% Monday.

  • 2 year treasury bond yield falls to 4.24% today, vs 4.33% Monday.

Healthy Pull Back Or Crash Incoming?👇

  • Overall the market is red again today.

  • The market peaked out December 16th around $538/share for the Nasdaq QQQ.

  • Currently at $515 so roughly a 4% drop.

  • Everyone needs to zoom out and see the YTD which is on this chart here.

  • 28% gain!

  • We are fine.

  • Even if we give back another 18%, a 10% year is solid for the stock market.

  • Not saying that will happen, but keep your expectations in check.

  • We made a HUGE move the last few years.

  • Remember, as things fall they become cheaper and safer.

  • DO NOT make financial decisions with emotions. Make them logically.

  • Today I closed a few of my sold puts.

  • Not cause I am “panicing”, I don’t panic when things go down. I am closing cause I feel valuations are stretched on a few of the puts I sold.

  • So I closed out my Microsoft and Apple sold puts for a profit of about $14,886 today.

  • It is important to take profits when it makes sense. Both of those sold puts I closed out, I was up over 50% on.

  • I feel like those two companies are a little stretched from intrinsic values.

  • A good starting point is to use my FREE intrinsic value calculator and it will spit out the prices things are worth. LINK AT THE BOTTOM!

Overall Thoughts On Valuations👇

  • I feel we are still over valued by about 10%.

  • Just because we are 10% lofty, that does NOT mean we will dip back down to intrinsic value immediately or ever.

  • The market can stay irrational longer than what makes sense.

  • So let’s think about this. There is a possibility the market can fall into the cheap category, maybe 20% under valued. So to swing from 10% over valued to 20% under valued is about a 30% dip.

  • This is possible and anyone that invests in the stock market should be able to stomach this volatility.

  • The key is to educate yourself so yourself so you feel comfortable in bull markets and bear markets.

  • My course will teach you EVERYTHING you gotta know. (link at bottom)

  • If you don’t know what to look for, you’ll never find it.

Current Thoughts In My Head👇

  • Market dipped.

  • Nobody likes to see red, but this is healthy!

  • Keep emotions in check.

  • I like discounts.

  • I feel the bull market is still fine but a healthy correction is needed.

  • We are at the beginning of the Industrial Revolution but for Tech and AI.

  • We had a killer run the last few years and giving back some is ok.

  • It can keep going down or maybe this is the bottom.

  • Nobody knows.

  • Anyone that makes a prediction and is right will be a lucky guru.

  • Stay the course and stick to the principles I laid out in my course.

Final Comments On Today👇

  • Remember, as QUALITY stocks fall, they get cheaper and safer.

  • The high PE stocks fall harder in times like this.

  • Keep your emotions in check.

    I am doing this👇

  • Continue to DCA into quality stocks/ETFs at good prices.

  • When you find undervalued companies, use options to magnify gains

  • Check out my links below for my course, free guides, & intrinsic value calculator!

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2025

(updated daily)

  • QQQ - $565

  • VOO - $575

  • IWM - $240

  • SOXX - $240

  • TSLA - $400

  • NVDA - $190

  • AAPL - $250

  • PLTR - $60

  • AMZN - $245

  • GOOG - $205

  • MSFT - $460

  • JPM - $260

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2030

  • QQQ - $750

  • VOO - $800

  • SOXX - $400

  • TSLA - $1,200

  • NVDA - $650

  • AAPL - $375

  • AMZN - $450

  • MSFT - $850

    (of course a lot of these will split, but this is non split adjusted)

👇My Favorite New Trades 👇

I either plan to enter, or have already entered these trades.

These are in order from least risky to most risky!

  • VOO - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

  • QQQ - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

  • SOXX - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

  • TSLA - DCA Shares - 5 year minimum hold duration

  • NVDA - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

  • AMZN - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

  • NVDA - Sell Puts - 1 year duration -Strike of $115

  • SOXX - Sell Puts - 2 Year Duration - Strike $180

  • GOOG - Sell Puts - 1 year duration - Strike $160

  • TSLA - Sell Calls - 1 week duration - Strike $490

  • PLTR- Sell Calls - 2 week duration - Strike Price $100

  • MSTR - Sell calls - 1 week duration - Strike $100 out of the money.

    (Join premium discord to see my exact trades in real time, link below)

👇Current Value of My Trading Account👇

(updated daily)

I started this year at $506,110. Currently $946,040. This is the power of doing stocks and options the right way, but I do expect more volatility. I am being very cautious with options right now. I consider this account to be worth around $750k for the true intrinsic value, not $900k+. This means I wouldn’t be surprised if we take a dip!

👇Yearly Trading Account Value

  • December 2018 - $0

  • December 2019 - $45,251

  • December 2020 - $150,191

  • December 2021 - $267,524

  • December 2022- $290,315

  • December 2023 - $506,223

  • December 2024 - $946,040 (in progress)

👇How My Trades Have Performed Since 2023👇

Me = Blue, Black = Nasdaq, Orange = SP500

DISCLAIMER: I AM NOT A CPA, ATTORNEY, TAX ADVISOR, OR INSURANCE ADVISOR. NOTHING CONTAINED WITHIN THESE EMAILS, VIDEOS, COURSES, OR OTHER CONTENT CONSTITUTES FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX, LEGAL, INSURANCE, OR OTHER ADVICE, NOR SHOULD ANYTHING CONTAINED WITHIN THESE EMAILS, VIDEOS, OR OTHER CONTENT BE RELIED UPON FOR MAKING AN INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISION. YOU SHOULD CONSIDER OBTAINING RELEVANT AND SPECIFIC PROFESSIONAL ADVICE BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISION. IF YOU NEED SUCH ADVICE, PLEASE CONTACT A QUALIFIED CPA, ATTORNEY, TAX PROFESSIONAL,  INSURANCE AGENT, OR FINANCIAL ADVISOR. PAST RESULTS DO NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS. YOU CAN LOSE MONEY INVESTING AND TRADING. LINKED ITEMS MAY CREATE A FINANCIAL BENEFIT FOR INVESTINGWITHBRANDON.