Welcome to The Alpha Report 👋

Hey guys!

I will be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every day the market is open! I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better! Enjoy!

-Brandon

Today’s Heat Map👇

Today’s Biggest Winners/Losers👇

Nasdaq Biggest Winners✅

Nasdaq Biggest Losers❌

Fear & Greed Index For Today👇

• 30 on Tuesday & 35 Today.

• The market was pretty much flat today so not much movement here.

• I feel this is being a little generous and we are closer to 55 on this scale.

• Be greedy when others are fearful.

• Be fearful when others are greedy.

  

Today’s Economic Updates👇

• 30 year fixed mortgage rate climbs to 7.22% today vs 7.1% on Tuesday

• 10 year treasury bond yield flat at 4.58% today, same as Tuesday.

• 2 year treasury bond yield flat at 4.33% today, same as Tuesday.

• Today, Initial jobless claims came in at 219k vs 220k expected.

• Recurring jobless claims rose to the highest in more than three years at 1.91 million, meaning it is taking a little longer to find work.

Potential Trouble On The Horizon👇

• So today we got jobs data that could be potentially bad for the economy going forward.

• Let’s look at this chart below.

What Does This Chart Mean?👇

• So the orange line is continuing claims.

• The black line is initial claims.

• Basically the orange line is people that are unemployed and continue to be unemployed. Black line is fresh people that are “looking for work”

• So since the fed started raising rates in 2022, continued jobless claims has been on a uptrend.

• The chart below shows the most recent hiking cycle and the start of cuts.

  

Ok Why Does This Matter?👇

• The goal of the fed is to maximize employment (have policy that accommodates the labor market) while at the same time keep inflation in check at around 2% per year.

• In 2022 rates went up. This lowered demand in the economy. Borrowing costs went up. Demand went down for goods and services. Demand down = Inflation should trend down with it.

• The by product of higher rates and a slower economy is unemployment.

• Companies lay off workers as demand for their products goes down.

• That’s why the orange line above was on a steady increase since the fed started tightening policy (raising rates)

So What Does This Mean For Stocks?👇

• Well, the market last week took a dip when the fed implied less cuts for 2025.

• We are expected 2 cuts vs 4.

• Reason is cause inflation is sticky and hovering around 2.5-3%.

• Yes this is close to target, but the fed is not claiming job finished until they see 2%.

• So this is the trouble, if inflation ticks up, there is a chance we see ZERO cuts in 2025.

• Basically in order to lower inflation, the fed raised rates to slow down the economy. But now the fed is in a pickle where they need to balance inflation and the jobs market. If inflation ticks up and the jobs market weakens, they are in a situation where it is hard to solve both problems at one time.

• This is why most of the fed cutting cycles usually has some sort of recession or contraction in the economy. This is because the fed either cuts cause they HAVE to cause of a recession or weakening economy. Usually, by the time they cut, the recession is already here so its too late to fix, or they cut and inflation comes back so they gotta stay higher for longer and the economy can not handle higher for longer…

• So at a time when valuations are lofty and inflation is sticky and cuts may come slower, I am being cautious.

• I know it feels good make money, but the market can go either way from here… Up or Down.

• Time will tell.

• Be prepared to capitalize on additional upside and also a correction lower.

• I am predicting a 7% return for 2025 with high volatility.

But Is This All Noise?👇

• Kinda yes. This is why.

• $QQQ is about $520/share right now.

• If I assume a 11% annual return for 20 years, the non split adjusted price per share of QQQ would be $4,500+

• Everything is noise.

• If it dips to $400, I won’t care.

• I’ll buy more.

• I have my eyes in the future at $4,500+

• I will leave this at that.

• This is why long term investors win and using options to magnify high confidence plays is the icing on the cake!

Final Comments On Today👇

• The market was flat today and bony yields continue to remain high. (implies less cuts in 2025)

• I see us at 10% over valued so I am being cautious, which is what I have been saying for months.

• Remember, as QUALITY stocks fall, they get cheaper and safer.

• The high PE stocks fall harder in times like this.

• Keep your emotions in check.

• Continue to DCA into quality stocks/ETFs at good prices.

• When you find undervalued companies, use options to magnify gains

• Check out my links below for my course, free guides, & intrinsic value calculator!

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2025

(updated daily)

• QQQ - $565

• VOO - $575

• IWM - $240

• SOXX - $240

• TSLA - $400

• NVDA - $190

• AAPL - $250

• PLTR - $60

• AMZN - $245

• GOOG - $205

• MSFT - $460

• JPM - $260

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2030

• QQQ - $750

• VOO - $800

• SOXX - $400

• TSLA - $1,200

• NVDA - $650

• AAPL - $375

• AMZN - $450

• MSFT - $850

  (of course a lot of these will split, but this is non split adjusted)

👇My Favorite New Trades 👇

I either plan to enter, or have already entered these trades.

These are in order from least risky to most risky!

• VOO - DCA Shares - 3 year min hold duration

• QQQ - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

• SOXX - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

• TSLA - DCA Shares - 5 year minimum hold duration

• NVDA - DCA Shares - 2 year minimum hold duration

• AMZN - DCA Shares - 2 year minimum hold duration

• NVDA - Sell Puts - 1 year duration -Strike of $115

• GOOG - Sell Puts - 1 year duration - Strike $165

• TSLA - Sell Calls - 1 week duration - Strike $530

• PLTR- Sell Calls - 2 week duration - Strike Price $100

• MSTR - Sell calls - 1 week duration - Strike $100 out of the money.

(Join premium discord to see my exact trades in real time, link below)

👇Current Value of My Trading Account👇

(updated daily)

👇Yearly Trading Account Value

• December 2018 - $0

• December 2019 - $45,251

• December 2020 - $150,191

• December 2021 - $267,524

• December 2022- $290,315

• December 2023 - $506,223

• December 2024 - $985,084 (in progress)

👇How My Trades Have Performed Since 2023👇

👇Check Out My Links👇