Welcome to The Alpha Report 👋

Hey guys!

I will be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every day the market is open! I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better! Enjoy!

-Brandon

Today’s Heat Map👇

Today’s Biggest Winners/Losers👇

Nasdaq Biggest Winners✅

Nasdaq Biggest Losers❌

Fear & Greed Index For Today👇

• 23 yesterday & 28 Today.

• The market bounced back today but still kept us in the fear category.

• I feel this is being a little generous and we are closer to 55 on this scale.

• Be greedy when others are fearful.

• Be fearful when others are greedy.

• Things are only down a little from ATHs. A little 5% dip is NOT a big needle mover…

  

Today’s Economic Updates👇

• 30 year fixed mortgage rate climbs to 7.07% today vs 7.01% yesterday.

• 10 year treasury bond yield falls to 4.53% vs 4.56% yesterday.

• 2 year treasury bond yield falls to 4.31% vs 4.32% yesterday.

• Today we got PCE data which is important to the Fed to track progress on inflation.

• Headline PCE was mild, with prices up 0.13% from October (a 1.5% annualized rate)

• The 12-month rate ticked up to 2.4% from 2.3%

• The 6-month annualized rate was 1.9%

• The 3-month annualized rate held steady at 2.1%.

• So overall inflation appears to be on track to 2%.

• Markets rallied on this news that inflation is still in check and on track to the 2% target.

Why Did The Market Dip & Is It Done?

• Let’s start by looking at this 5 year chart below for the SP500👇

• This is a VERY important thing most people do NOT know but you need to know!

• So this is a chart of the S&P500 ETF Ticker VOO. The straight line corresponds to the average earnings growth of the companies within the S&P500.

• So as you can see in the end of 2021, the market was a little over valued (VOO traded above earnings line) and mid 2022 the market was undervalued (VOO below earnings line)

• As you guys know, in 2022 I was aggressively positioning myself to capitalize on the next bull run.

• Everyone was freaking out to sell. I was freaking out to buy.

• This is how my net worth exploded to over $2m in the last few years.

• Earnings are the number one thing that matters to what a stock does in the long run.

• Lets look at the annual growth rate for the last 5 years and add it together then compare this against what the SP500 share price did.

• 2020 = -32%

• 2021 = 110%

• 2022 = -12%

• 2023 = 11%

• 2024 = 14%

• So if we add that up in a simple way that = 91% earnings growth in the last 5 years.

• The SP500 index price went up roughly 91% in the last 5 years too.

• Funny how that works out huh… EARNINGS MATTER!

• That is why on the top right of the chart, earnings and the stock price of VOO are pretty much in line.

• So this indicates the market is roughly par value right now, but this is just one measure.

• I can not go into all the details in this newsletter, that is what I do in my course (roughly 7 hours of video lessons, link at the bottom)

Ok So What Does This Mean?👇

• According to this one breakdown above, the market appears to be close to intrinsic value.

• I think we are roughly 10% over valued but it is a function of what interest rates do, how the economy holds up, how earnings do, ect…

• So it is easy to make an argument the market can dip 10, 20, or even 30% next year and that would be viewed as a buying opportunity.

• The market can also climb another 10 or 20% next year and that could be viewed as acceptable if all expectations come true with regards to growth and economic strength.

• I prefer to be more conservative and prepare for the worst, but also capitalize on the potential upside.

• If you can’t accept the volatility of the percentages I just said above this, you should NOT be investing in the stock market.

• You should be educating yourself to understand volatility is not risk. Volatility is opportunity.

How To Position To Win In A Bull Market & Bear Market👇

• Most people do investing all wrong.

• My way is almost guaranteed to make you rich, but it will not happen overnight.

• DCA into VOO & QQQ forever! I don’t care what “experts” say or what Jim Cramer says or Tom Lee or whatever other people say. DCA VOO/QQQ forever and never plan to sell. Only invest money you do not need for at least 5 years. That will almost eliminate the chance you need sell and the market is lower vs when you bought. This is called the BASE portfolio.

• Once you scale the BASE to $20k minimum, then you can dabble in options. This is where the magic happens and I currently generate about $30k/mo+ with options. Then I take options profits and buy more of the BASE portfolio.

• I STRONGLY recommend you read all 20 books on my Discord in the “Brandons favorite books” channel. Also do my course in combination with that. (links at bottom)

• I am willing to bet that anyone who does what I just said there will know more than 99.9% of people on earth about investing and you will dominate the market in the long run.

• The choice is yours.

• 9-5 job forever, or take this serious.

• I made my decision 6 years ago.

• Here is my YouTube video I just dropped today of me explaining my journey from $0 to over $2 million👇

  Watch Youtube Video Here

Final Comments On Today👇

• The market bounced back after a much needed dip but the pain may not be over as outlined above.

• I see us at 10% over valued so I am being cautious, which is what I have been saying for months.

• Remember, as QUALITY stocks fall, they get cheaper and safer.

• The high PE stocks fall harder in times like this.

• Keep your emotions in check.

• Continue to DCA into quality stocks/ETFs at good prices.

• When you find undervalued companies, use options to magnify gains

• Check out my links below for my course, free guides, & intrinsic value calculator!

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2025

• QQQ - $530

• VOO - $575

• IWM - $240

• SOXX - $240

• TSLA - $390

• NVDA - $190

• AAPL - $245

• PLTR - $60

• AMZN - $240

• GOOG - $200

• MSFT - $460

• JPM - $250

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2030

• QQQ - $750

• VOO - $800

• SOXX - $400

• TSLA - $1,200

• NVDA - $650

• AAPL - $375

• AMZN - $450

• MSFT - $850

  (of course a lot of these will split, but this is non split adjusted)

👇My Favorite New Trades 👇

I either plan to enter, or have already entered these trades.

These are in order from least risky to most risky!

• VOO - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

• QQQ - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

• SOXX - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

• TSLA - DCA Shares - 5 year minimum hold duration

• NVDA - DCA Shares - 2 year minimum hold duration

• AMZN - DCA Shares - 2 year minimum hold duration

• NVDA - Sell Puts - 1 year duration -Strike of $110

• GOOG - Sell Puts - 1 year duration - Strike $165

• TSLA - Sell Calls - 1 week duration - Strike $475

• PLTR- Sell Calls - 2 week duration - Strike Price $100

• MSTR - Sell calls - 1 week duration - Strike $100 out of the money.

(Join premium discord to see my exact trades in real time, link below)

👇Current Value of My Trading Account👇

(updated daily)

👇Yearly Trading Account Value

• December 2018 - $0

• December 2019 - $45,251

• December 2020 - $150,191

• December 2021 - $267,524

• December 2022- $290,315

• December 2023 - $506,223

• December 2024 - $939,415 (in progress)

👇How My Trades Have Performed Since 2023👇

👇Check Out My Links👇