Welcome to The Alpha Report 👋

Hey guys!

I will be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every day the market is open! I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better! Enjoy!

-Brandon

Today’s Heat Map👇

Today’s Biggest Winners/Losers👇

Nasdaq Biggest Winners✅

Nasdaq Biggest Losers❌

Fear & Greed Index For Today👇

• 34 yesterday & 23 Today.

• The market dipped more today and sent us to the fear category.

• I feel this is being a little generous and we are closer to 55 on this scale.

• Be greedy when others are fearful.

• Be fearful when others are greedy.

• Things are only down a little from ATHs. A little 5% dip is NOT a big needle mover…

  

Today’s Economic Updates👇

• 30 year fixed mortgage rate climbs to 7.01% today vs 6.97% yesterday.

• 10 year treasury bond yield climbs to 4.56% vs 4.51% yesterday.

• Today we got data about the initial jobless claims. The data came in at 220k vs 230k expected. This means less people are unemployed and looking for work. Implies the economy is strong and people are finding jobs.

How Low Can The Market Go?

• Well that is a great question.

• Wanna know the answer… NOBODY KNOWS!

• But first of all… ZOOM OUT! We have been mooning the last few years so a breather is fine.

• If I had to make a bet on the price of the stock market at the end of 2025, I would say we will be somewhere between -30% or +15% from the current levels.

• Yes that is a wide range, but the market is a little lofty now and it can fall more.

• I tried to warn ppl that the market does not go green every day but nobody wants to listen.

• Go look at my YouTube video from a few days ago talking about Tesla. I said the unpopular thing that the stock is out of control and I was very close to selling my shares even though I plan to hold them for a minimum of another 5 years.

• Yesterday's VIX spike was the highest single-day spike in months.

• Vix is the volatility index. (Basically implies the stock market is going to have crazy swings)

• The last few times we had sharp spikes in the VIX, the market was up a month later.

• Not saying this will always play out like this cause it won't, but the rubber band analogy plays out very often. (course members know what I mean)

• I am being cautious like I have been saying for a while now cause of valuation concerns and people need to remember the market doesn't have to go green every day!!! Stocks can drop 5-10% IN A DAY!

• Especially the ones with higher valuations that are pricing in perfection.

• DO NOT GET WIPED OUT!

• ONLY MAKE PLAYS WITH A HIGH MARGIN OF SAFETY

Ok So What Should I Do Then?👇

• Continue to DCA into the base of your portfolio with the expectation to hold those shares for a MINIMUM of 5+ years.

• If you find a company trading below intrinsic value with a durable competitive advantage, use options to magnify returns.

• I go into DEEP detail on this in my course. It’s not possible to explain it in this short newsletter.

Important Thing About Options👇

• Understand that for me, options are not my strategy.

• They are ONLY there to magnify returns on high confidence plays.

• The whole point of options is to generate profits/premiums and use that money to buy more shares in the base of the portfolio.

• So many people try to skip the base portfolio and go straight to options.

• That is also why 95% of people will never hit a million bucks invested.

• Act like the herd, and you'll get the crappy results like the herd.

  

Super Quick Breakdown On Nike Earnings Today👇

• Stock has been getting nailed for the last few years

• Currently trading at $81/share

• Q1 25 EPS: $0.70

• Q4 24 EPS: $0.99

• Q3 24 EPS: $0.77

• Q2 24 EPS: $1.03

• Total TTM EPS: $3.49

• 81/3.49 = 23 PE trailing.

• EPS same quarter last year was $0.94 vs $0.70 now. 25% YoY EPS Drop

• Revenue same quarter last year was $12.9b vs $11.6b now. 7% YoY Revenue Drop

• The stock is down 36% in the last year

• I will not be buying Nike. Yea the share price is down, but it deserves to be down.

• Earnings are the number one thing that matters in the long run.

• EPS is down and so is the stock.

• Don't get caught buying into the "discount" that may not be there.

• I don't feel they have the brand they used to have. Worse moat, worse pricing power, worse competitive advantage... Maybe they will drop good numbers tomorrow but I won't be touching

That is what I said yesterday in Discord☝️

This is what I said today in Discord👇

• Today Nike reported $0.78 EPS for Q2 2025

• Same quarter last year was $1.03

• The beat means nothing lol

• YoY EPS down 27%

• Q2 2025 Revenue is 12.35B vs 13.4b same quarter last year

• Down 8% YoY

• Be an investor not a speculator.

• Moat, Pricing power, durable competitive advantage, cheap vs intrinsic value, ect... Nike does not have that in my opinion.

• When I plan to buy a stock, I plan to hold it for the long run.

• Be an investor, not a speculator or trader.

I do breakdowns on all major earnings in my premium Discord. Link below to get in!

Final Comments On Today👇

• The market took another healthy dip today and was much needed!

• I see us at 10% over valued so I am being cautious, which is what I have been saying for months.

• Remember, as QUALITY stocks fall, they get cheaper and safer.

• The high PE stocks fall harder in times like this.

• Keep your emotions in check.

• Continue to DCA into quality stocks/ETFs at good prices.

• When you find undervalued companies, use options to magnify gains

• Check out my links below for my course, free guides, & intrinsic value calculator!

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2025

• QQQ - $530

• VOO - $575

• IWM - $240

• SOXX - $240

• TSLA - $390

• NVDA - $190

• AAPL - $245

• PLTR - $60

• AMZN - $240

• GOOG - $200

• MSFT - $460

• JPM - $250

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2030

• QQQ - $750

• VOO - $800

• SOXX - $400

• TSLA - $1,200

• NVDA - $650

• AAPL - $375

• AMZN - $450

• MSFT - $850

  (of course a lot of these will split, but this is non split adjusted)

👇My Favorite New Trades 👇

I either plan to enter, or have already entered these trades.

These are in order from least risky to most risky!

• VOO - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

• QQQ - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

• SOXX - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

• TSLA - DCA Shares - 5 year minimum hold duration

• NVDA - DCA Shares - 2 year minimum hold duration

• AMZN - DCA Shares - 2 year minimum hold duration

• NVDA - Sell Puts - 1 year duration -Strike of $110

• GOOG - Sell Puts - 1 year duration - Strike $165

• TSLA - Sell Calls - 1 week duration - Strike $475

• PLTR- Sell Calls - 2 week duration - Strike Price $90

• MSTR - Sell calls - 1 week duration - Strike $100 out of the money.

(Join premium discord to see my exact trades in real time, link below)

👇Current Value of My Trading Account👇

(updated daily)

👇Yearly Trading Account Value

• December 2018 - $0

• December 2019 - $45,251

• December 2020 - $150,191

• December 2021 - $267,524

• December 2022- $290,315

• December 2023 - $506,223

• December 2024 - $926,402 (in progress)

👇How My Trades Have Performed Since 2023👇

👇Check Out My Links👇