Welcome to The Alpha Report 👋

Hey guys!

I will be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every day the market is open! I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better! Enjoy!

-Brandon

Today’s Heat Map👇

Today’s Biggest Winners/Losers👇

Nasdaq Biggest Winners✅

Nasdaq Biggest Losers❌

Fear & Greed Index For Today👇

• 57 yesterday & 52 Today.

• The market took a breather today which is much needed!

• I feel this is being a little generous and we are closer to 67 on this scale.

• Be greedy when others are fearful.

• Be fearful when others are greedy.

  

Today’s Economic Updates👇

• 30 year fixed mortgage rate climbs to 6.98% today versus 6.96% yesterday.

• 10 year treasury bond yield unchanged at 4.39% same as yesterday.

• 95% chance we get a 25bps rate cut tomorrow.

Tomorrow Is Important

• Tomorrow at 11a pst we get the interest rate decision by Jerome Powell at the Fed. Then at 1130a, we get the press conference which is much more informative.

• There is a 95% chance we get a 25bps cut.

  

  This is for the December 18, 2024 meeting (tomorrow) 95.4% of 0.25% cut.

But That Is Not The Issue, This Is👇

• The market is basically expecting we get the cut tomorrow, and I agree.

• So there is no uncertainty with that.

• But the uncertainty is what is going to happen at future meetings, and the market HATES uncertainty.

• If J pow signals that the economy is strong, the rate cuts going forward may be reduced cause the economy can handle it and it gives more fire power in the event a recession comes. What I mean by that is if rates were cut to 0% right now and a recession happens, the fed has minimal ammo to get us out of the recession with regards to rate cuts. They aren’t going to cut below zero.

• So staying slightly higher gives ammo in the event that happens, which is smart.

• If J pow signals weakness, the cuts will be ramped up to help support the economy.

• KEEP IN MIND, we would much rather have a strong economy with slightly high rates vs a weak economy with low rates.

Rate Cut Expectations For The Next Few Meetings👇

• Dec 18, 2024 - 95% chance we are at 4.25% (implies 0.25% cut)

• Jan 29, 2025 - 80% chance we are at 4.25% (implies a pause)

• Mar 19, 2025 - 50% chance we are at 4% (implies potential cut)

So What Does This Mean?👇

• I know I am a broken record BUT, rates are gravity!

• I just want to beat that into everyone’s head lol.

• As rates fall, stock valuations can increase cause there is less competition for stocks. (nobody wants a 2% bond)

• As rates climb, people will be more willing to put money in “risk free” bonds vs the “risky” stock market. There becomes competition and valuations will fall for stocks. (PEs will fall)

• As time goes on and we get closer to the neutral rate (3% ish) J pow becomes less important cause we are becoming less tight on policy and the decisions are less of a needle mover cause they are near the target range.

Final Comments On Today👇

• Not a lot to talk about today except what we just covered.

• Rate decision is tomorrow. Yes it’s important, but it’s becoming less of a big deal as we get closer to neutral policy.

• Tesla is pumping and I am printing cash, but it is expensive…

• Nobody can call the top but I am getting a little uncomfortable with Tesla right now…

• Yes it feels good to make money, but I am being cautious with options now.

• Keep your emotions in check.

• Continue to DCA into quality stocks/ETFs at good prices.

• When you find undervalued companies, use options to magnify gains

• Check out my links below for my course, free guides, & intrinsic value calculator!

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2025

• QQQ - $530

• VOO - $580

• IWM - $240

• SOXX - $240

• TSLA - $390

• NVDA - $190

• AAPL - $240

• PLTR - $60

• AMZN - $240

• GOOG - $195

• MSFT - $440

• JPM - $275

👇Price Targets For End Of Year 2030

• QQQ - $750

• VOO - $800

• SOXX - $400

• TSLA - $1,200

• NVDA - $650

• AAPL - $ 375

• AMZN - $450

• MSFT - $850

  (of course a lot of these will split, but this is non split adjusted)

👇My Favorite New Trades 👇

I either plan to enter, or have already entered these trades.

These are in order from least risky to most risky!

• VOO - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

• QQQ - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

• SOXX - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

• TSLA - DCA Shares - 5 year minimum hold duration

• NVDA - DCA Shares - 2 year minimum hold duration

• AMZN - DCA Shares - 2 year minimum hold duration

• NVDA - Sell Puts - 1 year duration -Strike of $110

• GOOG - Sell Puts - 1 year duration - Strike $165

• TSLA - Sell Calls - 1 week duration - Strike $500

• PLTR- Sell Calls - 2 week duration - Strike Price $90

• MSTR - Sell calls - 1 week duration - Strike $100 out of the money.

(Join premium discord to see my exact trades in real time, link below)

👇Current Value of My Trading Account👇

(updated daily)

👇Yearly Trading Account Value

• December 2018 - $0

• December 2019 - $45,251

• December 2020 - $150,191

• December 2021 - $267,524

• December 2022- $290,315

• December 2023 - $506,223

• December 2024 - $992,397 (in progress)

If you wanna learn to invest in a low risk way that beats the market in the long run, click this link here👇

Use This Code At Checkout: FINANCIALFREEDOM2025

(Code expires in 24 hours!)

👇How My Trades Have Performed Since 2023👇

👇Check Out My Links👇