Welcome to The Alpha Report 👋

Hey guys!

I will be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every day the market is open! I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better! Enjoy!

-Brandon

Today’s Heat Map👇

Today’s Biggest Winners/Losers👇

Nasdaq Biggest Winners✅

Nasdaq Biggest Losers❌

Fear & Greed Index For Today👇

• 51 Yesterday & 49 Today.

• The market dipped today and pushed us more in balance.

• I feel this is being a little generous and we are closer to 65 on this scale.

• I love buying when there is fear!

• Be greedy when others are fearful.

• Be fearful when others are greedy.

  

Today’s Economic Updates👇

• 30 year fixed mortgage rate climbs to 6.72% today versus 6.61% yesterday.

• 10 year treasury bond yield climbs to 4.33% today vs 4.27% yesterday.

• 95% chance we get a 25bps rate cut Dec 18th, same as yesterday.

• Today we got the November PPI (Producer Price Index) report.

• PPI climbed 3% year-over-year.

• Core PPI (excluding food & energy) climbed 3.4%.

• This has some investors concerned about inflation trends and potentially the resparking of inflation.

  Why Rising PPI Matters👇

• Rising producer costs could spill over to consumer prices which can increase inflation.

• The Fed's expected rate cut is unlikely to change but might come with cautious words from J Pow.

The Stock FINALLY Went Red

• Building on what I talked about yesterday, let's go into a little more detail on the current market valuation.

• So yesterday I said we are prob in the greed category now👇

  

Does That Mean We MUST Crash Lower?👇

• Absolutely not!

• Nobody on earth knows when the next crash is going to be.

• Of course ppl call for crashes every day and eventually they will be right.

• A broken clock is also right twice a day.

• A crash should not scare you though, it should make you excited.

• Why would you not wanna buy things on sale… I DO!

• The stock market has been ripping higher the last few years and it has outpaced earnings growth.

• The question is when will this pump end?

• Maybe today… Nobody knows.

One Thing I Do Know Is This👇

• I will continue to DCA into VOO & QQQ ALWAYS!

• I will buy individual stocks when I get good entry prices.

• If something is trading cheap to the intrinsic value, I will use options to magnify my returns.

• It is so simple.

• Yea the market can dip, but if you are here for the long run it’s just a little blip on the chart.

• We are investors, not speculators.

• You will NOT get rich overnight.

• But you eventually will if you stick with it!

• It took me 6 years to hit $2 million in net worth.

• But I did it in a conservative way that dominated what the SP500 returns were.

Broadcom Reported Earnings Today

• Broadcom Breakdown👇

• Currently trading at $186/share

• Q4 24 EPS: $1.42

• Q3 24 EPS: $1.24

• Q2 24 EPS: $1.10

• Q1 24 EPS: $1.10

• Total TTM EPS: $4.86

• 186/4.86 = 38 PE trailing.

• EPS same quarter last year was $1.11 vs $1.42 now. That's 28% YoY EPS growth

• Revenue same quarter last year was $9.3b vs $14.05b now. That's 51% YoY revenue increase

• The stock is up 70% in the last year.

• Announced a $0.59 per share dividend, which equates to a 1.3% annualized yield based on today’s closing price.

• Guidance for Q1 2025: Revenue of $14.6 billion versus analysts’ estimates of $14.55 billion. Adjusted EBITDA margin of 66% compared to expectations of 62.9%.

• Overall, strong report.

  So Is Broadcom A Buy?👇

• If you are ok to hold the stock for 4+ years, it could be a good buy but it’s a little expensive now… I will NOT be buying.

• If they miss on earnings going forward, the stock could take a dip.

• I do feel the guidance is strong and they are seeing strong demand so its looking decent

• Strong growth, Strong demand, Strong guidance, Strong margins

• Ai and tech continues to see massive inflows and demand.

  

  Plugging into my calculator, it appears to be over valued based on a 25% annualized growth rate for next 5 years.

Final Comments On Today👇

• The market took a healthy little dip today.

• Broadcom reported strong and indicated AI/tech is chugging along good.

• Valuations are a little lofty now so be careful.

• Yes it feels good to make money, but I am being cautious with options now.

• Keep your emotions in check.

• Continue to DCA into quality stocks/ETFs at good prices.

• When you find undervalued companies, use options to magnify gains

• Check out my links below for my course, free guides, & intrinsic value calculator!

Brandon’s Watchlist/Portfolio Updates:

(Updated Daily)

👇My Price Targets For End Of Year 2025👇

• QQQ - $530

• VOO - $580

• IWM - $240

• SOXX - $240

• TSLA - $380

• NVDA - $190

• AAPL - $240

• PLTR - $60

• SMCI - $85

• AMZN - $240

• GOOG - $195

• MSFT - $440

• JPM - $275

👇My Price Targets For End Of Year 2030👇

• QQQ - $750

• VOO - $800

• SOXX - $400

• TSLA - $1,200

• NVDA - $650

• AAPL - $ 375

• AMZN - $450

• MSFT - $850

  (of course a lot of these will split, but this is non split adjusted)

👇My Favorite New Trades 👇

I either plan to enter, or have already entered these trades.

These are in order from least risky to most risky!

• VOO - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

• QQQ - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

• SOXX - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

• TSLA - DCA Shares - 5 year minimum hold duration

• NVDA - DCA Shares - 2 year minimum hold duration

• AMZN - DCA Shares - 2 year minimum hold duration

• NVDA - Sell Puts - 1 year duration -Strike of $120

• GOOG - Sell Puts - 1 year duration - Strike $155

• TSLA - Sell Calls - 1 week duration - Strike $475

• PLTR- Sell Calls - 2 week duration - Strike Price $85

• MSTR - Sell calls - 1 week duration - Strike $100 out of the money.

• SMCI - Buy Calls - 6 month duration - Strike $40

(Join premium discord to see my exact trades in real time, link below)

👇Current Value of My Trading Account👇

(updated daily)

👇How My Trades Have Performed Since 2023👇

👇Check Out My Links Below👇