Alpha Report Issue #23

Palantir Pulled The Rug, Market Cracks

Welcome to The Alpha Report đź‘‹

Hey guys!

I will be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every day the market is open! I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better! Enjoy!

-Brandon

Today’s Heat Map👇

Today’s Biggest Winners/Losers👇

Biggest Winnersâś…

HSY

  193.78

19.08

(10.92%)

ENPH

  76.43

4.87

(6.81%)

CRL

  203.89

12.08

(6.30%)

Biggest Losers❌

OMC

  93.18

-10.25

(-9.91%)

CMCSA

  39.05

-4.10

(-9.51%)

ORCL

  175.77

-15.92

(-8.31%)

Fear & Greed Index For Today👇

  • 53 on Friday & 50 Today.

  • The market took a breather today and it was much needed!

  • The market is viewed as neutral which is good!

  • Be greedy when others are fearful.

  • Be fearful when others are greedy.

Today’s Economic Updates👇

  • 30 year fixed mortgage rate unchanged at 6.60% today (same as Friday)

  • 10 year treasury bond yield climbs to 4.19% today vs 4.14% Friday

  • 86% chance we get a 25bps rate cut Dec 18th, up from 85% chance Friday.

Palantir Is Disconnected

  • So pre market today PLTR was pumping on news of a new contract they got.

  • Let’s use our brains and really understand just how irrational the market is now with PLTR!

  • Palantir announced an expansion of its contract with the U.S. Special Operations Command.

  • The one-year contract is valued at $36.8M.

  • In the last 12 months PLTR had a total revenue of 2.6 billion dollars.

  • So the new revenue from this contract equals 1.6% of TTM revenue…

  • Stock was up 6% cause the “robinhooders” are in full effect just pumping it…

  • Just think about that, how does it make sense to pump pre market 6% on a 1.6% revenue increase lol…

  • Of course the stock reversed today…

  • Very disconnected from fundamentals still.

So How Over Valued Is The Company?👇

  • Lets start with earnings:

  • Q3 24 - 0.06 eps

  • Q2 24 - 0.06 eps

  • Q1 24 - 0.04 eps

  • Q4 23 - 0.04 eps

  • Total GAAP TTM - $0.20
    Current price is $74 ish

  • 74/0.2 = 367 PE

  • PE is literally 367…

  • Please understand what you are buying and the valuation level.

  • This applies to more than just Palantir!

  • All the newbies loving the pump and yea I’m happy for you, but 99% of ppl on social media don’t have a clue about investing.

  • They are gamblers and speculators. I am an investor.

My General Thoughts Now

  • Everyone is a genius in a bull market

  • The market ran up a lot in the last few months and I feel we need to take a breather.

  • Earnings are the number one thing that matters in the long run to move the price of a stock.

  • Stock prices recently went up way more than earnings.

  • So we either need earnings to increase to justify valuations, or we need the market to pull back.

  • KEEP IN MIND! I am not selling any of my shares. When I buy shares, I intend to hold them for the long run.

  • I continue to buy in the base of my portfolio always.

  • I am being careful with options now.

  • I am still generating about $30k/mo on average with options even in the current market situation.

  • SO JUST TO BE CLEAR, I am not saying a crash is coming! I am just saying to be careful when things are a little expensive.

Final Comments On Today👇

  • PLTR pulled back and may continue to fall.

  • Everyone is a genius in a bull market.

  • Keep your emotions in check.

  • Continue to DCA into quality stocks/ETFs at good prices.

  • When you find undervalued companies, use options to magnify gains

  • Check out my links below for my course, free guides, & intrinsic value calculator!

Brandon’s Watchlist/Portfolio Updates:

(Updated Daily)

👇My Price Targets For End Of Year 2025👇

  • QQQ - $530

  • VOO - $580

  • IWM - $240

  • SOXX - $240

  • TSLA - $380

  • NVDA - $190

  • AAPL - $240

  • PLTR - $60

  • SMCI - $85

  • AMZN - $240

  • GOOG - $195

  • MSFT - $440

  • JPM - $275

👇My Price Targets For End Of Year 2030👇

  • QQQ - $750

  • VOO - $800

  • SOXX - $400

  • TSLA - $1,200

  • NVDA - $650

  • AAPL - $ 375

  • AMZN - $450

  • MSFT - $850

    (of course a lot of these will split, but this is non split adjusted)

👇My Favorite New Trades 👇

I either plan to enter, or have already entered these trades.

  • QQQ - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

  • VOO - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

  • SOXX - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

  • TSLA - DCA Shares - 5 year minimum hold duration

  • NVDA - DCA Shares - 2 year minimum hold duration

  • AMZN - DCA Shares - 2 year minimum hold duration

  • AMZN - Buy shares on a dip and hold for 2+ yrs

  • NVDA - Sell 1 year puts at a strike of $115

  • PLTR- Sell Calls - 2 week duration - Strike Price $85

  • GOOG - Sell Puts - 1 year duration - Strike $155

  • MSTR - Sell calls - 1 week duration - Strike $100 out of the money.

  • SMCI - Buy Calls - 6 month duration - Strike $47

(Join premium discord to see my exact trades in real time, link below)

👇Current Value of My Trading Account👇

+ $27,912 last week. I will update Friday how I do this week.

Market took a breather today. I wouldn’t be surprised if this pulls back to $800k and that would be ok! Market is a little expensive now.

👇Trades I Recently Closed Out👇

Not much for realized gains this week. I have A LOT of unrealized gains though.

👇How My Trades Have Performed Since 2023👇

Me = Blue, Black = Nasdaq, Orange = SP500.

DISCLAIMER: I AM NOT A CPA, ATTORNEY, TAX ADVISOR, OR INSURANCE ADVISOR. NOTHING CONTAINED WITHIN THESE EMAILS, VIDEOS, COURSES, OR OTHER CONTENT CONSTITUTES FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX, LEGAL, INSURANCE, OR OTHER ADVICE, NOR SHOULD ANYTHING CONTAINED WITHIN THESE EMAILS, VIDEOS, OR OTHER CONTENT BE RELIED UPON FOR MAKING AN INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISION. YOU SHOULD CONSIDER OBTAINING RELEVANT AND SPECIFIC PROFESSIONAL ADVICE BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISION. IF YOU NEED SUCH ADVICE, PLEASE CONTACT A QUALIFIED CPA, ATTORNEY, TAX PROFESSIONAL,  INSURANCE AGENT, OR FINANCIAL ADVISOR. PAST RESULTS DO NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS. YOU CAN LOSE MONEY INVESTING AND TRADING. LINKED ITEMS MAY CREATE A FINANCIAL BENEFIT FOR INVESTINGWITHBRANDON.