Welcome to The Alpha Report 👋

Hey guys!

I will be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every day the market is open! I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better! Enjoy!

-Brandon

Today’s Heat Map👇

Today’s Biggest Winners/Losers👇

Biggest Winners✅

Biggest Losers❌

Fear & Greed Index For Today👇

• 56 yesterday & 53 Today.

• The market is viewed as closely in balance.

• In a perfect world, we would always be in the “neutral” range.

• Be greedy when others are fearful.

• Be fearful when others are greedy.

  

Today’s Economic Updates👇

• 30 year fixed mortgage rate down slightly to 6.60% today vs 6.72% yesterday.

• 10 year treasury bond yield down to 4.14% today vs 4.18% yesterday

• U.S. employment report 👉 227,000 reported vs 214,000 new jobs expected

• U.S. unemployment rate 👉 4.2% reported vs 4.2% expected

• U.S. hourly wages 👉 0.4% reported ($35.62) vs 0.3% MoM expected

• 85% chance we get a 25bps cut Dec 18th, up from 70.1% chance yesterday.

SMCI Had A Big Day

• SMCI has received an extension from Nasdaq until February 25, 2025, to file its delayed annual and quarterly reports, allowing the company's stock to remain listed during this period while they sort out the accounting.

• In response, SMCI appointed BDO USA as its new auditor and submitted a compliance plan to Nasdaq.

• The company aims to file all required reports by the new deadline to maintain its Nasdaq listing.

• Additionally, due to strong demand for its AI servers, Super Micro has initiated a search for a new finance chief, based on recommendations from a committee investigating its accounting practices.

• The company remains confident in meeting the February deadline to ensure continued compliance with Nasdaq's listing requirements.

So What Do We Do With This Info?👇

• Everyone in my premium discord knows I bought calls on SMCI a few weeks ago and i’m absolutely printing cash on them.

• SMCI is not out of the woods yet.

• They need to get this audit right and get everything in compliance by February 25th or they face delisting.

• If they do NOT get everything sorted out by then, expect the stock to tank HARD.

• So this is a high risk, high reward play.

• I usually do not touch things like this but the valuation level it’s trading at is hard to pass up on.

My SMCI Price Target👇

• First, look at AMD for example.

• AMD has TTM EPS of $3 per share.

• Currently trading at $138 and people wanna “buy the dip” on AMD

• Yet SMCI 2025 Earnings are expected to be $3 per share

• Trading at $48.

• Roughly the same earnings, but 1/3 the price.

• On top of that, SMCI is growing EPS and revenue much faster vs AMD

• Of course SMCI has the accounting issues that are a big downside risk.

• So by simple numbers, assuming $3 EPS x a PE of 35(conservative), that puts us at a share price of $105 per share. (appears cheap)

  

Current State of The Economy

• Today we got the November jobs data.

• This is a very important report that is viewed as one of the best ways to get a “feel” of the economy.

• It’s important to me but not an end all be all.

• In “Economic Updates” section above, you can see most of the data came in line with expectations.

• The market viewed it as “strong enough data rule out a recession but weak enough to justify rate cuts”

• You can see that rate cut expectations increased for next weeks fed meeting.

Final Comments On Today👇

• SMCI appears to be on the right track but risks still linger.

• The economy remains strong, but not too strong to stoke inflation fears.

• Bitcoin remains around 100k and is unpredictable.

• Everyone is a genius in a bull market.

• Keep your emotions in check.

• Continue to DCA into quality stocks/ETFs at good prices.

• When you find undervalued companies, use options to magnify gains

• Check out my links below for my course, free guides, & intrinsic value calculator!

Brandon’s Watchlist/Portfolio Updates:

(Updated Daily)

👇My Price Targets For End Of Year 2025👇

• QQQ - $530

• VOO - $580

• IWM - $240

• SOXX - $240

• TSLA - $380

• NVDA - $190

• AAPL - $240

• PLTR - $60

• SMCI - $85

• AMZN - $240

• GOOG - $195

• MSFT - $440

• JPM - $275

👇My Price Targets For End Of Year 2030👇

• QQQ - $750

• VOO - $800

• SOXX - $400

• TSLA - $1,200

• NVDA - $650

• AAPL - $ 375

• AMZN - $450

• MSFT - $850

  (of course a lot of these will split, but this is non split adjusted)

👇My Favorite New Trades 👇

I either plan to enter, or have already entered these trades.

• QQQ - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

• VOO - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

• SOXX - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

• TSLA - DCA Shares - 5 year minimum hold duration

• NVDA - DCA Shares - 2 year minimum hold duration

• AMZN - DCA Shares - 2 year minimum hold duration

• AMZN - Buy shares on a dip and hold for 2+ yrs

• NVDA - Sell 1 year puts at a strike of $115

• PLTR- Sell Calls - 4 Month Duration - Strike Price $85

• GOOG - Sell Puts - 1 year duration - Strike $150

• MSTR - Sell calls - 1 week duration - Strike $100 out of the money.

• SMCI - Buy Calls - 6 month duration - Strike $37

(Join premium discord to see my exact trades in real time, link below)

👇Current Value of My Trading Account👇

+$17,548 today | + $27,912 this week

👇Trades I Recently Closed Out👇

👇How My Trades Have Performed Since 2023👇

👇Check Out My Links Below👇