Alpha Report Issue #16

Market Dips, U.S. Economic Strength, Interest Rates, New Trades

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Welcome to The Alpha Report ðŸ‘‹

Hey guys!

I will be sending out my Alpha Report for FREE every day the market is open! I always want to create more value for you guys and this report is only going to get better! Enjoy!

-Brandon

Major News Today👇

  • The Nasdaq & S&P500 took a dip

  • U.S. economy is strong based on today’s data

  • Interest rates are EVERYTHING

  • Watchlist Updates

  • 30 year fixed mortgage rate unchanged at 6.96% from yesterday.

  • 10 year treasury bond yield climbs to 4.30% from 4.26% yesterday.

    (5 minute read)

Today’s Heat Map👇

Fear & Greed Index For Today👇

  • 64 yesterday & 65 today.

  • It is interesting how this trended higher when the market went red. I will consider this basically flat from yesterday.

  • Be greedy when others are fearful.

  • Be fearful when others are greedy.

Million Dollar Lesson👇

I can make any chart look bullish or bearish at any given time. Don't get sucked into charts cause they are sexy. The number one thing that matters is the companies profits not the fibonacci retracement.

I currently generate about $30k/month with stock options.

Learn how here👇

Interest Rates Are Gravity

Today we got the October data for the PCE index (personal consumption expenditures)

  • Basically PCE means how much money households are spending on items they buy.

  • It’s a sign of economic strength along with a metric of inflation.

  • If PCE was low, that indicates low demand in the economy to buy things. Which means ppl prob don’t have money to spend which in turn will lower inflation most likely, which in turn could cause the fed to cut rates more aggressively to stimulate the economy.

  • If PCE was high, that indicates there is high demand in the economy to buy things. This means ppl prob have money to blow and are ok to pay higher prices which in turn can push inflation higher, which in turn could cause the fed to keep interest rates higher for longer.

  • The feds target for PCE is around 2%, so we are close.

  • This all is a trickle effect.

  • If inflation is lower, they can lower rates because it’s not necessary to have policy tight when inflation is low.

  • This is great for stocks because as you guys know, rates are like gravity on the stock market.

  • Lower rates = nobody wants to waste their time in a low yielding bond or CD, so stocks are the only game in town. There is less competition with stocks.

So what is the key takeaway from this report?👇

  • Rates are ULTRA important for stock valuations

  • The report came in at expectations.

  • The report indicates the U.S. economy is strong, but not overheating to the point that the fed needs to keep policy tighter for longer.

  • So overall, this is good. 

What Actually Moves The Price of Stocks

  • So as you guys know, I feel the market is a little overvalued for the last few months.

  • It is no surprise that Warren Buffett has soooo much cash on the sidelines. He can’t find any deals right now.

  • I am not saying we are in a bubble by any means, but you are paying about 10% over MSRP right now for most stocks at a minimum.

  • I stick to my principles and ONLY buy when I have a margin of safety.

  • The market moves based on fear and greed.

  • Right now we are a little greedy as you know, which is not the most optimal time to be putting high amounts of money into the market.

So what should I do with my capital on the sidelines?👇

  • Continue to DCA into VOO & QQQ.

  • Only buy individual companies if you are getting a good price.

  • Only use options to magnify your returns on companies you have a high margin of safety on for the given trade.

  • Check out my watchlist towards the bottom to see more of my plays!

Final Comments On Today👇

  • The U.S. Economy is strong in my opinion.

  • Interest rates are VERY important.

  • Check out my watchlist below!

  • Keep your emotions in check on pumps and dumps.

  • Continue to DCA into quality stocks/ETFs at good prices.

  • When you find undervalued companies, use options to magnify gains

  • Check out my links below for my course, free guides, & intrinsic value calculator!

Brandon’s Watch List/Portfolio Updates:

(Updated Daily)

👇My Price Targets For End Of Year 2025👇

  • QQQ - $530

  • VOO - $580

  • IWM - $240

  • SOXX - $240

  • TSLA - $380

  • NVDA - $190

  • AAPL - $240

  • PLTR - $60

  • AMZN - $240

  • GOOG - $195

  • SMCI - $105

  • MSFT - $440

  • JPM - $275

👇My Favorite New Trades 👇

I either plan to enter, or have already entered these trades.

  • QQQ - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

  • VOO - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

  • SOXX - DCA Shares - 3 year minimum hold duration

  • TSLA - DCA Shares - 5 year minimum hold duration

  • NVDA - DCA Shares - 2 year minimum hold duration

  • AMZN - DCA Shares - 2 year minimum hold duration

  • AMZN - Buy shares on a dip and hold for 2+ yrs

  • NVDA - Sell 1 year puts at a strike of $115

  • PLTR- Buy Puts - 3 Month Duration - Strike Price $60

  • GOOG - Sell Puts - 1 year duration - Strike $150

  • SMCI - Buy calls - 5 month duration - $28 strike.

  • MSTR - Sell calls - 1 week duration - Strike $90 out of the money.

(Join premium discord to see my exact trades in real time, link below)

👇Current Value of My Trading Account👇

Took a little dip today but that is 100% ok!

👇Trades I Recently Closed Out👇

Roughly $19k in profits realized this week.

👇How My Trades Have Performed Since 2023👇

My trading account is the top blue line.

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DISCLAIMER: I AM NOT A CPA, ATTORNEY, TAX ADVISOR, OR INSURANCE ADVISOR. NOTHING CONTAINED WITHIN THESE EMAILS, VIDEOS, COURSES, OR OTHER CONTENT CONSTITUTES FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX, LEGAL, INSURANCE, OR OTHER ADVICE, NOR SHOULD ANYTHING CONTAINED WITHIN THESE EMAILS, VIDEOS, OR OTHER CONTENT BE RELIED UPON FOR MAKING AN INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISION. YOU SHOULD CONSIDER OBTAINING RELEVANT AND SPECIFIC PROFESSIONAL ADVICE BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISION. IF YOU NEED SUCH ADVICE, PLEASE CONTACT A QUALIFIED CPA, ATTORNEY, TAX PROFESSIONAL,  INSURANCE AGENT, OR FINANCIAL ADVISOR. PAST RESULTS DO NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS. YOU CAN LOSE MONEY INVESTING AND TRADING. LINKED ITEMS MAY CREATE A FINANCIAL BENEFIT FOR INVESTINGWITHBRANDON.