• Current read is 10 on the fear greed index vs 15 last week.

• I put this closer to 40. The market is at a healthy pullback so neutral.

• Market Fearful = Potential Opportunity/Deals. (consider buy calls/sell puts/buy shares)

• Market Greedy = Potential Over Valuation. (consider buy puts/sell shares/take on less risk)

• I like to be bullish when there is extreme fear

• I like to be bearish when extreme greed.

• Opportunity is out there, just gotta find it!

• 30 year fixed mortgage rate up to 6.63% Today, vs 6.50% last week.

• 10 year treasury bond yield rose to 4.43% Today, vs 4.39% last week

• 2 year treasury bond yield rose to 3.92% Today, vs 3.91% last week.

• Bond yields are still increasing over concerns with the Iran conflict and higher energy prices potentially causing sticky inflation.

• As I always say, interest rates are gravity!

• As interest rates/bond yields DECREASE, stocks become MORE attractive because bond yields go DOWN which makes the risk free bond look LESS attractive.

Let’s Break It Down:

Upcoming Week Market Outlook | Week of Monday, March 30th

Last Week Recap:

This past week we saw continued volatility as Mr. Market is still confused on how to price things with the Iran situation ongoing…

Valuations are now less elevated & basically at intrinsic value for the Sp500 & Nasdaq IMO but the volatility will likely continue with the Iran situation, inflation fears, weak jobs data, oil prices, & some concerns around AI data center funding.

This is where the emotional side of investing crushes people. You need to stay level headed. Know what you own and why you own it. Keep your ratios in check so you can survive volatility and capitalize on it. As prices fall while EPS keeps growing, that creates buy the dip opportunities in great companies. Panic selling into a geopolitical event has historically been one of the worst moves investors make. But you need to be patient.

Right now I believe the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are right at fair value. But markets can easily fall 20% to 30% below fair value if the macro environment turns worse. That could mean another large drop from here. I do not think that is likely, but it is possible and you need to be prepared for it.

We just came off back to back 20% years in the market. Earnings growth did not justify that level of expansion, so valuations were stretched. And we are seeing a normal and healthy pullback.

Consumer sentiment dropped in March, inflation expectations were up a bit, and import prices rose. So the inflation picture is bumpy but Truflation is still below 2%.

That said, the labor market is holding up. Initial jobless claims came in slightly up and continuing claims actually dropped a little. So people are not losing jobs at a concerning rate. Both numbers came in good so that signals that the labor market is okay for now.

Overall I expect volatility to continue. Nothing changes about the strategy though. We buy great companies with strong competitive advantages and pricing power when they trade at good prices. Options are only used to magnify high conviction setups.

Keep your ratios in check and you will not lose sleep during volatility. We are investors, not speculators. The goal is to operate through both bull and bear markets while sticking to a disciplined plan.

As for this upcoming week, it will all be about Iran & the jobs report. Q1 earnings will be firing up in about 2 weeks and we will have LOTS to cover in Discord & capitalize on.

Monday March 30

We will continue to monitor how the market reacts to the Iran situation. My thesis is still that WW3 is not here, but this situation will create some market swings. The

Volatility should never catch us off guard. My portfolio is always positioned to handle both upside and downside. Focus on filtering signal from noise.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks
New York Fed President John Williams speaks

Earnings (nothing major)
Rezolve AI Earnings
Virgin Galactic Earnings
Deep dives will be posted in Discord.

Tuesday March 31

S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index
Tracks changes in the value of residential real estate across 20 major U.S. cities. It gives a read on whether housing prices are rising or falling and how the housing market is holding up under pressure from elevated mortgage rates.

Chicago Business Barometer (PMI)
A monthly survey of purchasing managers in the Chicago area that measures business activity in manufacturing and services. A reading above 50 signals expansion, below 50 signals contraction.

Job Openings
Tracks the number of unfilled job openings across the U.S. economy. It is one of the Fed's favorite labor market indicators because it shows whether employers are still actively hiring or pulling back.

Consumer Confidence
Measures how optimistic or pessimistic Americans feel about the economy, their jobs, and their personal finances. With sentiment already sliding, this number will tell us if consumers are starting to pull back.

Various Fed governors speak

Earnings (nothing major)
Bitfarms Earnings
FactSet Research Systems Earnings
Nike Earnings
Bit Digital Earnings
Beyond Meat Earnings
Deep dives will be posted in Discord.

Wednesday April 1

U.S. Retail Sales
Measures the total value of goods sold at the retail level across the country. This is a direct read on consumer spending, which drives roughly 70% of U.S. economic activity. Given the pullback in sentiment, this number matters a lot right now.

ADP Jobs Report
A private sector employment report that gives an early estimate of how many jobs were added or lost in the economy before the official government number on Friday. Think of it as a preview of what NFP might look like.

ISM Manufacturing PMI
A monthly survey of manufacturing purchasing managers that measures the health of the industrial side of the economy. It tracks new orders, production, employment, and supplier deliveries.

St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem speaks
Federal Reserve governor Michael Barr speaks

Earnings (nothing major)
Cal-Maine Foods Earnings
Conagra Brands Earnings
Deep dives will be posted in Discord.

Thursday April 2

Initial and Continued Jobless Claims
Initial claims show how many people are newly filing for unemployment. Continued claims show how long people remain unemployed. This gives a real time read on labor market strength.

U.S. Trade Deficit
Measures the difference between what the U.S. exports and what it imports. With tariffs still in play and trade tensions elevated, this number will give us a cleaner picture of how trade flows are shifting.

No earnings today.

Friday April 3

Good Friday - Markets Closed

U.S. Employment Report
This is the big one that shows how many jobs the economy added last month along with the current unemployment rate and wage growth.

S&P Final U.S. Services PMI
A final reading on business activity in the services sector, which is the largest part of the U.S. economy. It confirms whether the initial flash data was accurate and shows if the service side is still expanding or starting to cool off.

No earnings today.

Final Thoughts

I am not worried about the Iran situation or oil prices. This will likely not cause a lasting inflationary effect and move interest rates in the long run. Give this time to play out. Be patient & keep emotions in check!

Q1 earnings season will begin soon, and I will be continuing to break everything down in real time inside Discord, I am continuing to look for opportunities while keeping risk and ratios in check.

Given that valuations are more compelling, I am finding more deals to capitalize on now. But not betting the house… Slowly dabbling as things become cheaper & long term prospects continue to look better.

This is exactly why I focus on long dated option contracts (1+year), buying calls and selling portfolio secured puts, not cash secured puts. Keep ratios & emotions in check!

I will see you all next week!

As always, I am rooting for you and want nothing but wealth & health for you & your family!

-Brandon

10 DAYS IS WHAT’S STANDING BETWEEN YOU & A CLEAR PATH TO FINANCIAL FREEDOM.

• If you get value from my content, you'll love my 10 Day Stock & Options Transformation Training.

• Over the course of 10 days of training (you can finish faster if you want), you'll learn exactly how you can scale your portfolio to millions with Stocks & Options in a low risk way & get access to my mastermind Discord community.

• This is the exact same system I have used for the last decade & scaled to millions with tens of thousands in monthly cash flow.

• No day trading.

• No swing trading.

• No BS.

• Just stocks & options the right way.