Alpha Report Issue #113

The Current State of The Market

Author

Brandon
December 28, 2025

Before we dive in, I wanted to drop a link to my recent YouTube video.
It’s a VERY important one!
I walk you through step by step how to pick the correct expiration dates for your options!

It’s 17 min long and I think you’ll get a lot of value!

Here is the link to my YouTube:

This is the video covering the expiration dates!

  • Current read is 56 on the fear greed index vs 45 last week.

  • Market Fearful = Potential Opportunity/Deals. (consider buy calls/sell puts/buy shares)

  • Market Greedy = Potential Over Valuation. (consider buy puts/sell calls/sell shares)

  • I like to be bullish when there is extreme fear

  • I like to be bearish when extreme greed.

  • Opportunity is out there, just gotta find it!

Current Fear/Greed Index (I disagree with this number, I put it at 65, not 45)

Historical Fear/Greed Index Level.

SP500 decently above 125DMA which does indicate greed.

This Put/Call ratio shows people are bullish because this number is below 1. Below 1 = more people buying calls. Above 1 = more people buying puts. Notice how there was lots of puts being bought when the market was falling in April? Ya, most of those all expired worthless. Thats when I was selling them! So again, the fear greed index is skewed and this is not extreme fear as shown in the top right. (It’s greedy IMO)

Volatility is critical to understand cause it directly impacts options premiums & we capitalize on this!

  • 30 year fixed mortgage rate fell to 6.09% Today, vs 6.20% last Sunday.

  • 10 year treasury bond yield fell to 4.13% Today, vs 4.14% last Sunday.

  • 2 year treasury bond yield fell to 3.41% Today, vs 3.48% last Sunday.

  • Interest rates/bond yields fell a little this week which is good!

  • As I always say, interest rates are gravity!

  • As interest rates/bond yields DECREASE, stocks become MORE attractive because bond yields go DOWN which makes the risk free bond look LESS attractive.

What’s up everyone!
Hope you’re having a great weekend & did something productive!
Here is what we got going on right now.

Let’s Break It Down:

  • Going to be a short newsletter this week!

  • We just got through the week of Christmas and there is minimal economic data/earnings reports.

  • My overall market thesis is that valuations are 15% ish hot, labor market continues to weaken, Ai is not going anywhere, some companies will go bust, most will do fine, as AI becomes more efficient this puts more pressure on the labor market, new fed chair will be willing to cut rates which is bullish, inflation is likely to continue to fall, most retail investors will get smoked in the next bear market, & lots of volatility is expected going in to 2026!

  • Most day traders will get crushed.

  • Most swing traders will get crushed.

  • People selling covered calls will continue to underperform the market.

  • People selling cash secured puts will continue to underperform the market.

  • I continue to build my base portfolio, sell portfolio secured puts on compelling companies with 1+ year durations, reinvest that cash flow, & keep ratios well within check as always.

  • If the market were to fall 50%, I will be just fine and sleeping well at night.

  • Next week will also be a slow week in the market, but after that we get Q4 earnings & lots of economic data dropping. I will be breaking all of this down in Discord in real time.

  • Well, that is all I have to say for this newsletter!

As always, I am rooting for you and want nothing but wealth & health for you & your family!

See you in next weeks newsletter!

-Brandon

10 DAYS IS WHAT’S STANDING BETWEEN YOU & A CLEAR PATH TO FINANCIAL FREEDOM.

  • If you get value from my posts, you'll love my 10 Day Stock & Options Transformation Training.

  • Over the course of 10 days of training (you can finish faster if you want), you'll learn exactly how you can scale your portfolio to millions with Stocks & Options in a low risk way & get access to my mastermind Discord community.

  • This is the exact same system I have used for the last decade & scaled to millions with tens of thousands in monthly cash flow.

  • No day trading.

  • No swing trading.

  • No BS.

  • Just stocks & options the right way.

THANKS FOR READING!
HAVE A GREAT WEEK!
-BRANDON

DISCLAIMER: I AM NOT A CPA, ATTORNEY, TAX ADVISOR, OR INSURANCE ADVISOR. NOTHING CONTAINED WITHIN THESE EMAILS, VIDEOS, COURSES, OR OTHER CONTENT CONSTITUTES FINANCIAL, INVESTMENT, TAX, LEGAL, INSURANCE, OR OTHER ADVICE, NOR SHOULD ANYTHING CONTAINED WITHIN THESE EMAILS, VIDEOS, OR OTHER CONTENT BE RELIED UPON FOR MAKING AN INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISION. YOU SHOULD CONSIDER OBTAINING RELEVANT AND SPECIFIC PROFESSIONAL ADVICE BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT OR OTHER DECISION. IF YOU NEED SUCH ADVICE, PLEASE CONTACT A QUALIFIED CPA, ATTORNEY, TAX PROFESSIONAL,  INSURANCE AGENT, OR FINANCIAL ADVISOR. PAST RESULTS DO NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS. YOU CAN LOSE MONEY INVESTING AND TRADING. LINKED ITEMS MAY CREATE A FINANCIAL BENEFIT FOR INVESTINGWITHBRANDON.